自主式水下潜器海洋环境监测系统技术概念

介绍了被誉为未来海洋卫星的自主式水下潜器ＡＵＶ（Ａｕｔｏｎｏｍｏｕｓ Ｕｎｄｅｒｗａｔｅｒ Ｖｅｈｉｃｌｅｓ）的国外发展新动态、自主式海洋采样网络ＡＯＳＮ（Ａｕｔｏｎｏｍｏｕｓ Ｏｃｅａｎ Ｓａｍｐｌｉｎｇ Ｎｅｔｗｏｒｋ）和海洋中的“卫星”技术概念和应用前景。     

采用模型设计和模型试验方法研制大型泵

本文对采用模型设计和模型试验方法研制大型离心泵的计算理论，结构设计和材料选用等问题进行了探讨，确认了只有在正确运用相似计算公式的前提下才能保证相似设计可靠性的观点，验证了叶轮进口截面几何形状对离心泵汽蚀性能和效率值的影响，并提出了国内现有的能较好满足船艇货油泵运转条件的材料组合建议方案。     

Inorganic carbon fluxes through the boundaries of the Greenland Sea Basin based on in situ observations and water transport estimates

A carbon budget for the exchange of total dissolved inorganic carbon C_T between the Greenland Sea and the surrounding seas has been constructed for winter and summer situations. An extensive data set of C_T collected over the years 1994–1997 within the European Sub-polar Ocean Programmes (ESOP1 and ESOP2) are used for the budget calculation. Based on these data, mean values of C_T in eight different boxes representing the inflow and outflow of water through the boundaries of the Greenland Sea Basin are estimated. The obtained values are then combined with simulated water transports taken from the ESOP2 version of the Miami Isopycnic Coordinate Ocean Model (MICOM). The fluxes of inorganic carbon are presented for three layers; a surface mixed layer, an intermediate layer and a deep layer, and the imbalance in the fluxes are attributed to air–sea exchange, biological fixation of inorganic carbon, and sedimentation. The main influx of carbon is found in the surface and the deep layers in the Fram Strait, and in the surface waters of direct Atlantic origin, whereas the main outflux is found in the surface layer over the Jan Mayen Fracture Zone and the Knipovich Ridge, transporting carbon into the Atlantic Ocean via the Denmark Strait and towards the Arctic Ocean via the Norwegian Sea, respectively. The flux calculation indicates that there is a net transport of carbon out of the Greenland Sea during wintertime. In the absence of biological activity, this imbalance is attributed to air sea exchange, and requires an oceanic uptake of CO₂ of 0.024±0.006 Gt C yr⁻¹. The flux calculations from the summer period are complicated by biological fixation of inorganic carbon, and show that data on organic carbon is required in order to estimate the air–sea exchange in the area.     

均匀设计在尾压浪板设计中的应用

本文利用均匀设计法设计了一个尾压浪板系列,从中优化出一个方案,解决排水型船加装尾压浪板在巡航速度附近减阻的问题,减阻效率达裸体阻力４％以上,对尾压浪板在排水型船上减阻的机理进行了初步分析,得到了船后体压力 尾压浪板对主船体阻主要原因这一结论。     

海浪统计资料对船舶波浪弯矩设计值的影响

对船舶,特别是超规范船舶,进行结构的直接计算设计时,首先要知道波浪弯矩设计值。 要确切地做到这一点,设计人员应合理地选择船舶航行海域的海浪长期统计资料,然后根据船 舶的装载工况和实际可能达到的航速,借用线性理论或非线性理论进行波浪弯矩的长期预报 来确定设计值。本文就一艘大型集装箱船舶,按五个典型海域的海浪统计资料,对波浪弯矩及 波浪合成弯矩作了长期预报计算,并与 ＩＡＣＳ的统一纵强度要求ＵＲ—Ｓ１１的结果作了比较和 分析,给出了对船舶结构直接计算设计有指导意义的几点结论。     

Norwegian North Sea action programme: Analysis of measures to reduce nutrient inputs

According to the terms of the Ministerial Declaration on the Protection of the North Sea, input of the nutrients phosphorus (P) and nitrogen (N) to the coast from the Norwegian‐Swedish border to Lindesnes should be reduced by about 50% between 1985 and 1995. The State Pollution Control Authority (SFT) has analyzed how Norway can achieve this reduction in the most cost‐effective way and at the same time achieve the greatest possible improvement in water quality along the Norwegian coast and in its watercourses.

