A comparison of modelled and real-life driving profiles for the simulation of railway vehicle operation

A key factor in determining the performance of a railway system is the speed profile of the trains within the network. There can be significant variation in this speed profile for identical trains on identical routes, depending on how the train is driven. A better understanding and control of speed profiles can therefore offer significant potential for improvements in the performance of railway systems. This paper develops a model to allow the variability of real-life driving profiles of railway vehicles to be quantitatively described and predicted, in order to better account for the effects on the speed profile of the train and hence the performance of the railway network as a whole. The model is validated against data from the Tyne and Wear Metro, and replicates the measured data to a good degree of accuracy.     

The accuracy of proxy responses in a stated choice setting: A re-examination and some controversial conclusions

Data is typically gathered from an individual respondent who represents the group or the household. This individual is often identified as the “primary decision maker” and is asked to provide responses as a proxy for the group given that the cost of interviewing each member individually is impractical and/or expensive. The collection of joint preferences is rarely undertaken, with the use of proxy responses not uncommon in travel behaviour research. Under such a framework, there exists an assumption that the primary decision maker has perfect knowledge of other group member preferences, and bargaining behaviour, and is able to synthesise this information when providing a response on their behalf. The validity of such an assumption however remains an open question, with recent research calling the reliability of proxy responses into account (Bateman and Munro, 2009). In this paper, using three models estimated in willingness to pay space, we examine the accuracy of proxy responses in a stated choice experiment. We find that there is overlap between a proxy response and the own preferences of the individual providing the proxy choice, but while the proxy responses fail to represent the full preference heterogeneity that exists in the actual choices made by individuals, the proxy responses in aggregate provide a suitable replacement for actual data, subject to a number of caveats.     

Artificial forces for virtual autonomous ships with encountering situations in restricted waters

ABSTRACT

Even if the same two ships operate in the same encountering situation, the actual strategies and timing of operations may be different. Therefore, the fixed collision avoidance trajectory and ship movements are no longer suitable for simulating the real ship behaviour. This paper tries to develop an artificial intelligent system that fully sensitive to the local circumstances and command a ship in virtual environment. Based on AIS (Automatic Identification System) data, this study has developed artificial forces which help decision makings on-board independently under different situations and catching the stochastic nature of ship behaviours during collision avoidances manoeuvring. Actual ship tracks are helpful for ascertaining the parameters that contribute to artificial forces in collision avoidances, while the correlation coefficient analysis is helpful to distinguish the parameters. This study will help to develop a navigation traffic simulation to reflect the realistic ship behaviour and provide reliable information for port and waterway planning, risk analysis, and mitigation measures. The method can be used in developing algorithms for autonomous ships. The method introduced in this study lays a foundation for developing artificial forces at intersections or bends, although the model is only applicable in straight channels at the moment.     

长江口软基围堤施工的加载速率效应

针对长江口某围堤施工软土堆载过程中的稳定性问题,进行不同加载模式下的应力路径试验,分析长江口软黏土的应力-应变关系、结构损伤特性、强度及应变率发展模式,为该围堤工程的施工速率选取及施工过程中的稳定性控制提供技术依据。结果表明:在不考虑固结的前提下,土体的不排水抗剪强度几乎不受加载模式影响;最终强度与达到破坏时的应变大小无关,但与分级加载时间和分级静置时间存在相互作用关系;土体失稳时的应变率与加载速率和静置时间均有一定关系,且加载速率的影响更大;当加荷超过不排水抗剪强度的80%时,或分级最大应变率逐渐偏离加载初期的线性变化,土样濒临破坏。     

Time taken for residents to adopt a new public transport service: examining heterogeneity through duration modelling

When a new public transport service is introduced it would be valuable for public authorities, financing organisations and transport operators to know how long it will take for people to start to use the service and what factors influence this. This paper presents results from research analysing the time taken for residents living close to a new guided bus service to start to use (or adopt) the service. Data was obtained from a sample of residents on whether they used the new service and the number of weeks after the service was introduced before they first used it. Duration modelling has been used to analyse how the likelihood of starting to use the new service changes over time (after the introduction of the service) and to examine what factors influence this. It is found that residents who have not used the new service are increasingly unlikely to use it as time passes. Those residents gaining greater accessibility benefits from the new service are found to be quicker to use the service, although the size of this effect is modest compared to that of other between-resident differences. Allowance for the possibility that there existed a proportion of the sample that would never use the new service was tested using a split population model (SPD) model. The SPD model indicates that 36% of residents will never use the new service and is informative in differentiating factors that influence whether Route 20 is used and when it is used.

大厚度半刚性基层层间结合技术室内试验研究

文章通过室内直剪试验,对大厚度水泥稳定碎石基层上下层结合状态进行研究,分析了大厚度水泥稳定碎石基层上下层浇筑间隔时间、养生时间及水泥浆用量对层间抗剪性能的影响,并提出了最佳施工工艺。     

船舶总振动固有频率实用算法

分别用一维梁有限元方法和三维有限元方法计算3艘实船总振动固有频率,对计算结果进行统计分析,提出对一维梁有限元方法计算结果的修正,利用110000t油船进行验证。用一维梁有限元方法计算时考虑剪切滞后影响系数;用三维有限元方法计算时,是在ANSYS软件中建立全船的三维空间有限元模型,进行模态分析。通过计算证明该方法能有效改进一维梁有限元计算方法,可快速准确地预报船舶总振动固有频率。     

基于比拟杆法的多室箱梁竖弯段剪力滞效应计算及分析

为了分析梁轴线为竖向曲线的多室箱梁在桥墩处的剪力滞效应,基于比拟杆理论,通过用支座反力等效代替桥墩约束,求得了顶板沿桥轴线的轴力、剪力方程,算出了各加劲肋、腹板处加劲杆的换算面积,然后根据剪切变形协调方程,建立了考虑加劲肋影响的剪力滞微分方程组。将所建方程组的计算结果与采用ANSYS APDL软件建立的板壳有限元模型计算结果进行对比后发现：采用所建方程可避免求解2阶微分方程组的困难,易于使用,且能反映局部竖弯梁段的剪力滞效应变化情况,但计算精度随着叠加并积分的剪力流增加而降低;对于靠近计算起始端截面的加劲杆而言,比拟杆法计算应力与模型计算应力差值在10%左右;竖弯梁顶板最大应力处的剪力滞系数为1.4,大于直梁在该处的剪力滞系数1.2,直梁在该处的轴向应力与竖弯梁相比减小了5.9 MPa,可以认为存在竖弯的箱型梁对剪力滞的影响是不利的。     

取样剪切对管输原油流变性的影响

通过实验及理论分析,系统研究了取样剪切对管输原油流变性的影响,根据鲁宁线运行工况,计算了阀门节流剪切及过泵剪切时剪切率的大小.对于鲁宁线,在同一泵站,出站处阀门节流平均剪切率是过泵平均剪切率的3倍左右.     

混凝土抗剪强度尺寸效应的细观数值模拟

混凝土的抗剪强度关系到混凝土结构的安全。采用随机骨料模型模拟混凝土的细观结构,利用有限元方法数值模拟混凝土试件的细观损伤断裂和抗剪强度,将所得数值结果与混凝土重力坝设计规范参考值比较,结果较为吻合,从而为混凝土力学性能的数值模拟开辟了新途径。同时研究表明混凝土试件的抗剪强度存在明显的尺寸效应。