舰船系统级电磁兼容性要求

舰船是最复杂、电磁环境最恶劣的武器装备，需要建立全面、系统、合理系统级电磁兼容性要求。在美军标MIL-STD-464A《系统电磁环境效应要求》的基础上，对适应于舰船系统级电磁兼容性要求的试验评估方案进行了初浅的探讨，借此以推动系统级电磁兼容性评价方法的系统化、规范化的研究。     

Characterization and prediction of air traffic delays

This paper presents a new class of models for predicting air traffic delays. The proposed models consider both temporal and spatial (that is, network) delay states as explanatory variables, and use Random Forest algorithms to predict departure delays 2–24 h in the future. In addition to local delay variables that describe the arrival or departure delay states of the most influential airports and links (origin–destination pairs) in the network, new network delay variables that characterize the global delay state of the entire National Airspace System at the time of prediction are proposed. The paper analyzes the performance of the proposed prediction models in both classifying delays as above or below a certain threshold, as well as predicting delay values. The models are trained and validated on operational data from 2007 and 2008, and are evaluated using the 100 most-delayed links in the system. The results show that for a 2-h forecast horizon, the average test error over these 100 links is 19% when classifying delays as above or below 60 min. Similarly, the average over these 100 links of the median test error is found to be 21 min when predicting departure delays for a 2-h forecast horizon. The effects of changes in the classification threshold and forecast horizon on prediction performance are studied.     

Influence of mesh size,stress triaxiality and damage induced softening on ductile fracture of large-scale shell structures

In this investigation, ductile fracture in stiffened and unstiffened panels is simulated employing the fracture criterion, which depends on the mesh size, stress state and damage induced softening. The aim of the study is to show that employed fracture criterion removes mesh size effects more efficiently than traditional fracture criteria adjusted only on the basis of uniaxial tension. Fracture model is implemented into Finite Element software ABAQUS using user-defined material, VUMAT-subroutine, available for shell elements. Mesh size sensitivity analysis is carried out. Finite element simulation results are validated with experimental measurements available in literature. Comparison of numerical and experimental results shows that simulations effectively capture most of the experimentally observed features, especially when considering different mesh densities. In most cases, mesh size effects are considerably reduced compared with the fracture criteria adjusted on the basis of a uniaxial tension.     

连续刚构桥箱梁温度场测试研究

对某高墩大跨连续刚构桥在太阳辐射下箱梁截面温度场进行了测试,采用最小二乘法对实测温差进行回归分析,获得了箱梁竖向温差和横向温差非线性分布的拟合曲线。建立了该桥的有限元计算模型,并分析了温差的影响。     

通气空泡流中洞壁效应对空化数和压力场影响的研究

文章在均质平衡多相流模型的基础上耦合输运方程型空化模型,通过求解混合介质的RANS方程、RNG k-ε湍流输运方程以及各相的质量输运方程,采用通用CFD软件—FLUENT数值模拟了水洞中带圆盘空化器航行体模型的定常通气空泡流动,研究了圆形截面闭式空泡水洞中洞壁效应对通气空化数和压力场的影响。得到的阻塞空化数线性正比于圆盘水洞直径比,且与三维圆盘自然空泡流的势流近似解基本一致,分析了洞壁效应作用下空化流场内的压力分布特点,并根据计算结果拟合了一定适用条件下通气空泡长度、最大直径和模型阻力系数的近似公式。     

基于空间计量模型的机场网络溢出效应研究

机场对区域经济发展具有重要支撑作用,但从航线网络视角进行研究的文献还比较少.本文建立了空间面板计量模型,以中国大陆 45个主要枢纽机场为例定量研究了机场对区域经济的直接效应、网络溢出效应和总体效应.研究表明：机场客运量对区域经济具有显著正向网络溢出效应,客运量每提高 10%,其网络溢出效应达到 8.25%;货运量仅对本地城市 GDP具有正向影响,其溢出效应未能通过显著性检验.同时发现,机场客货量对航线网络中相连城市的溢出效应均大于其对本地经济的直接效应,忽视网络溢出效应会低估机场区域经济的总体贡献.研究成果对科学评价机场对经济发展的作用具有参考价值.     

运用功能的故障模式、影响、危害性分析以及故障树综合分析列车安全性

故障树分析(FTA)方法是对列车进行安全性分析的一种常用方法。将功能的故障模式、影响及危害性分析(FMECA)与FTA结合应用,首先进行功能FMECA,得出FTA的顶事件,再应用FTA从上至下进行演绎,两种方法相辅相成,使得列车安全性分析更为直观、易于理解。     

道路交通事故影响因素分析

分别从人、车辆、道路及管理四个方面分析了诱发交通事故的原因，提出了为减少和预防交通事故发生的措施.     

1Cr18Ni9Ti不锈钢单轴变形行为的试验研究

在室温至６５０℃温度范围内的几种温度下，对１Ｃｒ１８Ｎｉ９Ｔｉ不锈钢材料进行了较广泛的单轴变形行为的试验研究。试验结果表明：该材料有明显的应变率敏感性；在４００℃至５５０℃范围内，材料循环加载时出现动力应变时效；该材料的循环变形行为温度有明显依赖性，且具有温度历史依赖性，以及应变幅值历史效应。     

连续刚构桥合拢温度的合理确定及高温合拢对策

以一座大跨预应力混凝土连续刚构桥为工程背景,分析了不同的合拢温度对桥梁结构内力的影响,并指出合拢温度对于连续刚构桥设计的影响主要是对桥墩与桩等有关控制截面最不利组合内力的影响,在一般情况下选择低温合拢对结构受力是有利的;结合该桥高温合拢的实际情况,提出了连续刚构桥在高温合拢情况下采取预施加反顶力的施工对策,并通过结构分析与工程实践证明了采用该措施的有效性。