Dynamic demand estimation and prediction for traffic urban networks adopting new data sources

Nowadays, new mobility information can be derived from advanced traffic surveillance systems that collect updated traffic measurements, both in fixed locations and over specific corridors or paths. Such recent technological developments point to challenging and promising opportunities that academics and practitioners have only partially explored so far.The paper looks at some of these opportunities within the Dynamic Demand Estimation problem (DDEP). At first, data heterogeneity, accounting for different sets of data providing a wide spatial coverage, has been investigated for the benefit of off-line demand estimation. In an attempt to mimic the current urban networks monitoring, examples of complex real case applications are being reported where route travel times and route choice probabilities from probe vehicles are exploited together with common link traffic measurements.Subsequently, on-line detection of non-recurrent conditions is being recorded, adopting a sequential approach based on an extension of the Kalman Filter theory called Local Ensemble Transformed Kalman Filter (LETKF).Both the off-line and the on-line investigations adopt a simulation approach capable of capturing the highly nonlinear dependence between the travel demand and the traffic measurements through the use of dynamic traffic assignment models. Consequently, the possibility of using collected traffic information is enhanced, thus overcoming most of the limitations of current DDEP approaches found in the literature.     

浅埋顶管沉井周边土体的三维破坏形状及沉降研究

为研究顶管沉井及周边土体在顶进力作用下的形变范围与大小，以加固旋喷桩作为沉井周围加固体建立ABAQUS软件计算模型，并将模拟结果与工程实例、PLAXIS 3D软件所得结果进行对比分析。同时，采用广州地区花岗岩残积土进行室内沉井模型试验，并通过试验结果对数值模拟结论进行验证，得出结论如下： 1）在开挖基坑前达到设计强度的旋喷桩能有效减小基坑周边土体塌陷变形、坑底隆起。2）在施加工作顶推力下，前侧主动区首先出现贯通裂缝，竖向位移斜率增大出现明显拐点；继续增大顶推力，土体位移会急剧增大导致地表沉降严重。3）对于后背土体，在顶推力作用下，地表破裂线的切线角度从0°逐渐增大至45°+φ/2，导致破裂范围也不断扩大；达到45°+φ/2处后，继续施加顶推力会导致短轴方向破坏范围扩大的速度较长轴方向的速度更快；三维空间中被动区破坏土体在地表处产生形状为椭圆的破坏面，椭圆长轴方向为顶推轴线方向，被动破坏体呈现为牛角状椭圆楔体。     

快速老化小鼠的学习记忆缺陷及其生化机制

目的用快速老化小鼠(SAMP8)模拟老年痴呆,观察其学习记忆能力,并探讨其学习记忆能力下降的可能机制。方法采用10月龄SAMP8,并用同龄抗快速老化小鼠(SAMR1)作为正常对照。用水迷路检测近记忆以及空间学习记忆能力。用生物化学方法检测大脑皮层线粒体膜电位和ATP酶活力,观察线粒体功能;检测皮层和海马胆碱乙酰基转移酶(ChAT)和乙酰胆碱酯酶(AChE)的活力,观察中枢胆碱能神经功能;检测血清超氧化物歧化酶(SOD)活力和丙二醛(MDA)含量,观察其全身性氧化应激状况。结果与SAMR1相比,SAMP8出现明显的衰老体征,其近记忆和空间学习记忆能力明显减弱,具有衰老和痴呆特征;皮层线粒体膜电位和ATP酶活力显著降低,海马ChAT活力显著下降,AChE活力显著升高,血清SOD活力稍有增高。结论SAMP8可以很好地模拟老年痴呆,其机制包括大脑皮层线粒体功能降低、海马胆碱能神经功能下降以及氧化应激等。     

