基于灰理论的港口吞吐量预测研究

港口吞吐量是港口建设的重要依据,有效预测港口吞吐量,才能使港口在海洋运输业中发挥重要作用。灰理论预测可以在少量信息、不完全数据的情况下,揭示港口吞吐量的发展变化特征,是研究港口吞吐量的有效工具。本文对上海港货物吞吐量进行研究的结果表明,应用灰理论对港口吞吐量建立灰色模型GM(1,1)进行短期预测,其结果有较高的实用价值。     

水荷载预压和砂袋预压在现浇箱梁高支架预压中的应用

本文介绍了水荷载预压和砂袋预压在天(津)汕(尾)国家重点高速公路梅州西环高速跨G206国道高架桥施工中的应用,以及相应的基础处理方法和实验成果,并对预压效果进行了比较和总结。     

后轨灌注桩监理质量控制及检测方法分析

对集装箱码头装卸桥后轨灌注桩施工准备阶段、成孔过程、钢筋笼制作与安装、灌注水下混凝土等施工监理质量控制及检测方法进行分析,并提出了保证灌注桩施工质量的监控措施。     

"友谊号"FPSO生产工艺流程改造

“友谊号”FPSO经过升级改造变成一艘具有原油开发综合处理功能的中心平台。文章分别介绍了该FPSO改装后的原油处理系统、污水处理系统、伴生气和天然气处理系统的工艺流程。     

Estimation of value of travel time reliability

In mode choice decision, travelers consider not only travel time but also reliability of its modes. In this paper, reliability was expressed in terms of standard deviation and maximum delay that were measured based on triangular distribution. In order to estimate value of time and value of reliability, the Multinomial and Nested Logit models were used. The analysis results revealed that reliability is an important factor affecting mode choice decisions. Elasticity is used to estimate the impacts of the different policies and system improvements for water transportation mode. Among these policies, decision maker can assess and select the best alternative by doing the benefit and cost analysis based on a new market share, the value of time, and the value of reliability. Finally, a set of promising policies and system improvement of the water transportation were proposed.     

全回转拖轮的阻力性能分析

论述全回转拖轮的阻力性能特点,通过船模试验结果验证全回转拖轮在自航状态时兴波阻力是总阻力中的主要成分,结合有关实船论述船舶主尺度、船型系数及线型对阻力性能的影响,阐明如何设计和建造阻力性能好的全回转拖轮。     

软件成本估算

成本管理是软件项目管理的主要内容之一，软件成本估算是项目成本管理的一个非常重要的部分。概述了常用的软件成本估算方法并比较了其优缺点，详细介绍了目前国际上广泛应用的由美国南加州大学软件工程研究中心提出的COCOMOⅡ成本估算模型。     

喷水推进泵空化预测原理和方法的研究

文章在介绍喷水推进在国内外的最新应用后,着重分析喷水推进系统在舰船上的应用所带来的新特点,即极易进入空化区。根据舰船动力装置机舱自动化的设计规范中的有关监测报警系统的设计要求,文章提出了喷水推进泵空化预测原理和方法研究的必要性。     

On the fresh balance of the Adriatic Sea

The long-term mean fresh water balance of the Adriatic Sea is studied by ananalysing evaporation, precipitation and river runoff. Evaporation is computed from May latent heat flux and by means of bulk formula. In the latter case two wind speed data sets are used, namely those from the NMC and May. The sea surface temperature is taken from a historical Adriatic data set, and the air temperature and relative humidity come from the NMC data set. Two precipitation data sets are considered, namely the Legates and Willmott climatology and a data set consisting of data measured at 62 rain-gauge stations located on the Adriatic coasts. Runoff contribution to the fresh water balance is estimated from the long-term average flow rates of 39 rivers and the horizontal distribution of salinity in the upper mixed layer.The spatial distribution of the fresh water balance, as well as of its components, is analysed by means of monthly objective maps, from which averages and standard deviations are computed. The results obtained from the different computations are not always univocal, particularly in the evaluation of Summer evaporation, and are affected by relatively large statistical errors. Significant spatial and seasonal variability occurs, with a noticeable fresh water gain along the coastline of the northern and middle basins, while small areas of fresh water loss are found in the middle and southern basins. Nevertheless, on an annual basis, the difference between the fresh water losses by evaporation and the gains by precipitation and runoff is clearly negative, indicating that, unlike the whole Mediterranean, the Adriatic Sea is generally a dilution basin.