于探索性空间数据分析方法的铁路网对旅游产业空间发展差异的影响研究 ——以江苏省为例

为了研究铁路网对旅游产业空间格局变化产生的影响,以江苏省为例,参考其铁路2010—2016 年相关数据,采用探索性空间数据分析方法对该省的旅游产业空间差异情况进行分析。首先,运用ArcMap软件绘制出随着铁路网的完善,各市旅游人数和旅游收入增长率的变化图;接着分别在宏观和微观视角下,运用全局和局部空间相关性模型对数据进行处理分析,验证铁路网对旅游产业格局变化产生的影响。结果表明,铁路网对节点城市和欠发达地区的旅游产业影响尤为明显;各城市旅游经济发展增速与铁路发展成熟度呈正相关。因此,各市根据空间结构变化趋势合理调整旅游产业,不仅是旅游经济向高质量发展转型的客观要求,也是减少各城市间旅游产业空间差距的必经之路。     

Climate Change and Tourist Comfort on Europe's Beaches in Summer: A Reassessment

Major impacts of climate change have been projected for tourism in Europe. Typically, these projections took general tourism activities such as sight-seeing and their climate requirements as their point of reference. The purpose of this study is to reassess the impact of climate change, by looking specifically at beach tourism in summer, a crucial market segment in Europe and more specifically in the Mediterranean. As beach tourism requires relatively high temperatures, relatively modest shifts in attractiveness are found. With respect to climate, the Mediterranean is likely to remain Europe's prime region for summer-time beach tourism for at least the next 50 years. Coastal managers in Mediterranean destinations are advised to focus some of their attention on other climate change impacts such as sea-level rise or water availability, and include environmental quality and diversification of activities in their deliberations. In non-Mediterranean regions, a promising strategy may be to focus on short- and medium-distance visitors who can take advantage of the new opportunities for beach tourism, and to explore the merits of seasonal climate forecasting.     

PVSP在旅游服务系统中的应用

随着web服务提供者的增多,针对用户如何获取提供者的信息、如何将Web服务组织起来形成为一个整体、如何选择适合自己的服务提供者、如何建立用户与服务提供者间的信任关系、如何评价服务质量等问题,文中首先提出了一种实用虚拟服务平台模型(Practical Virtual Service Platform Based on Web Service简称PVSP),提供一个统一的服务来收集并展示各个服务提供者提供的服务,同时用户只需经过一次身份的认证就能访问所有的服务。然后,将此模型应用到旅游服务系统中,研究了系统设计中认证服务器、服务集成、虚拟电子银行等关键技术。实践表明,该系统模型有一定的可行性和实用性。     

专业旅游城市综合交通规划技术方法研究——以三亚市为例

为完善专业旅游城市的综合交通规划技术体系,通过总结国外专业旅游城市在综合交通规划建设过程中的经验,在识别旅游交通特征的基础上,分析专业旅游城市对交通体系的基本要求。针对专业旅游城市交通规划面临的关键问题和挑战,指出应将旅游交通特征和规律的研究贯穿综合交通规划始终,实现旅游交通与城市居民常规交通高度融合,进而提出综合交通规划技术体系框架。以三亚市为例,重点探讨了专业旅游城市交通设施合理规模的确定,以及交通设施规划基本思路。     

乡村旅游道路设计探析

在探讨乡村旅游道路服务对象和功能的基础上,明确了乡村旅游道路设计的总体要求,分析了各环节的设计特点,介绍了自行车专用道与乡村旅游道路结合使用的经验,以供同行参考与借鉴.     

智慧城市背景下江西旅游业发展的策略

智慧城市的发展及创新2.0使得旅游资讯的获取和旅游产品的购买变得更快捷和便利,也推动了智慧旅游的发展和自助游时代的到来。文章介绍了智慧城市在江西的发展,分析了在这一背景下江西旅游业发展的态势,最后探讨了江西智慧旅游的发展策略,如：加快数字化信息建设、加大网络营销的力度、实现多元化发展,开发个性化旅游产品,并指出智慧旅游发展的关键是以人为本。     

基于GM(1,1)模型的十堰旅游数据预测研究

十堰市旅游人次与旅游收入之间存在着较强的正相关关系。运用GM(1,1)灰色预测模型和Matlab软件,对十堰旅游收入及旅游人次进行了预测。讨论了GM(1,1)生成的预测值,指出存在的问题,并提出促进十堰旅游业平稳健康发展的建议。     

辽宁省旅游产业可持续发展对策研究

旅游产业的持续健康发展,是推动国民经济发展、提高人民生活质量的重要保证。文章分析了辽宁旅游产业发展现状,并从制定特色发展规划、营造良好管理环境、提升从业人员素质、深度开发旅游资源等方面做了论述。     

西藏旅游交通质量满意度研究

鉴于旅游交通在旅游业中起着重要的作用,从旅客需求出发,构造出旅游交通游客满意度测评指标体系,同时对指标体系进行满意率分析,据此可对西藏旅游交通提出有效的建议。     

Vulnerability of Coastal Resort Cities to Mean Sea Level Rise in the Mexican Caribbean

We evaluated the potential economic impacts of increasing sea level rise (SLR) along the Mexican Caribbean where there are major gaps in our understanding of the mechanisms controlling flooding duration and frequency associated to future ecological and economic impacts. We determined the negative economic impact of SLR on infrastructure in the largest urban centers (Cancun, Isla Mujeres, Playa del Carmen, Puerto Morelos and Cozumel) in the state of Quintana Roo (Mexico) that are considered the largest tourism “hot spots” (resort cities) in the country. The tourism industry in this coastal area injects >8 billion dollars year^?1 to the Mexican economy. Our conservative economic assessment regarding the impact of SLR, under a 1?m scenario for all coastal cities is $330 million USD. Further projections for worst scenarios (SLR >2 m) show a non-linear trend where the cost of inaction can reach up to $1.4 billion USD (2?m SLR scenario) and $2.3 billion USD (3?m SLR scenario). This potential loss of infrastructure, as construction cost, is staggering and represents a robust baseline to start evaluating with more detail future impacts of climate variability and change on the Mexican Caribbean coastline.