降钙素基因相关肽与内皮素受体A在兔实验性蛛网膜下腔出血后基底动脉的表达

目的探讨蛛网膜下腔出血(SAH)后脑血管内皮细胞降钙素基因相关肽(CGRP)及内皮素受体A(ETRA)的表达与迟发性脑血管痉挛(DCVS)之间的关系。方法日本大耳白家兔60只,随机分为SAH模型组25只,盐水组25只,穿刺组5只,正常组5只。采用枕大池二次注血法制作SAH模型,灌注处死后取基底动脉制成切片。进行CGRP及ETRA的免疫组化和HE染色,观察CGRP与ETRA的免疫表达和病理结构变化,并用图像分析方法测量血管周长,使用方差分析进行统计学检验。结果基底动脉周长在SAH后均发生明显缩窄,其中在5d时缩小最强烈。CGRP与ETRA免疫阳性标记颗粒在SAH组的基底动脉组织中均有表达,其动态变化规律为CGRP的表达在1h时最明显,在3、5d依次表达减少,5d达到最低点,7d后开始逐渐升高,10d时表达相对比较明显,但未能达到正常水平,CGRP在穿刺组、正常对照组和盐水组也有散在不规则表达。在正常组、穿刺组和盐水组的基底动脉内ETRA有表达;SAH组基底动脉内ETRA在3d组和5d组表现为高表达,以3d组为强,而其中血管内皮细胞表达最强烈,平滑肌也有表达,10d组的表达仍然较强。结论在SAH后脑血管内皮细胞CGRP和ETRA的表达呈现明显的动态改变,但二者的变化趋势并不同步;CGRP和ETRA在DCVS的发生发展中起重要的作用。     

刀豆蛋白A条件化培养基对体外培养的兔角膜内皮细胞生长的影响

目的研究刀豆蛋白A(concanavalin A,ConA)条件化培养基对体外培养的兔角膜内皮细胞(rabbit corneal endothelial cells,RCECs)生长的影响。方法采用揭取后弹力层及内皮细胞联合组织块法进行RCECs的体外原代培养,分别用含有体积分数为5%、10%、15%、20%ConA的活化大鼠脾细胞条件上清液的RPMI1640培养基进行RCECs原代培养,并用含10%(体积分数)胎牛血清(fetal bovine serum,FBS)的RPMI1640培养基作为对照。神经烯醇化酶免疫组织化学染色法进行细胞鉴定;噻唑蓝比色法观察各组RCECs生长的状况;SPSS11.0One-way ANOVA及LSD检验进行统计分析。结果成功进行了RCECs的体外培养,培养细胞内神经烯醇化酶阳性表达。ConA条件化培养基各组细胞增殖均高于对照组(P<0.001),且10%、15%ConA条件化培养基组的RCECs细胞数量明显高于其他各实验组(P<0.001)。结论ConA条件化培养基具有促进RCECs生长的作用,可作为培养辅佐剂。     

Effect of ABCA1-V771M polymorphism on plasma lipid levels and its relationship with coronary atherosclerotic heart disease

Objective To explore the risk association of ABCA1-V771M polymorphism with coronary heart disease (CHD) in Hart nationality in Northwest of China. Methods With case-control study, ABCA1-V771M polymorphism was detected in 204 unrelated Hart nationality people in Northwest of China, and all the subjects by coronary angiography were grouped into 106 cases and 98 controls. The genotypes and alleles frequency distribution of ABCA1-V771M polymorphisms were analyzed by PCR-RFLP analysis, and the clinical statistics of serum lipids were compared and its effects of ABCA1-V771M polymorphism on the plasma lipid levels and coronary atherosclerotic heart disease were analyzed. Results The genotypic frequencies of ABCA1-V771M polymorphism matched well under Hardy-Weinberg equilibrium (P>0.05), V and M allelic frequencies were 33.3% and 66.7%. In comparison with VV VM genotype carriers, MM genotypes carriers had much lower plasma levels of HDL-C (P<0. 001) and much higher plasma levels of TG (P<0. 05). M allelic frequency in CHD group was significantly higher than V allelic frequency (P<0. 05). M allele was related with more severity of atherosclerosis in the coronary artery than V allele (P<0.05). However, there was no obvious difference in the incidence of AMI among carriers with three genotypes of ABCA1-V771M polymorphism (P>0.05). Conclusion ABCA1-V771M polymorphism was not only associated with the plasma levels of HDL-C and TG, but also related to the susceptibility and severity of coronary atheroselerotic heart disease. Moreover, M771 allele appeared to be atherogenie among Han population in Northwest of China.     

