坝陵河大桥锚碇混凝土耐久性研究

通过试验对坝陵河大桥锚碇混凝土的渗透性进行了分析。结果表明,氯离子扩散试验得到的混凝土渗透性结果与孔结构试验结果吻合较好。同时根据试验所得的渗透系数对锚碇混凝土的耐久性寿命进行了预测,并分析总结了提高混凝土耐久性的技术措施,为混凝土结构耐久性设计提供了参考。     

A discrete choice framework for modeling and forecasting the adoption and diffusion of new transportation services

Major technological and infrastructural changes over the next decades, such as the introduction of autonomous vehicles, implementation of mileage-based fees, carsharing and ridesharing are expected to have a profound impact on lifestyles and travel behavior. Current travel demand models are unable to predict long-range trends in travel behavior as they do not entail a mechanism that projects membership and market share of new modes of transport (Uber, Lyft, etc.). We propose integrating discrete choice and technology adoption models to address the aforementioned issue. In order to do so, we build on the formulation of discrete mixture models and specifically Latent Class Choice Models (LCCMs), which were integrated with a network effect model. The network effect model quantifies the impact of the spatial/network effect of the new technology on the utility of adoption. We adopted a confirmatory approach to estimating our dynamic LCCM based on findings from the technology diffusion literature that focus on defining two distinct types of adopters: innovator/early adopters and imitators. LCCMs allow for heterogeneity in the utility of adoption for the various market segments i.e. innovators/early adopters, imitators and non-adopters. We make use of revealed preference (RP) time series data from a one-way carsharing system in a major city in the United States to estimate model parameters. The data entails a complete set of member enrollment for the carsharing service for a time period of 2.5 years after being launched. Consistent with the technology diffusion literature, our model identifies three latent classes whose utility of adoption have a well-defined set of preferences that are significant and behaviorally consistent. The technology adoption model predicts the probability that a certain individual will adopt the service at a certain time period, and is explained by social influences, network effect, socio-demographics and level-of-service attributes. Finally, the model was calibrated and then used to forecast adoption of the carsharing system for potential investment strategy scenarios. A couple of takeaways from the adoption forecasts were: (1) placing a new station/pod for the carsharing system outside a major technology firm induces the highest expected increase in the monthly number of adopters; and (2) no significant difference in the expected number of monthly adopters for the downtown region will exist between having a station or on-street parking.     

舰船厕所恶臭污染物治理方法

针对舰船厕所恶臭污染物净化效果不佳,长航期间空气质量差的现状,综述了现有多种恶臭污染物净化方法,对比分析各种方法在舰船厕所这一特定环境下的适用性,提出恶臭污染物源头治理和扩散过程净化相结合的综合治理方法,并给出实现工程化应用需要解决的重点问题.     

一类成员成批到达的择优增长系统的度分布

研究文[1]中提出的一类择优增长系统,将模型推广至新成员成批到达的情形,经每时间步,系统中分别增加一个团体和m个成员,其中s个成员相互独立的依概率P加入旧团体,且加入旧团体的概率与旧团体中的成员数成正比,依概率1-p全部加入新团体,其余m-s个成员都加入新团体.利用马氏链方法及技巧严格证明了系统度分布的存在性、无标度性...     

表面热处理技术的研究动向

文章从氮化、软氮化、渗碳、碳氮共渗、高频淬火、扩散渗镀、PVD、CVD处理等方面,介绍了当今在这类表面热处理方面的研究动向及取得的新成果,较为详细地评价了上述热处理技术研究中采用的最新试验方法及其实际应用效果,也展现了表面热处理研究的生机活力及发展前景。     

EFFICIENT STEADY-STATE ANALYSIS METHOD FOR CLOSED-LOOP PWM SWITCHING CONVERTERS

Since the early70s,many s mall-signal fre-quency-domain modeling technique have been de-veloped to study the dynamic perfor mances and sta-bilities ofPWMs witching converters around thestatic operating point.However,the accuracy of thederived models relies on accurate deter mination ofthe steady state operating point,and usually manyperfor mances of circuits are given based on steady-state,so it is very essential to analyze the steadystate of circuits.Analysis methods for steadystate ofnonlin…     

含湿热效应的各向同性耦合粘弹模型

为了表征高聚物的行为并反映湿热和应力的相互影响，针对各向同性粘弹性材料，从不可逆热力学出发，引入刻划材料粘性行为的内变量，采用Helmholtz自由能建立了包含湿热效应的各向同性粘弹性材料的本构方程。讨论了该本构方程与目前计算中常用模型的关系。     

路基工作区深度及路面扩散效应分析

针对目前路基工作区计算存在的局限性,提出路基工作区深度计算方法,确定各等级公路典型路面结构下的路基工作区深度,并分析路面结构层对荷载的扩散效应,为基于路基路面协调受力的整体设计提供了新的思路.     

扩散复合不锈钢／碳钢双金属管界面组织与性能

对不锈钢内管和20钢外管进行表面清理、套装拉拔、端头密封，然后在内管中气体压力作用下在1050℃进行扩散退火．用扫描电镜观察了界面形貌、界面附近的组织，测定了界面显微硬度和剪切强度．结果得到，内压扩散复合法可使内外管界面实现冶金结合，其剪切强度可达400MPa以上．     

Modelling market diffusion of electric vehicles with real world driving data – German market and policy options

Plug-in electric vehicles (PEVs) have the potential to reduce green house gas emissions from the transport sector. However, the limited electric range of PEVs could impede their market introduction. Still some potential users are willing to pay more for PEVs. The combined effect of these and other influencing factors as well as the resulting future market evolution are unclear. Here, we study the market evolution of PEVs in Germany until 2020. Our results reveal a great deal of uncertainty in the market evolution of PEVs due to external conditions and the users’ willingness to pay. We find the future share of PEVs in German passenger car stock to range from 0.4% to almost 3% by 2020. Energy prices have a large impact on PEV market evolution as a 25% increase in fuel prices would double the number of PEVs in stock by 2020 compared to a reference scenario. We find a special depreciation allowance for commercial vehicles and a subsidy of 1000 Euro as the most effective and efficient monetary policy options. The high uncertainty of the market evolution implies that policies to foster market diffusion of PEVs should be dynamically adaptable to react to changing framework conditions.