Incorporating human-factors in car-following models: A review of recent developments and research needs

Over the past decades there has been a considerable development in the modeling of car-following (CF) behavior as a result of research undertaken by both traffic engineers and traffic psychologists. While traffic engineers seek to understand the behavior of a traffic stream, traffic psychologists seek to describe the human abilities and errors involved in the driving process. This paper provides a comprehensive review of these two research streams.It is necessary to consider human-factors in CF modeling for a more realistic representation of CF behavior in complex driving situations (for example, in traffic breakdowns, crash-prone situations, and adverse weather conditions) to improve traffic safety and to better understand widely-reported puzzling traffic flow phenomena, such as capacity drop, stop-and-go oscillations, and traffic hysteresis. While there are some excellent reviews of CF models available in the literature, none of these specifically focuses on the human factors in these models.This paper addresses this gap by reviewing the available literature with a specific focus on the latest advances in car-following models from both the engineering and human behavior points of view. In so doing, it analyses the benefits and limitations of various models and highlights future research needs in the area.     

相容性车身及行人假人

近年来,随着各国正面碰撞试验法规的实施,汽车的碰撞安全性能有了显著的提高。然而,由于在碰撞中存在两车辆的“质量”、“刚度”和“结构”并不相同的情况,当大车与小车发生正面碰撞时,往往会导致小车乘员舱产生比较大的变形,因此提高小车的自我保护性能就显得尤为重要。为了达到正面碰撞中两车的相容性,本文介绍了一种新型车身结构在实车中的应用情况,以及其提升车辆安全性能的作用,并简要介绍了本田汽车公司在行人保护方面所做的研究。     

实车碰撞试验法规的现状和发展趋势

实车碰撞试验法规主要有美国的FMVSS和欧洲的ECE两大体系，下面碰撞试验法规为FMVSS208、E-CER94，侧面碰撞试验法规为FMVSS214、ECER95，在我国，汽车被动安全性一直是汽车产品较薄弱的环节之一。1999年，我国颁布了第一项汽车技术法规，CMVDR294《关于正面碰撞乘员保护的设计规则》。CMVDR294的颁布表明，我国政府已对汽车的被动安全性有了更全面的评价方法。     

Estimating economic losses of industry clusters due to port disruptions

Seaport operations are highly important for industries which rely heavily on imports and exports. A reliable evaluation of port risks is essential to govern the normal running of seaborne transportation and thus the industrial economies. The occurrence of a breakdown in the trade facilitators, such as ports, will disrupt the smooth flow of supply chains for the industries. The estimation of the economic loss for an industry when a port gets disrupted is a challenging task as the relationship between the port and industry clusters is complex. This study aims to develop a systematic framework for performing economic loss estimation of industry clusters due to port disruptions. The whole risk assessment is split into three stages focusing on the establishment of a network flow model, economic estimations and evaluating risk mitigation strategies. The proposed idea is demonstrated by a case study on Shenzhen port and its related manufacturing industries. A dynamic inventory control strategy used by manufacturers is found to be beneficial for mitigating port disruption risks.     

高职“船舶避碰与值班”教学改革的思索

通过对《船舶避碰与值班》在教学与学生实习过程中存在问题的分析与探讨,提出对该课程教学改革的相关建议。     

基于UG软件汽车仪表板凸出物快速查找

为了提高汽车被动安全性能,参考国标GB—11552中相关头部碰撞的标准,详细论述了利用UG软件的二次开发功能,确定仪表板水平线、头部碰撞区域及碰撞区内凸出物的方法。在此基础上开发出了快速确定仪表板碰撞区及碰撞区内凸出物的模块,通过简单仪表板模型测试,结果与实际情况基本一致,缩短了整车开发周期并降低了开发成本。     

同一水域两起船舶碰撞事故引发的思考

广州港沙角水域发生了两起大型拖带船组碰撞锚泊船的事故，其发生的时间、地点、性质有惊人的相似之处，本文从两起事故的共同点出发进行了详尽的原因分析，并提出了在狭窄水道进行大型拖航时应采取的安全措施。     

轿车行人保护技术发展的重要性

行人安全越来越成为人们关注的重要问题,文章针对行车过程中行人伤害特点来说明行人保护技术研究的重要意义。随着我国将于2013年正式实施《汽车对行人的碰撞保护》标准,必然将推动我国行人保护技术的快速发展。文章结合行人保护技术的发展历程及现阶段此项技术研究的方法和应用现状,为此方面的研究工作提供参考,从而使我国汽车工业得以更加完善发展。     

Modeling heterogeneous risk-taking behavior in route choice: A stochastic dominance approach

This paper proposes a unified approach to modeling heterogonous risk-taking behavior in route choice based on the theory of stochastic dominance (SD). Specifically, the first-, second-, and third-order stochastic dominance (FSD, SSD, TSD) are respectively linked to insatiability, risk-aversion and ruin-aversion within the framework of utility maximization. The paths that may be selected by travelers of different risk-taking preferences can be obtained from the corresponding SD-admissible paths, which can be generated using general dynamic programming. This paper also analyzes the relationship between the SD-based approach and other route choice models that consider risk-taking behavior. These route choice models employ a variety of reliability indexes, which often make the problem of finding optimal paths intractable. We show that the optimal paths with respect to these reliability indexes often belong to one of the three SD-admissible path sets. This finding offers not only an interpretation of risk-taking behavior consistent with the SD theory for these route choice models, but also a unified and computationally viable solution approach through SD-admissible path sets, which are usually small and can be generated without having to enumerate all paths. A generic label-correcting algorithm is proposed to generate FSD-, SSD-, and TSD-admissible paths, and numerical experiments are conducted to test the algorithm and to verify the analytical results.     

地铁建设工程的风险管理应用研究

地铁建设工程作为一项大型工程项目,往往存在着大量的不确定风险因素,因而风险管理在地铁工程中变得越来越重要.文章通过对国内外地铁工程事故经验的探讨,提出了地铁建设工程中风险管理的框架,包括风险辨识、分析和评估、应对以及风险防范措施等,以预防和减轻地铁工程风险,达到降低风险等级的目的.