Two alternative sets of measures were analyzed, both of which would meet the requirements of the Declaration. The lowest‐cost alternative would have average annual costs of about NKr 930 million (U.S.S150 million), and investments of about NKr 4000 million (U.S. $643 million). However, this set of measures would not take account of local water quality, and measures would therefore not always be introduced where the need is most pressing. SFT proposed that an alternative set of measures be implemented, almost all of which would also help to achieve local goals for water quality. This alternative will have annual costs of about NKr 980 million (U.S.$158 million), and investments of about NKr 4100 million (U.S.$659 million).     

On the application of hydraulic theory to the deep-water flow through the Irbe Strait

A flow-dependent critical-point method for investigating topographically controlled flow in natural channels is applied to the bottom current through the Irbe Strait connecting the Baltic proper and the Gulf of Riga. This approach is based on the functional formalism due to Gill [Gill, A.E., 1977. The hydraulics of rotating-channel flow. J. Fluid Mech., 80, 641–671.], and here is used for the stratified flow structure observed during the IRBEX-95 field campaign. A critical section of the realizable flow regime was found to be located slightly downstream of the most pronounced horizontal constriction of the channel. The predicted baroclinic volume flux 7200 m³ s⁻¹ overestimates the observed mean bottom-water transport by around 30%, a discrepancy which most likely can be explained by the lack of sea level conditions and friction in the model.     

Ant Colony Routing algorithm for freeway networks

Dynamic traffic routing refers to the process of (re)directing vehicles at junctions in a traffic network according to the evolving traffic conditions. The traffic management center can determine desired routes for drivers in order to optimize the performance of the traffic network by dynamic traffic routing. However, a traffic network may have thousands of links and nodes, resulting in a large-scale and computationally complex non-linear, non-convex optimization problem. To solve this problem, Ant Colony Optimization (ACO) is chosen as the optimization method in this paper because of its powerful optimization heuristic for combinatorial optimization problems. ACO is implemented online to determine the control signal – i.e., the splitting rates at each node. However, using standard ACO for traffic routing is characterized by four main disadvantages: 1. traffic flows for different origins and destinations cannot be distinguished; 2. all ants may converge to one route, causing congestion; 3. constraints cannot be taken into account; and 4. neither can dynamic link costs. These problems are addressed by adopting a novel ACO algorithm with stench pheromone and with colored ants, called Ant Colony Routing (ACR). Using the stench pheromone, the ACR algorithm can distribute the vehicles over the traffic network with less or no traffic congestion, as well as reduce the number of vehicles near some sensitive zones, such as hospitals and schools. With colored ants, the traffic flows for multiple origins and destinations can be represented. The proposed approach is also implemented in a simulation-based case study in the Walcheren area, the Netherlands, illustrating the effectiveness of the approach.     

Using repeated cross-sectional travel surveys to enhance forecasting robustness: Accounting for changing mode preferences

Transportation system capacity and performance, urban form and socio-demographics define the influences and constraints conditioning the preferences of urban residents for different transport modes. Changes in characteristics of urban areas are likely to lead to changes in preferences for alternative modes of transport over time; as a consequence, statistical models to forecast mode choice need to be sensitive to both purposeful changes to urban systems as well as exogenous shocks. We make use of the 1996, 2001 and 2006 household surveys conducted in the Greater Toronto and Hamilton Area to study mode preference evolution and model forecasting performance. These repeated cross-sectional household surveys provide an opportunity to investigate aggregate structural changes in commuting mode preferences over time, in a manner sensitive to changes in the urban area. We focus on commuting mode choices because these trips are prime determinants of peak period congestion and peak spreading. We then address how to combine the three cross-sections econometrically in a robust way that allows for use of a single mode choice model across the entire period. Using independent data from 2012, we are able to compare the individual year and combined models in terms of forecasting performance to demonstrate the combined model’s more robust forecasting performance into the future.     

21世纪世界新秩序——几种基本理论模式述评

在人类进入21世纪之后，世界需要建立什么样的新秩序才能更好地服务于人类社会?这个问题激发了政治家和思想家们的极大兴趣，他们提出了各种各样的“理论”和“模式”。其中，较具代表性的有：“地球村”模式，世界政府模式，“和平区”与“动乱区”模式，“三大经济区”模式，“明冲突”模式，“单极霸权”或“单极主导下的多极合作”模式，两极或多极均势模式，等等。这些模式各以其独特的视角，试图勾勒出后冷战时代世界新秩序的“地图”。