含缺陷压力管道安全评定方法研究的现状与发展

含缺陷压力管道安全评定的方法较多,主要有极限载荷控制的塑性失效准则、断裂力学J积分的评定方法、英国R6双判据准则评定方法、美国ASME规范评定方法、参数不确定性缺陷的安全评定方法等.文章对这些方法加以简要的概括和评述,并分析了有些方法之间的区别与联系,同时指出工程化、可靠性和智能化是当前含缺陷压力管道安全评定方法的发展趋向.     

斜拉索腐蚀损伤下斜拉桥体系可靠度研究

拉索腐蚀疲劳累积损伤是威胁斜拉桥运营安全的关键因素,导致斜拉桥运营期的换索次数多且换索成本高。为了准确评定斜拉索腐蚀疲劳损伤对斜拉桥结构安全的影响,从结构体系可靠性角度探索拉索腐蚀疲劳损伤的概率传递模型。分析了斜拉索腐蚀疲劳损伤对结构体系可靠度的影响规律,从而为换索决策提供依据。研究结果表明,疲劳和疲劳腐蚀效应共同作用下的拉索在20 a服役期内的强度系数分别为0.928和0.751,斜拉索抗力退化将导致斜拉桥主要失效路径变化,主梁索间距为30 m的斜拉桥在服役期的13 a,主要失效模式从由主梁弯曲失效转移至斜拉索强度失效,导致后期的结构体系可靠指标快速下降。     

Comparing different contour methods with response-based methods for extreme ship response analysis

Environmental contours are often applied in probabilistic structural reliability analysis to identify extreme environmental conditions that may give rise to extreme loads and responses. They facilitate approximate long term analysis of critical structural responses in situations where computationally heavy and time-consuming response calculations makes full long-term analysis infeasible. The environmental contour method identifies extreme environmental conditions that are expected to give rise to extreme structural response of marine structures. The extreme responses can then be estimated by performing response calculations for environmental conditions along the contours.Response-based analysis is an alternative, where extreme value analysis is performed on the actual response rather than on the environmental conditions. For complex structures, this is often not practical due to computationally heavy response calculations. However, by establishing statistical emulators of the response, using machine learning techniques, one may obtain long time-series of the structural response and use this to estimate extreme responses.In this paper, various contour methods will be compared to response-based estimation of extreme vertical bending moment for a tanker. A response emulator based on Gaussian processes regression with adaptive sampling has been established based on response calculations from a hydrodynamic model. Long time-series of sea-state parameters such as significant wave height and wave period are used to construct N-year environmental contours and the extreme N-year response is estimated from numerical calculations for identified sea states. At the same time, the response emulator is applied on the time series to provide long time-series of structural response, in this case vertical bending moment of a tanker. Extreme value analysis is then performed directly on the responses to estimate the N-year extreme response. The results from either method will then be compared, and it is possible to evaluate the accuracy of the environmental contour method in estimating the response. Moreover, different contour methods will be compared.     

基于关键链技术在装备维修项目进度管理中的应用研究

根据装备维修工程进度管理的现状,分析传统的关键路径技术(CPM)方法的主要问题,总结计划进度管理方法的优缺点,提出将考虑资源约束的进度管理方法-关键链技术应用于装备维修工程进度管控,运用约束理论和缓冲优化方法对具体工程项目进行进度计划调整与修理工期优化,并通过和CPM方法结果的比较分析,得出关键链技术可以更科学合理制定装备维修项目进度计划并达到优化修期的目的,为装备维修进度管理提供理论与实践参考。     

航班快速恢复建模与仿真研究

随着民用航空的发展与竞争,航班延误不仅影响航空飞行的安全与正常,更与航空公司的运营效率、运营成本及乘客利益息息相关。针对某一恶劣天气影响,对某公司受影响航班进行重新调配,考虑到航班的备降、盘旋等待、延误、取消等多种状态,以总成本最小为目标函数,建立航班快速恢复模型,通过MATLAB运用遗传算法设计航班恢复算法进行求解,得出最经济的航班恢复方案。     

管道疲劳寿命的可靠性分析

针对管道的疲劳失效分析,以概率论为基础,结合确定性的疲劳断裂力学估算方法,推导了管道的疲劳裂纹扩展寿命的计算公式.考虑到主要评定参数:初始裂纹尺寸、工况载荷、断裂韧性、机械强度、系数等的不确定性和随机性,应用蒙特卡罗模拟法对这些具有某种特定分布的随机变量进行了随机抽样计算.并利用数值积分法编制了计算机程序,求出在一定可靠度和置信度下的疲劳寿命,并与理论计算方法求得的疲劳寿命进行了比较.还比较了不同初始裂纹尺寸和断裂韧性对疲劳寿命的影响,并给出了算例.分析结果表明:蒙特卡罗模拟法真实地反映评定参数客观存在的不确定性,克服了确定性评定方法的缺点,具有良好的工程指导意义.     

A multi-objective optimization model for sustainable logistics facility location

This paper offers an exploratory study of sustainable facility location. The methodology, based on the classical uncapacitated facility location problem, provides decision makers with a multi-objective optimization model to determine the trade-off among economic, service and environmental considerations. Our results indicate that it may be desirable to open more facilities than optimal from a narrow economic perspective to reduce the carbon dioxide emissions of transport and to improve service reliability.     

基于dSPACE的叉车自动变速器控制系统性能仿真和实验研究

对叉车发动机与液力变矩器的参数进行匹配,确定动力性换挡曲线,采用区间信息值作为换挡逻辑输入量,建立基于车速和油门开度的动力性换挡规律;依据电磁阀工作特性及换挡执行元件工作逻辑,建立电磁阀模型;通过基于dSPACE的叉车自动变速器控制系统实时仿真实验,验证所建立的叉车自动变速器控制模型的正确性,为叉车自动变速器控制器的开发提供了参考。     

车辆荷载和车道荷载对桥梁结构可靠度的影响

公路桥梁结构的整体计算采用车道荷载,结构的局部计算采用车辆荷载,车辆荷载与车道荷载的作用不得叠加.将采用这2种荷载设计的结构进行可靠度对比,结果表明,按车辆荷载设计的结构满足正常使用功能的可靠度偏低,更容易发生损坏,这些损坏会影响到结构的正常使用.提出通过调整重型车辆通过桥梁时的交通行驶规则,增大结构按正常使用极限状态设计时车辆荷载的代表值,从而提高按车辆荷载设计的结构可靠度.     

湿式双离合器自动变速器换挡规律制定与验证

建立基于油门开度和车速的最佳动力性和最佳经济性换挡规律,根据车辆不同挡位和油门开度,车辆对动力性和经济性要求的不同,对所建立的最佳动力性和经济性换挡规律进行调整,得到综合换挡规律。建立整车仿真模型,完成基于dSPACE的综合换挡规律快速原型试验,验证了综合换挡规律的正确性。