Short-term speed predictions exploiting big data on large urban road networks

Big data from floating cars supply a frequent, ubiquitous sampling of traffic conditions on the road network and provide great opportunities for enhanced short-term traffic predictions based on real-time information on the whole network. Two network-based machine learning models, a Bayesian network and a neural network, are formulated with a double star framework that reflects time and space correlation among traffic variables and because of its modular structure is suitable for an automatic implementation on large road networks. Among different mono-dimensional time-series models, a seasonal autoregressive moving average model (SARMA) is selected for comparison. The time-series model is also used in a hybrid modeling framework to provide the Bayesian network with an a priori estimation of the predicted speed, which is then corrected exploiting the information collected on other links. A large floating car data set on a sub-area of the road network of Rome is used for validation. To account for the variable accuracy of the speed estimated from floating car data, a new error indicator is introduced that relates accuracy of prediction to accuracy of measure. Validation results highlighted that the spatial architecture of the Bayesian network is advantageous in standard conditions, where a priori knowledge is more significant, while mono-dimensional time series revealed to be more valuable in the few cases of non-recurrent congestion conditions observed in the data set. The results obtained suggested introducing a supervisor framework that selects the most suitable prediction depending on the detected traffic regimes.     

高压劈裂注浆加固滑体施工工法

高压劈裂注浆是一种经常使用的地基处理方法。位于陕西省彬县境内的312国道改建工程在施工中，右侧山体出现牵引式滑移．采用高压注浆方法，对滑体进行了有效的加固。本文叙述了用料、施工及设备等细节。     

浮置板式轨道结构隔振效果仿真研究

建立列车—轨道结构耦合系统有限元模型,将轨道不平顺作为列车—轨道结构耦合系统的激励源,对普通碎石道床轨道结构和浮置板式轨道结构的列车—轨道结构耦合系统动力学性能进行仿真研究,对比分析这2种类型的轨道结构系统振动响应与系统振动传递函数,评价浮置板式轨道结构的隔振效果。分析结果表明,浮置板式轨道结构与普通碎石道床轨道结构相比,振动加速度降低约70%,距线路5 m处大地振动加速度响应峰值降低约62.8%,相应Z振级衰减约10 dB,竖向振动加速度频率范围由0~200 Hz降到0~60 Hz,有效起到了振动隔离效果。     

浅析汽车车身无痕修复技术的重要性及方法

随着全球经济发展的不断加深,机动车的数量也不断增加,改革开放以来我国的汽车产业发展速度非常快,2018年中国机动车保有量差不多有3.27亿辆,从数字上来看汽车的量非常庞大,随之而来的是汽车售后服务的跟进,特别是随着近年来交通事故率的上升,使汽车维修业务量不断增多,其中汽车车身钣金修复是维修业务量的重要组成部分,现在很多车主对汽车的各方面性能特别是车身安全性能的重视越来越大,而采用传统的钣金修复方式越来越不被车主看好,促使新型车身钣金修复方法的不断创新,本文主要讲述汽车车身修复新型方法中的无痕修复方法,通过对比无痕修复方法和传统修复方法的优缺点来阐述无痕修复在汽车售后维修中的重要性。     

出口乌兹别克斯坦八轴电传动调车机车车体设计

主要介绍了出口乌兹别克斯坦的八轴电传动调车机车车体的技术参数、车体各大部件的结构特点、车体增重措施及强度计算分析。     

货车组合式制动梁梁体的优化设计

依据货车组合式制动梁在车辆上出现的失效方式,以L-C组合式制动梁为例,提出等寿命原则作为制动梁梁体的最优设计控制律的方案,得出撑杆端头处的过载荷是制动梁失效的主要因素。提出利用前、后段的拉压应变以及降低撑杆刚度来改善制动梁体的受力分布,并提出了通过调整支柱的长度来合理地提高制动梁体在非工作状态时的预应力,借以改善制动梁各部件在工作状态时的交变疲劳应力对梁体各部件的受力状况,进而提高货车组合式制动梁整体的使用寿命。文中给出了整定梁体各部件关键尺寸的计算步骤和设计方法。     

Prediction of thermal environment via revision of PMV index with body temperature

PMV （Predicted Mean Vote） is a widely used index for evaluating the thermal environment. However, few studies have been conducted to take physiological values directly as evaluating indices. This paper assumes a linear relation between body temperature and both sweating rate and heat produced by shivering, and introduces the linear relation into the human heat balance equation to revise the classic PMV. And the assumption of linear relation is subsequently proved. The revised PMV possesses the same characteristic of dependent heat load as that of the classic one, and moreover it is convenient to be calculated.     

防治桥头跳车的新方法

介绍一种采用“桥路一体化设计”的新方法 ,即在桥梁设计中采用无台身钢筋混凝土实体桥台及在桥墩上设置可升降式支座的措施来防止桥头跳车 ,这种方法较好地解决了桥台和台背路基填土的刚柔过渡问题 ,消除桥头部位在通车以后产生工后不均匀沉降 ,较彻底、简便、快速地解决桥头跳车问题     

波纹地板与枕梁过渡结构研究

介绍了现存几种枕梁与波纹地板过渡结构存在的问题,并分析其原因。通过对下翻式波纹地板的6种方案进行计算分析,提出解决问题的建议,并对上翻式波纹地板进行改进。     

船舶浮筏系统动力学特性的影响因素研究

在船舶浮筏隔振系统的动力学特性研究中，以往的刚体分析模型会在高频段造成很大误差，本文从基于有限元的弹性体模型出发，对隔振系统的多种方案进行了模拟激励下的响应分析，讨论了影响浮筏隔振性能的结构与材料因素，如隔振支承刚度与阻尼，筏体的刚与阻尼，浮筏基座刚度与阻尼等，通过船模实验验证了所建立的动力学模型，通过灵敏度分析得到振动传递率与各影响参数间的关系。