带随机延滞的衍生的ARCH模型的几何遍历性

引入了带随机延滞的门限自回归滑动平均一自回归条件异方差模型,讨论了这个模型的极限行为,并给出了该模型以几何速率收敛的充分条件．该模型将固定延滞的衍生的门限自回归滑动平均一自回归条件异方差模型推广为延滞受到一个有限状态马氏链控制的衍生的门限自回归滑动平均一自回归条件异方差模型,能更好的拟合现实世界中的诸多实际问题．同时,推广了自回归条件异方差模型,增强了模型的适应性,能够更好的拟合金融市场中价格行为波动的现象．     

Combustion and emission characteristics of BD20 reformed by ultrasonic energy for different injection delay and EGR rate in a diesel engine

The purpose of this study is to understand the operational characteristics of a diesel engine that uses BD20 reformed by ultrasonic energy irradiation. In particular we study the effects of tuning injection delay and EGR rate. BD containing about 10% oxygen has attracted attention due to soaring crude oil prices and environmental pollution. This oxygen decreases soot by promoting combustion, but it also increases NOx. To solve this problem, injection timing may be delayed or an EGR system may be applied. These adjustments normally lower engine power and increase exhaust emission but, in using fuel reformed by ultrasonic energy irradiation (which is changed physically and chemically to promote combustion), we may hope to circumvent this problem. To control the duration of the ultrasonic energy irradiation, the capacity of the chamber in an ultrasonic energy fuel supply system was tested at 550cc and 1100cc capacities. As for the results of the experiment, we could identify the optimum EGR rate by investigating the engine performance and the characteristics of exhaust emissions according to the injection timing and the EGR rate while ultrasonically irradiated BD20 was fed to a commercial diesel engine. With UBD20 (at an injection timing of BTDC 16°), the optimum EGR rate, giving satisfactory engine performance and exhaust emissions characteristics, was in the range of 15∼20%.     

直左复线有轨电车干线可变带宽绿波模型

为降低有轨电车在交叉口的停车次数和交通延误,同时兼顾社会车辆通行效率,提出可容纳直行线路、左转线路有轨电车和社会车辆3类绿波系统的干线信号协调控制方法.设计直左轨道分叉交叉口的4种信号相位组合方案,构建社会车辆绿波系统、有轨电车直行线路和左转线路绿波系统的约束条件,以及3个绿波系统的交互性约束条件.基于可变绿波带宽优化...     

城市主干道行人过街安全岛设置研究

行人过街安全岛可有效地改善行人的步行环境,对于提高行人过街的安全性起着十分重要的作用,故有必要在归纳比较国内外安全岛特点和设置标准的基础上,提出安全岛的概念,并结合行人驻足空间对安全岛的设置和设计提出建议。实例分析结果表明,该方法有效可行,并可为我国城市主干道行人安全岛的设置,特别是交叉口安全岛的设置和设计提供有益的思路。     

基于社会力模型的邮船舱段疏散滞后性分析

针对邮船遭遇紧急事件时乘客疏散过程中的滞后问题,基于社会力模型并应用逐段分析法分析在不同情景下的人员疏散过程。计算结果表明,随着滞后时间的增长,舱室内乘客的疏散效率逐渐降低。最危险的情况是在疏散开始时滞后3个舱段,人员疏散有效时间在平均疏散时间中占比不及50%,总时间是无滞后疏散的2倍。研究方法对邮船及其他类型客船的人员疏散流线设计具有一定的参考意义。