江苏沿海港口吞吐量影响因素及预测分析

目前江苏沿海地区综合开发已上升到国家发展战略层面,沿海港口建设正在迅猛开展。港口吞吐量的预测对于港口的建设有着极其重要的意义。以港口和腹地之间的互动关系为出发点,分析了可能影响江苏沿海港口吞吐量的若干因素,采用主成分分析法提取了过去10年影响港口吞吐量的最关键因素,剖析了江苏港口发展的内在影响机理,并提出了基于影响机理的预测模型。最后使用模型对江苏港口吞吐量进行验证分析,模型为江苏沿海港口新一轮发展提供了有力的数据支撑。     

某港重力式码头结构型式比选与造价分析

针对岩基海岸某港10万t级散货泊位的重力式码头结构,进行沉箱和方块2种结构型式方案的技术经济比较和造价分析.比选分析结果表明,随着水深的增加、码头结构断面加大,方块与沉箱相比其整体性不足的缺点越发凸显,本工程重力式码头选用沉箱结构型式更为合理.     

渤海海峡以西海域山东沿海公共航路的规划方案

在对渤海海峡以西海域山东沿海船舶交通流和所发生海事的调查研究的基础上,对海域通航环境进行分析,揭示渤海海峡以西海域山东沿海主要交通流模式和交通环境特征,结合IMO<船舶定线制的一般规定>,对渤海海峡以西海域山东沿海公共航路进行规划设计.新规划方案的提出对促进海上交通安全和海域经济协调发展具有重要的现实意义.     

长江口12.5 m深水航道运行5年沪苏两地的效益响应

选择上海市及江苏省2个地区作为长江口深水航道受益对象,从宏观经济效益和社会效益2个层面分析评价长江口12.5 m深水航道运行5年沪苏两地的效益响应。结果表明,沪苏两地沿江港口的疏浚吞吐比整体有所下降,近5年降幅分别近15%和25%,2015年已分别减小至949 m~3/万t和327 m~3/万t。2011—2015年,沪苏两地因12.5 m航道产生的疏浚单方GDP增长量分别为目前国内疏浚成本单价的15~20倍和40~60倍,疏浚净效益相当可观。随着12.5 m深水航道江苏段的投入运行和沿江港口码头的改造升级,长江口深水航道的疏浚效益还将进一步增加。     

浅谈公路滑坡中抗滑桩加固施工特点

在高速公路中,挖孔抗滑桩是高边坡防护、滑坡治理普遍采用的形式,但由于挖孔抗滑桩是在特殊工程背景下,它的施工措施自有其特殊的地方,现本文浅谈一点看法。     

On the morphological long-term development of dumped material in a low-energetic environment close to the German Baltic coast

The development of the bed bathymetry of an experimental dumping area was followed over three-and-a-half years by means of multibeam echosounder techniques. Two types of material were discharged in the bight of Mecklenburg in the Baltic Sea in approximately 20 m of water depth. One set of the discharges was 2900 m³ of glacial till and the other set was a 2400 m³ mixture of glacial till, sand and minor amounts of cohesive matter. Only approximately 2500 m³ (86%) of the glacial till and 1500 m³ (63%) of the mixed soil materials were deposited on the seabed. This means that already during the dumping process a considerable part of the sediment material drifted away. The glacial till formed crater-like rings of 30 m diameter with peaks up to 1.4 m above seabed, whereas the spatial structure of the mixed soil material was somewhat more diffuse, but with similar magnitudes in the peaks and troughs.The morphological changes were small and their quantification required a high measuring precision in the order of few cm in the vertical. The dominant processes of surface deformation was flattening of peaks and filling of troughs. The speed of this process decreased with horizontal scale: structures of less than 4 m horizontal extension had a trend to disappear within less than five years, whereas structures of larger than 8 m extension showed little change and are estimated to remain detectable for many decades. In contrast to the reworking of the matter inside the dumping structures, no net transport of material out of the dumping area could be detected. Extrapolating the observed morphological changes into the future it is estimated that without significant decrease in internal shear strength of the disposed till the structures will persist for at least 70 years. This can be attributed to the high internal stability of the dumped glacial till and the low hydrodynamic forces present at the seabed in this region.     

粉沙质海岸建港的新模式

根据东营港所在海域的自然条件,从泥沙角度探讨了东营港扩建工程中新的建港布置形式,采用陆连岛方案,将拟建港区设置在岸外-8 5m深水区,通过栈桥和实堤与陆相联。     

Changes in size at maturity of European hake Atlantic populations in relation with stock structure and environmental regimes

European hake (Merluccius merluccius) female size at maturity is estimated on an annual basis for Bay of Biscay and Galician coast, which are parts of the distribution of the Northern and Southern stocks, respectively. Clear trends in this reproductive parameter are observed along the time series and the potential factors affecting these trends have been investigated. Total biomass, different indexes of SSB, age diversity index, fishing mortality at age, NAO winter index, upwelling index and temperature were included in multiple regressions models to assess the relative importance of each of them on shifts in size at maturity.Bay of Biscay and Galician coast hake have followed different evolution in patterns of changes in size at maturity. In Bay of Biscay, a steadily decline of 15 cm has been observed from 1987 to 2004, which is well predicted by fishing mortality and age diversity, but also the environment may have played an important role. However, on the Galician coast a drastic decline of 16 cm from 1980 to 1988 was followed by a rapid increase in size at maturity during the next 10 years to original values and a stable period in the last 6 years. Decreasing biomass may explain the decline in size at maturity in the first period. However, total biomass and spawning biomass declined even during the period when size at maturity increased, which is contrary to compensatory theory. Shifts in environmental regime, NAO and upwelling, may have contributed to a decelerated growth during this period that might explain the later maturation.     

江苏省水路基本现代化指标体系研究

首先分析了江苏省水路基本实现现代化需要重点研究的问题,剖析了水路基本实现现代化的内涵,并构建水路基本现代化的评价指标体系;在综合评价江苏省水路运输现状的现代化水平的基础上,提出江苏省水路基本现代化的总体目标和关键性控制目标,最后提出实现的路径.     

海岸河口多功能数学模型软件包TK-2D的开发研制

从工程应用角度出发,以解决实际工程问题为目的,针对海岸河口海区的特点,开发了方便有效的多功能数学模型软件包TK-2D。TK-2D由主模块和辅助模块组成。主模块包括五个子模块,即“五场”:波浪场数学模型软件、潮流场数学模型软件、盐度场数学模型软件、悬沙场数学模型软件和地形冲淤场数学模型软件;辅助模块包括前处理软件、后处理软件和动态显示制作软件。大量实际工程的应用证明了TK-2D的实用性和有效性。