生态环保业的宏观经济效应实证分析

按照生态环保业的新内涵,运用量化的投入产出方法,形成中观行业到宏观经济效应的研究路径,基于最近几个年份的投入产出表,全面研究行业现状,系统研究行业在经济总量、就业、物价方面对宏观经济的效应,推导出拉动行业发展的需求因素,结合研究结果提出疏浚企业拓展生态环保业的建议。     

公路施工企业经营规模合理性的探讨(Ⅰ)

笔者以广东长大公路工程总公司三公司的施工实例为依据 ,论述了规模经济的涵义 ,分析了施工企业产生规模效益的原因 .并结合我国施工企业经营规模的现状 ,提出了实现规模效益的策略     

含磨粒油润滑工况下磨粒分载量计算

建立了等尺寸和不等尺寸、按数量浓度和重量浓度计算磨粒数量的模型和方法,推导了磨粒发生弹、塑性变形情况下磨粒分担载荷量的计算公式,并计算了磨粒分载量随磨粒浓度及尺寸的变化规律,为进一步研究多磨粒效应奠定了基础。     

The Dead Sea hydrography from 1992 to 2000

The modern hydrological regime of the Dead Sea is strongly affected by anthropogenic activity. The natural fresh water budget has changed mainly due to the drastic reduction of runoff. Since 1977, the surface level of the Dead Sea has been lowered by an average rate of about 60 cm/year and for the period from 1998 to 2000, the lowering rate has reached about 100 cm/year. As a result of the runoff reduction, the upper layer salinity of the Dead Sea has increased and the gravitational stability of the water body was diminished. Eventually, during the winter of 1978–1979, the lake waters overturned, bringing to an end the long-term stable meromictic¹ hydrological regime. The lake entered a new phase in which its hydrological regime switches between holomictic and meromictic regimes, depending on the size of the runoff into the lake (i.e. the amount of precipitation in the lake's watershed). The first holomictic period, 1979–1980, lasted for 2 months only. It was succeeded by a 4-year meromictic period (1980–1983). The second holomictic period lasted for 9 years (1983–1991). The rainy winter of 1991–1992 resulted in an almost 2-m sea level rise. The upper layer with a relatively low salinity was restored and a new meromictic period persisted for 4 years, until winter 1995–1996. During the last meromictic period, the hydrological regime of the Dead Sea was characterized by following long-term trends: the depth of the summer thermocline increased from 12–15 to 25–30 m; the quasi-salinity of the upper layer, initially of about 164 kg/m³, increased rapidly at a rate of about 16–18 kg/m³/year; the quasi-salinity of the deep water, initially of about 235 kg/m³, decreased slowly at a rate of about 0.08–0.10 kg/m³/year (for the sake of comparison, a quasi salinity of 235 kg/m³ is the equivalent of 280‰ “usual” salinity); and the winter minimal temperature of the upper layer, initially of about 16 °C, increased rapidly at a rate of about 2 °C/year. In November 1995, the latest meromictic period of the Dead Sea came to an end. During the present holomictic period, 1996–2000, the hydrological regime of the Dead Sea is also characterized by long-term trends: the quasi-salinity of the entire Dead Sea increased at a rate of about 0.5 kg/m³/year, with practically no decrease during the winters; the temperature of the deep water mass increased with a rate of about 0.25 °C/year; and the period of vertical convection of the entire water column, initially about 3 months, increased at a rate of about 1 week/year. Moreover, we observed that the temperature and salinity of the bottom layer in the deepest part of the Dead Sea raised by about 0.5–0.6 °C and 0.15–0.25 kg/m³ during each holomictic summer.     

有限大小神经元细胞膜动作电位的温度效应

研究了温度对有限大小神经元细胞膜动作电位的影响．发现随着温度的增加，在相同的时间内神经元产生的脉冲数目有先增加再降低的变化．在中等面积下，平均脉冲间间隔有类似于共振的先降低，达到最小值，再增加的现象．通过计算功率谱以及由功率谱定义的卢因子,很清楚地看到β在某些温度时达到了最大值，产生了相干共振．     

Understanding suburban travel demand: Flexible modelling with revealed and stated choice data

We analyse the choice of mode in suburban corridors using nested logit specifications with revealed and stated preference data. The latter were obtained from a choice experiment between car and bus, which allowed for interactions among the main policy variables: travel cost, travel time and frequency. The experiment also included parking cost and comfort attributes. The attribute levels in the experiment were adapted to travellers’ experience using their revealed preference information. Different model specifications were tested accounting for the presence of income effect, systematic taste variation, and incorporating the effect of latent variables. We also derived willingness-to-pay measures, such as the subjective value of time, that vary among individuals as well as elasticity values. Finally, we analysed the demand response to various policy scenarios that favour public transport use by considering improvements in level-of-service, fare reductions and/or increases in parking costs. In general, demand was shown to be more sensitive to policies that penalise the private car than those improving public transport.     

浅析音乐美育对大学生幸福感的影响

以审美为核心的音乐教育是21世纪开始的全国音乐教育改革的精髓,基础与立场为重新确立人的感性地位;再次审视什么是“音乐美学”中的“音乐”;强调音乐的特殊性和对音乐审美问题的基本认识．它对大学生幸福感的提升将产生积极作用,根据大学生幸福感的主观性、丰富性、稳定性、整体等四大特点,逐一论述音乐美育对大学生幸福感的影响．     

Investor herding behaviour in globally listed shipping stocks

ABSTRACT

This study undertakes one of the first empirical attempts to investigate and contribute a set of innovative findings to investor herding behavior and herding spillover effects in globally listed shipping company stock returns. Distinguishing between OECD and Non-OECD markets, herding behavior is tested on a diversified set of shipping companies traded in international equity markets, over different business cycle phases, financial crises, and external shocks. A set of dynamic models, well established in the relevant behavioral finance literature, is implemented. Empirical evidence indicates investor herding behavior in shipping stock returns and herding spillover effects between different shipping sectors, albeit not robust in all cases. These challenging findings can have a material impact on efficient investment and financing decisions of shipping market players.     

汽车座椅动态试验CAE分析及结构优化

通过构建某车型后排座椅骨架的有限元分析模型,根据欧洲经济委员会ECER17法规中关于座椅抗惯性的动态试验标准要求,对某汽车后排座椅进行抗惯性动态试验仿真分析。仿真分析结果揭示了座椅结构的应力集中位置,以及座椅结构中容易导致试验失效的薄弱环节,为正确设计以及合理调整改善结构方案提供了依据。通过优化设计,完善了产品的结构。     

适用于重载交通的公路桥梁荷载标准研究

某一级公路具有明显的重载交通特征,在运营过程中也出现了严重的超载问题,为准确分析该一级公路上的汽车荷载,并确定其对该路上广泛使用的简支梁桥和连续梁桥的荷载作用,以WIM调查数据为基础并进行统计分析,利用蒙特卡洛方法随机数生成模拟自然车队的拟合荷载流.基于<公路工程结构可靠度设计统一标准>中计算荷载效应的可靠度理论,以拟合荷载流在产生的弯矩与公路Ⅰ级的弯矩效应比值为分析对象,确定了适应该一级公路重载交通荷载下计算桥梁结构内力的汽车荷载标准.针对该路重载交通的实际情况,给出了不同超载条件下适度提高汽车荷载等级的荷载放大系数.