肥大型浅吃水船舶的模型试验

考虑沿海运输船舶进江和降低运输成本的需要，对于优化的超浅吃水（Ｂ／Ｔ＝４．０）肥大型（ＣＢ＝０．８４）船型，给出了快速性的试验和耐波性的计算分析结果，以供船舶设计参考。     

保险人基于损害补偿原则的拒赔抗辩——在《沿海、内河船舶保险条款》下的讨论

以沿海、内河船舶保险中保险人的视角,寻求其在《沿海、内河船舶保险条款》下以损害补偿原则作为拒绝赔付被保险人的抗辩理由的法律正当性,并试图通过探究这些原则和条款本身的内在涵义,为保险人和被保险人双方提供实践的参考;同时在分析这些抗辩理由在司法实践中的现实价值的过程中,进一步揭示该领域相关问题的法的实然所在。     

Effect of pitting corrosion on local strength of hold frames of bulk carriers (2nd Report)—Lateral-distortional buckling and local face buckling

Pitting corrosion is typical corrosion observed on coated hold frames of bulk carriers which exclusively carry coal and iron ore. In order to secure the safety of these types of bulk carriers, it is important to understand the effect of pitting corrosion on local strength of hold frames.

In order to investigate this effect, a series of 4- and 3-point bend tests on structural models which consist of web, shell and face plates has been carried out. Artificial pitting was created on the web plate to simulate pitting. In the 4-point bend tests, two equal concentrated loads have been applied vertically at the one-third points of simply supported models so that compression load due to bending would act on the face plate. In this testing condition, lateral-distortional buckling occurred before reaching the ultimate strength and local buckling of the face plate was observed after reaching the ultimate strength. The effect of web plate pitting on the lateral-distortional buckling strength was found to be small but the ultimate strength decreases with increase in the degree of pitting intensity. In the 3-point bend tests, concentrated load has been applied vertically at the center of simply supported models so that compression load due to bending would act on the face plate. In this testing condition, local face buckling occurred just after reaching the ultimate strength. The ultimate strength is found to be decreasing with increase in the degree of pitting intensity.

A series of non-linear FE analyses has been performed to simulate the deformation behavior observed in the tests. It has been revealed that even in the case of randomly distributed pitting corrosion the ultimate strength of the structural models was almost the same as that of the structural models with uniform corrosion corresponding to the average thickness loss.     

An approach to estimating the hull girder response of a ship due to springing

This article describes an estimation method for the hull girder response of a ship due to springing. The linear and nonlinear springing effects on the hull girder are evaluated. Previous studies on the springing response focused mainly on the symmetric response, or vertical response. In this article, however, the springing analysis is extended to asymmetric responses, or horizontal and torsional responses. The Timoshenko beam model was used to calculate the hull girder response and the quadratic strip method was employed to calculate hydrodynamic forces and moments on the hull. To remove irregular frequencies, a rigid lid was adopted on the hull free surface level and hydrodynamic coefficients were interpolated for asymptotic values. Applications to two ships for the symmetric and asymmetric responses were carried out and the effect of springing responses is also discussed.     

水火弯板温度场的数学模型

本文分析了水火弯板的热过程特点。应用移动热源理论，建立了求解薄板、中厚板和厚板温度场的数学模型。考虑分布热源和材料热物性对温度场的影响，研究了求解温度场的数值方法。最后介绍了水火弯板瞬态温度分布的测试原理，给出实验和计算结果，并分析了模型的误差原因。     

基于均值化主成分分析的交通安全评价方法研究

为对我国各地日趋严峻的道路交通安全现状进行科学、合理的评价,选择适用的安全评价方法是非常必要的,对主成分分析法进行了改进研究,充分考虑了主成分自身存在指标差异性被忽略、因子载荷存在负值等影响,通过采用均值法处理数据、选取较少主成分等途径有效改进了主成分法。构造了可以综合反映交通安全状况的6项相对指标为主体的道路交通安全综合评价指标体系,并以我国2009年东部省份的道路交通安全状况数据为例进行实例分析,采用传统主成分法和改进后的主成分法分别进行了道路交通安全综合评价,通过聚类分析法对改进前后评价结果的差异进行了比较研究。     

基于主成分分析的舰船装备维修费组合预测

针对基于回归的组合预测模型,由于舰船装备维修费预测时可利用的样本小、可用的单项预测方法多,容易导致预测模型的数量比用于组合预测的样本数量多,出现回归系数无法估计的问题。在建立基于回归的舰船装备维修费组合预测模型前,首先对各单项预测方法预测结果进行主成分分析,建立舰船装备维修费实际值在选取主成分上的回归模型,给出基于主成分分析的组合预测模型;然后针对主成分分析中根据主成分的累积贡献率确定主成分数量具有一定的主观性,建议采用AIC确定主成分的数量;最后,采用实例对给出的方法进行分析和验证。结果表明:在舰船装备维修费组合预测中,该方法不仅解决了预测模型多于用来组合预测的样本数量问题,而且还可以解决单项预测方法之间的共线性问题,且其预测性能明显优于常用的组合预测模型。     

港口物流指数的编制初探

从物流、港口、港口物流的概念入手,分析了影响港口物流指数的诸因素并由此建立了港口物流发展水平指标体系。运用主成分分析法对港口物流发展水平进行了分析,并得出了港口物流指数,。     

Fault diagnosis of marine diesel engine intake and exhaust system based on dynamic feature fusion北大核心CSCD

[目的]船舶系统由多设备的复杂机构组成,各组件参数具有动态性和非线性的特点,所以故障诊断过程复杂。为提高诊断效率,提出一种动态特征融合方法。[方法]利用分形理论、动态理论及核主元分析(KPCA)法对系统状态数据进行重构、映射及筛选,得到主元特征数据矩阵,求得平方预测误差(SPE)及相应的控制限,构建出基于船舶柴油机进排气系统健康数据的离线监测模型,利用该模型对系统进行故障诊断分析。为验证模型的有效性,选取某船舶柴油机进排气系统的故障数据进行验证分析。[结果]结果表明,动态特征融合分析方法可有效实现对系统动态非线性状态数据的精确分析,实现对系统故障的高效分析和诊断。与KPCA及支持向量机(SVM)方法相比,所提方法具有更好的故障诊断性能。[结论]该方法可实现船舶柴油机进排气系统故障的检测和诊断,提升系统运行的可靠性和安全性。     

基于模糊主成分分析法的供应商评价与选择决策

企业供应商的选择所设计的指标非常多时,就很难轻易地作出决策.采用模糊主成分分析法一方面可以容易地从中找出主要因素及其贡献率(初始权重),达到降维的目的,另一方面可以对主成分初始权重进行修正使得所得到的权重合理,赋予新的权重后使得评价值比较科学和客观,能够作为进行供应商的参考.