An adaptive information fusion model to predict the short-term link travel time distribution in dynamic traffic networks

As intelligent transportation systems (ITS) approach the realm of widespread deployment, there is an increasing need to robustly capture the variability of link travel time in real-time to generate reliable predictions of real-time traffic conditions. This study proposes an adaptive information fusion model to predict the short-term link travel time distribution by iteratively combining past information on link travel time on the current day with the real-time link travel time information available at discrete time points. The past link travel time information is represented as a discrete distribution. The real-time link travel time is represented as a range, and is characterized using information quality in terms of information accuracy and time delay. A nonlinear programming formulation is used to specify the adaptive information fusion model to update the short-term link travel time distribution by focusing on information quality. The model adapts good information by weighing it higher while shielding the effects of bad information by reducing its weight. Numerical experiments suggest that the proposed model adequately represents the short-term link travel time distribution in terms of accuracy and robustness, while ensuring consistency with ambient traffic flow conditions. Further, they illustrate that the mean of a representative short-term travel time distribution is not necessarily a good tracking indicator of the actual (ground truth) time-dependent travel time on that link. Parametric sensitivity analysis illustrates that information accuracy significantly influences the model, and dominates the effects of time delay and the consistency constraint parameter. The proposed information fusion model bridges key methodological gaps in the ITS deployment context related to information fusion and the need for short-term travel time distributions.     

The determinants of long distance travel in Great Britain

This study analyses of the determinants of long distance travel in Great Britain using data from the 1995-2006 National Travel Surveys (NTSs). The main objective is to determine the effects of socio-economic, demographic and geographic factors on long distance travel. The estimated models express the distance travelled for long distance journeys as a function of income, gender, age, employment status, household characteristics, area of residence, size of municipality, type of residence and length of time living in the area. A time trend is also included to capture common changes in long distance travel over time not included in the explanatory variables. Separate models are estimated for total travel, travel by each of four modes (car, rail, coach and air), travel by five purposes (business, commuting, leisure, holiday and visiting friends and relatives (VFRs)) and two journey lengths (<150 miles and 150+ miles one way), as well as the 35 mode-purpose-distance combinations.The results show that long distance travel is strongly related to income: air is most income-elastic, followed by rail, car and finally coach. This is the case for most journey purposes and distance bands. Notable is the substantial difference in income elasticities for rail for business/commuting as opposed to holiday/leisure/VFR. In addition, the income elasticity for coach travel is very low, and zero for the majority of purpose-distance bands, suggesting coach travel to be an inferior mode in comparison to car, rail and air. Regarding journey distance, we find that longer distance journeys are more income elastic than shorter journeys.For total long distance travel, the study indicates that women travel less than men, the elderly less than younger people, the employed and students more than others, those in one adult households more than those in larger households and those in households with children less than those without. Long distance travel is also lowest for individuals living in London and greatest for those in the South West, and increases as the size of the municipality declines.     

On the income elasticity of the value of travel time

Transport infrastructure is long-term and in appraisal it is necessary to value travel time savings for future years. This requires knowing how the value of time (VTT) will develop over time as incomes grow. This paper investigates if the cross-sectional income elasticity of the VTT is equal to inter-temporal income elasticity. The study is based on two identical stated choice experiments conducted with a 13 year interval. Results indicate that the relationship between income and the VTT in the cross-section has remained unchanged over time. As a consequence, the inter-temporal income elasticity of the VTT can be predicted based on cross-sectional income elasticity. However, the income elasticity of the VTT is not a constant but increases with income. For this reason, the average income elasticity of the VTT in the cross-sections has increased between the two survey years and can be expected to increase further over time.     

Modelling the impact of weather conditions on active transportation travel behaviour

Three weather sensitive models are used to explore the relationship between weather and home-based work trips within the City of Toronto, focusing on active modes of transportation. The data are restricted to non-captive commuters who have the option of selecting among five basic modes of auto driver, auto passenger, transit, bike and walk. Daily trip rates in various weather conditions are assessed. Overall, the results confirm that impact of weather on active modes of transportation is significant enough to deserve attention at the research, data collection and planning levels.     