兔眼环孢霉素A缓释微球的眼内释药性研究

目的建立兔眼房水中环孢霉素A缓释微球的高效液相测定方法,考察在不同给药剂量下兔眼房水中的药物代谢特性,为该药预防后发性白内障提供理论依据。方法兔眼行晶体囊外摘除,左眼前房及囊袋内注射环孢素微球,右眼给予空白微球作对照,采用高效液相色谱法监测给药后4周内兔眼房水中环孢霉素A的浓度。色谱柱为反相C18硅胶柱,柱温为60℃,流动相为乙腈-水(67∶33),检测波长210nm。结果兔眼房水中环孢霉素A的浓度在0.13-1.25mg/L范围内呈良好线性关系(r=0.9951),最低检测浓度0.13mg/L,回收率95.91%,日间和日内精密度均小于5.0%。缓释微球的释药速率适中,兔眼前房给药后可在2周内维持较高浓度,高低两种给药剂量下,环孢霉素A的吸收半衰期(t1/2Ka)和血浆清除速率(CL)经检验无统计学差异,药时曲线下面积(AUC)和峰浓度(Cmax)与剂量之间线性相关。结论环孢素A缓释微球在兔眼内有较高的生物利用度,实验期内可达到抑制后发性白内障的有效浓度。     

基于ASP.NET的B/S架构的软件在Windows7系统下的部署

本文重点研究了对于B/S架构的软件在Windows7系统下部署时应该采用的一系列方法及在部署时遇到的一系列问题的解决方案。文中分析了利用ASP.NET开发的B/S架构的软件的优点并在此基础上介绍了软件部署的流程。本文在分析过程中结合具体实例提出了部署中一些常见问题的解决方案。     

姜黄素促进RAW264.7源性M1巨噬细胞向替代激活M2表型极化

目的观察姜黄素对LPS和IFNγ诱导的RAW264.7巨噬细胞(M1)极化的影响及机制。方法不同浓度姜黄素(6.25、12.5、25μmol/L)干预LPS和IFNγ诱导的RAW264.7巨噬细胞(M1)12h,同时再加入20μmol/L GW9662与25μmol/L姜黄素共同干预LPS和IFNγ诱导的RAW264.7巨噬细胞(M1)12h,采用Real-time PCR、ELISA及Western blot方法检测IL-1β、IL-6和M2表型标志分子KLF4、FIZZ1、MGL1、PPARγ的表达,及阻断PPARγ后KLF4和FIZZ1的表达。结果不同浓度姜黄素均能上调LPS和IFNγ诱导的RAW264.7巨噬细胞(M1)的M2标志分子的表达,并且抑制炎症因子IL-1β和IL-6的分泌;阻断PPARγ后,RAW264.7巨噬细胞源性M1表型巨噬细胞表达M2标志分子下调。结论姜黄素通过活化PPARγ促进LPS和IFNγ诱导的RAW264.7巨噬细胞(M1)向M2表型极化。     

吸烟和β3-肾上腺素能受体基因Trp64Arg、锰超氧化物歧化酶9Ala/Val基因多态性与非酒精性脂肪性肝病的相关性

目的探讨吸烟和β3-肾上腺素能受体(β3-AR))基因Trp64Arg、锰超氧化物歧化酶9Ala/Val(MnSOD9Ala/Val)基因多态性与非酒精性脂肪性肝病(NAFLD)发病之间的关系。方法采用病例-对照研究的方法,以720例NAFLD患者及720例健康对照者的外周血白细胞为样本,采用聚合酶链反应(PCR)技术分析β3-AR基因Trp64Arg和MnSOD9Ala/Val基因多态性。结果β3-AR基因Trp64Arg(A/A)基因型和MnSOD9Ala/Val(V/V)基因型频率分布分别为39.4%、71.7%(病例组)和21.1%、43.3%(对照组),差异有统计学意义(P<0.01;P<0.01)。Trp64Arg(A/A)基因型者患NAFLD的风险显著增加(OR=2.434,95%CI=1.816~4.075)。MnSOD9Ala/Val(V/V)基因型者患NAFLD的风险也显著增加(OR=3.308,95%CI=1.913~4.509)。基因突变的协同分析发现,Trp64Arg(A/A)/MnSOD9Ala/Val(V/V)基因型者在NAFLD组和对照组中的分布频率分别为32.8%和6.5%,差异有统计学意义(P<0.01)。Trp64Arg(A/A)/MnSOD9Ala/Val(V/V)基因型者患NAFLD的风险显著增加(OR=9.753,95%CI=4.292~12.426)。病例组的吸烟率显著高于对照组(OR=2.623,95%CI=1.425~4.957),Trp64Arg(A/A)/MnSOD9Ala/Val(V/V)基因型与吸烟有协同作用(OR=33.764,95%CI=18.907~61.582)。结论 Trp64Arg(A/A)/MnSOD9Ala/Val(V/V)基因型和吸烟是NAFLD的易患因素,三者的联合在NAFLD的发生中起着协同的作用。