船舶下舵承间隙及结构问题分析与对策

结合船舶下舵承在设计、安装和船舶营运过程中面临的问题,根据船级社相应规范和标准对船舶下舵承的规定,分析舵承间隙及结构,提出相应的解决方案。实践证明该方案可行。     

间接通达指路标志研究

论述了部分国家和地区指路标志间接指引的规定,及我国指路标志间接指引存在的问题。从美国、日本、英国、瑞典、韩国和我国台湾省在间接指引标志设置的规定和实例来看,间接指引多采用符号化方式对道路编号进行指示,也可用图形化方式表示。我国一般在匝道出口或交叉口标志上列出路线编号或路名来表示间接指引,很难区分直接指引和间接指引,易引起误解。在国内外比较研究的基础上,提出我国间接指引标志设计原则:间接指引以指示路线为主;标志内容应简单易懂;重要道路间接指引应多次指示。提出了5套间接指引标志设计方案,并给出了间接指引标志的设置位置和使用范围,供科研、设计、标准制订者参考。     

Direction dependent prices in public transport: A good idea? The back haul pricing problem for a monopolistic public transport firm

Markets for transport are often characterised by unequal demand in both directions: every morning during peak hours the trains are crowded while moving towards the direction of large cities, whereas they may be almost empty in the other direction. In this paper we discuss the implications of these imbalances for price setting of transport firms. From the viewpoint of economic theory, two regimes can be distinguished: one where – owing to price discrimination – the flows are equal, and one where unequal flows are the result. Special attention is paid to the case where the transport firm does not apply price discrimination, as is the case with most railway firms in Europe. We find that in the case of substantial joint costs, the introduction of price discrimination not only leads to an increase of profits, but also to positive effects on consumer surplus. This result differs from the standard result in the literature on industrial economics. The standard result purports that with linear demand functions price discrimination has a negative impact on the welfare of the average consumer and that this negative impact dominates the positive effect on profits of the producer.     

Multi-step prediction of experienced travel times using agent-based modeling

This paper develops an agent-based modeling approach to predict multi-step ahead experienced travel times using real-time and historical spatiotemporal traffic data. At the microscopic level, each agent represents an expert in a decision-making system. Each expert predicts the travel time for each time interval according to experiences from a historical dataset. A set of agent interactions is developed to preserve agents that correspond to traffic patterns similar to the real-time measurements and replace invalid agents or agents associated with negligible weights with new agents. Consequently, the aggregation of each agent’s recommendation (predicted travel time with associated weight) provides a macroscopic level of output, namely the predicted travel time distribution. Probe vehicle data from a 95-mile freeway stretch along I-64 and I-264 are used to test different predictors. The results show that the agent-based modeling approach produces the least prediction error compared to other state-of-the-practice and state-of-the-art methods (instantaneous travel time, historical average and k-nearest neighbor), and maintains less than a 9% prediction error for trip departures up to 60 min into the future for a two-hour trip. Moreover, the confidence boundaries of the predicted travel times demonstrate that the proposed approach also provides high accuracy in predicting travel time confidence intervals. Finally, the proposed approach does not require offline training thus making it easily transferable to other locations and the fast algorithm computation allows the proposed approach to be implemented in real-time applications in Traffic Management Centers.     

浅谈人际与人情之关系

本旨在探讨人际关系，人情法则的化内涵，不同背景下的人际关系对应着不同的人精法则。在市场经济条件下，人际与人情关联的工具性日渐显现。人们应关注际与人情的未来走向。     

戈壁荒漠区铁路工程野生动物通道设置研究

针对荒漠戈壁区铁路工程在设计和环境影响评价阶段,因缺乏区域内动物详细分布和活动状况的长期观测和研究成果而难以准确设置野生动物通道的问题,以新建红柳河至淖毛湖铁路为例,通过利用遥感、资料收集、走访、实地调查等方法,调查当地野生动物的类型、生活习性、活动规律和沿线植被及水源分布情况,通过类比青藏铁路等动物通道的利用效果,初步确定动物通道的位置、型式和规格,为我国西北荒漠戈壁区铁路工程野生动物通道的设置提供一种思路和方法。     

重载铁路特殊站场股道信号机设置问题的研究

重载铁路运输是一个复杂的系统工程,对于保证行车安全、提高作业效率和通过能力起关键作用的信号系统提出更高的技术要求.针对开行万吨、2万t组合列车线路设计中遇到的几种特殊站场布局下的信号机设置问题以案例形式进行分析,探讨此类站型信号机设置的影响因素,总结安全、合理的布置原则及运用要求.     

T型梁吊装方式的改进

传统T型梁吊装方式多采用捆绑式,其存在很多弊病,采用新型的吊装方式可方便工人的操作,增加施工的安全性,也可增大T型梁的提升高度,保证安装顺利进行。     

浅议高校依法治校

高校依法治校是落实依法治国方略的内在要求。依法治校，是推进高校政治文明的重大举措．对高校各项事业的发展有重大意义。目前，我国高校要确实做到依法治校，需要建立和完善各项制度，需要全体师生员工的支持、参与。     

基于CarSim自适应巡航控制建模与仿真

文章首先利用模糊法则建立能够反映驾驶员反应时间的隶属度函数,并根据制动过程理论建立安全距离模型,通过安全距离模型建立期望加速度模型。然后分别建立加速和制动模型,在此基础上制定控制模式转换策略,基于PID算法设计巡航控制器。最后在Matlab/Simulink和CarSim联合仿真环境中验证所设计的控制系统的有效性。