Transit network design with allocation of green vehicles: A genetic algorithm approach

The use of fossil fuels in transportation generates harmful emissions that accounts for nearly half of the total pollutants in urban areas. Dealing with this issue, local authorities are dedicating specific efforts to seize the opportunity offered by new fuels and technological innovations in achieving a cleaner urban mobility. In fact, authorities are improving environmental performances of their public transport fleet by procuring cleaner vehicles, usually called low and zero emission vehicles (LEV and ZEV, respectively). Nevertheless there seems to be a lack of methodologies for supporting stakeholders in decisions related to the introduction of green vehicles, whose allocation should be performed since the network design process in order to optimize their available green capacity.In this paper, the problem of clean vehicle allocation in an existing public fleet is faced by introducing a method for solving the transit network design problem in a multimodal, demand elastic urban context dealing with the impacts deriving from transportation emissions.The solving procedure consists of a set of heuristics which includes a routine for route generation and a genetic algorithm for finding a sub-optimal set of routes with the associated frequencies.     

公路滑坡综合整治处理设计

介绍了广东省公路K41+800—K41+860右侧边坡的整治处治。分析了边坡滑塌的起因,在分析的基础上提出了以预应力锚索和抗滑挡墙为主、护坡、拱架植草防护为辅的综合整治措施。实践证明,对于顺层且倾向于路基一侧的边坡以及由地质构造如断层控制的边坡,都有失稳的可能性,在设计时应除了对全坡面进行必要的防护外,还应根据计算分析结果对边坡进行有效可行的加固。本边坡滑塌整治至今效果良好,说明本文提出的"削坡减载、强身固脚"的综合措施是合理可行的。     

浅议绿色图书馆的建设

绿色图书馆的提出、发展及其推广,是社会经济发展到一定阶段的产物。文章从"绿色环境、绿色服务、绿色馆藏、绿色管理"四个方面探讨了如何将图书馆创建成一个绿色的图书馆。     

经管类专业ERP综合模拟实践教学的探讨

文中针对当前ERP课程教学中的各种问题,对实现经管类专业ERP综合模拟实践教学进行了探讨,指出了经管类ERP综合模拟实践教学的优势,并总结出经管类ERP综合模拟实践的教学内容和教学方式.     

基于BIM的设计管理

针对BIM技术应用的现状和现阶段国内企业的BIM设计管理工作中存在的问题,探索研究基于BIM设计特点的管理系统。通过构建高效的BIM软件设计工作环境、优化基于BIM设计特点的管理流程、建立设计项目数据框架的方式,达到BIM设计管理系统的高效性和协同性。     

面向车联网多点协作联合传输的安全认证与密钥更新方法

未来基于车联网的车路协同和自动驾驶场景要求车-车/车-路等网络通信在保证数据安全的前提下,具备低时延、高可靠的特性,从而保证车辆的行驶安全以及车/人的信息安全。LTE-V2X作为车联网通信方案之一,LTE的多点协作联合传输（Coordinated Multiple Points-Joint Transmission,CoMP-JT）技术不仅可以减少车辆在高速行驶过程中进行基站（Evolved Node B,eNB）切换时的通信中断,还能通过多个基站的协同传输来辅助提高网络的数据传输性能。然而当前LTE标准中的安全密钥管理方案无法满足多点协作联合传输过程中的密钥管理场景。针对该问题,提出一种可用于LTE-V2X车联网通信中多点协作传输切换的安全密钥生成与更新算法。该算法由车辆生成基站切换请求并使用随机数、共享密钥、目标基站公钥对切换请求进行加密、广播;基于密码学特性,目标基站不仅可基于私钥从密文请求中计算出共享密钥,还可以计算得到后续的会话密钥;车辆则可以基于目标基站位置信息、生成请求时的随机数计算出会话密钥,从而实现在只需要1次密钥传输的前提下,达成车辆与基站之间的密钥共享和密钥更新,并从密码学角度针对该密钥生成与更新算法进行验证分析。研究结果表明：在LTE-V2X多点协作传输时的基站切换过程中,该算法能够确保车辆与基站进行后向/前向密钥分离的安全认证以及会话密钥建立;与传统方案相比,所提方法可减少26.4%的基站切换过程中引入的通信时延,基站信道负载均仅为传统方案的1/2,并且随基站小区范围内车辆数目增加,基站的信道负载也仅线性增加,提升了该算法在LTE-V2X车联网场景中的适用性。