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101.
The need for acquiring the current-year traffic data is a problem for transport planners since such data may not be available
for on-going transport studies. A method is proposed in this paper to predict hourly traffic flows up to and into the near
future, using historical data collected from the Hong Kong Annual Traffic Census (ATC). Two parametric and two non-parametric
models have been employed and evaluated in this study. The results show that the non-parametric models (Non-Parametric Regression
(NPR) and Gaussian Maximum Likelihood (GML)) were more promising for predicting hourly traffic flows at the selected ATC station.
Further analysis encompassing 87 ATC stations revealed that the NPR is likely to react to unexpected changes more effectively
than the GML method, while the GML model performs better under steady traffic flows. Taking into consideration the dynamic
nature of the common traffic patterns in Hong Kong and the advantages/disadvantages of the various models, the NPR model is
recommended for predicting the hourly traffic flows in that region. 相似文献
102.
结合工程实例对气幕法沉井工艺有效减低井周土体扰动的原理,有利于减少沉井工程周边管线与构筑物搬迁,降低沉井工程的成本等优势及该工艺的应用进行分析和探讨,总结了一些经验,认为该工艺是在城市化地区沉井施工中一种值得采用的施工措施。 相似文献
103.
工程机械组群动态组织与集成管理系统研究 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
阐述了工程机械组群动态组织与集成管理系统的组成,特点和发展趋势,分析了系统的技术关键发及技术性能,确定了系统的构成方案,详细探讨了各功能单元的结合关系以及系统的社会,经济效益。 相似文献
104.
双质量飞轮式扭振减振器 总被引:12,自引:0,他引:12
现代汽车广泛采用的是离合器从动盘式扭振减器,而双质量飞轮式扭振器则是近年来发展起来的一种更为有效的新型扭振减振器。本比较了了双质量飞轮式扭振减器和离合器从动盘式扭振减器的结构、性能及优缺点。 相似文献
105.
106.
面向21世纪的海事控制理论探讨:船舶营运安全的基本要素结构 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
IMO自成立以来始终致力于减少船舶事故。1998年实施的ISM规则和STCW78/95公约,以及即将遍布全球的PSC网,能否有效地降低海事数量?如何控制“人为因素”?如何控制21世纪的海事?经分析,提出了船舶营运安全的基本要素结构:“人-机-环境-管理”理论假说。经检验,假说便于全面查找事故原因和预防措施,便于分析和弥补IMO现行安全措施的不足,方便了海上安全学科体系的构建。进而提出了包含该理论的海事控制策略建议。为将海事控制由经验型的事后性纠正,上升为科学型的事前性预防,提供了一种研究和控制模式 相似文献
107.
Over recent decades, there have been numerous cases of land-based transport policies that have lacked clear and coherent strategies. This has not only hampered the resolution of issues like road congestion, but has also created new ones (e.g. strong social opposition to new train infrastructures). The absence of such strategies highlights the need for long-term transport policies with a wider vision of the issues, since land-based transport cannot be considered from just a technical perspective.The main objective of this article is to implement a participatory integrated approach to facilitate the understanding of land-based passenger transport governance issues on Tenerife, in the Canary Islands. Relevant policy issues and alternatives are identified by the stakeholders involved. The inclusion of stakeholders in the assessment process is crucial to frame transport governance issues appropriately and to define and assess plausible policy alternatives. This assessment process even included a final step of validation of the results by stakeholders to foster discussion among them about transport issues and policy alternatives.Finally, due to the obstructive role played by some stakeholders in influencing past transport policies, an analysis of possible coalitions among stakeholders is also discussed. 相似文献
108.
Characteristics of the built environment (BE) have been associated with walk, transit, and bicycle travel. These BE characteristics can be used by transportation researchers to oversample households from areas where walk, transit, or bicycle travel is more likely, resulting in more observations of these uncommon travel behaviors. Little guidance, however, is available on the effectiveness of such built environment oversampling strategies. This article presents measures that can be used to assess the effectiveness of BE oversampling strategies and inform future efforts to oversample households with uncommon travel behaviors. The measures are sensitivity and specificity, positive likelihood ratio (LR+), and positive predictive value (PPV). To illustrate these measures, they were calculated for 10 BE-defined oversampling strata applied post-hoc to a Seattle area household travel survey. Strata with an average block size of <10 acres within a ¼ mile of household residences held the single greatest potential for oversampling households that walk, use transit, and/or bicycle. 相似文献
109.
简单扼要地叙述了标准化管理的基本原理,试图从标准化管理在铁路局中地位和作用这个视角出发,论述在新时期铁路局标准化管理工作的主要任务,探讨铁路局如何又好又快地实施标准化管理的工作模式和建议。 相似文献
110.
从近几年铁路部门发生行车事故原因剖析的视角出发,阐述标准化管理工作与铁路运输安全相互间密不可分的关系,并就标准化管理工作如何紧贴铁道部“高标准、讲科学、不懈怠”要求和保障铁路运输安全,提出具体的对策和措施。 相似文献