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51.
52.
A probabilistic particle tracking model is used to simulate the oil dispersion after the Prestige wreckage. This oil spill constitutes a suitable benchmark to analyze the capabilities of a probabilistic model, since the time elapsed from wreckage to oil landing (12 days) is much longer than the reliability time associated with forecast winds, usually on the order of 3–4 days. The particle model can be run in two different modes: real time mode (when existing reliable wind fields for the event under scope) and in probabilistic mode (in absence of reliable wind fields but with historical fields corresponding to a similar period). The validity of the particle model is first evaluated in a hindcast way, running the Prestige case with the wind fields corresponding to the period November 19 to November 30, 2002, which were not available at the moment of the wreckage. Calculations show the accuracy of the model to provide the right impact point and timing. The probabilistic model is then used to simulate the same event by means of historical data. The region where the oil landed is shown to be the area with the highest probability to be impacted. 相似文献
53.
四边固定支承矩形薄板振动分析的有限积分变换法 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
利用双重有限余弦积分变换的方法推导出了四边固定支承条件下,矩形薄板的固有频率和振型的解析解表达式.由于在求解过程中不需要事先人为地选取挠度函数,而是从弹性薄板的基本振动方程出发,直接利用数学的方法求出可以完全满足四边固定支承的边界条件,弹性矩形薄板的固有频率和振型解析解,使得问题的求解更加合理化.最后,还给出了计算实例来验证文中所采用的方法以及所推导出的公式的正确性. 相似文献
54.
Konstantinos G. Zografos Konstantinos N. Androutsopoulos Teemu Sihvola 《Transportation》2008,35(6):777-795
Flexible transport services include a wide range of demand responsive transport systems that provide non-conventional passenger
and freight transportation services. Several alternative business models varying according to the local market conditions,
the socio-economic, legal, and institutional framework may be developed for the provision of Flexible Transport Systems (FTS).
The objective of this paper is twofold: first to present an integrated methodological framework for developing and assessing
alternative FTS business models and second to demonstrate its applicability to a case study regarding the prioritization of
alternative FTS business models for the provision of flexible passenger transport services in Helsinki.
相似文献
Teemu SihvolaEmail: |
55.
B. Blanco A. Alonso L. Kari N. Gil-Negrete J. G. Giménez 《Vehicle System Dynamics: International Journal of Vehicle Mechanics and Mobility》2018,56(4):529-552
The finite length nature of rail-pad supports is characterised by a Timoshenko beam element formulation over an elastic foundation, giving rise to the distributed support element. The new element is integrated into a vertical track model, which is solved in frequency and time domain. The developed formulation is obtained by solving the governing equations of a Timoshenko beam for this particular case. The interaction between sleeper and rail via the elastic connection is considered in an analytical, compact and efficient way. The modelling technique results in realistic amplitudes of the ‘pinned–pinned’ vibration mode and, additionally, it leads to a smooth evolution of the contact force temporal response and to reduced amplitudes of the rail vertical oscillation, as compared to the results from concentrated support models. Simulations are performed for both parametric and sinusoidal roughness excitation. The model of support proposed here is compared with a previous finite length model developed by other authors, coming to the conclusion that the proposed model gives accurate results at a reduced computational cost. 相似文献
56.
57.
Sales tax measures passed at the local level and dedicated to transportation projects have become increasingly popular in
the United States. While revenues from fuel taxes stagnate, growth of local transportation sales taxes (LTSTs), most approved
in local elections, has led to a gradual shift of the financial base for transportation projects away from user fees and toward
broader-based taxes. In this study, the relationship between voter support and the social, political, and geographic characteristics
of the voters is explored. Using precinct-level voting data and census demographic data for three local transportation sales
tax elections in Sonoma County, in the San Francisco Metropolitan area of California, regression models were constructed to
analyze this relationship. In addition, the relationship between the outcomes of the three measures was explored to better
understand which transportation projects might have garnered more support for the successful measure. It was found that the
closer voters lived to the transportation projects to be funded, the greater their support. Higher incomes were also positively
related to support, controlling for other variables. Political leanings were found to affect support, with the direction of
the effect dependent upon the project list in each measure’s expenditure plan. Finally, it appears that the latest measure,
which passed successfully, benefited greatly from its multi-modal expenditure plan. 相似文献
58.
Numerical artifacts can limit accurate simulation of turbulent particle motion when Lagrangian particle-tracking models are implemented in hydrodynamic models with stratified conditions like fronts. Yet, modeling of individual particle motion in frontal regions is critical for understanding sediment dynamics as well as the transport and retention of planktonic organisms. The objective of this research was to develop a numerical technique to accurately simulate turbulent particle motions in a particle-tracking model embedded within a hydrodynamic model of a frontal zone. A new interpolation scheme, the ‘water column profile’ scheme, was developed and used to implement a random displacement model for turbulent particle motions. A new interpolation scheme was necessary because linear interpolation schemes caused artificial aggregation of particles where abrupt changes in vertical diffusivity occurred. The new ‘water column profile’ scheme was used to fit a continuous function (a tension spline) to a smoothed profile of vertical diffusivities at the x–y particle location. The new implementation scheme was checked for artifacts and compared with a standard random walk model using (1) Well Mixed Condition tests, and (2) dye-release experiments. The Well Mixed Condition tests confirmed that the use of the ‘water column profile’ interpolation scheme for implementing the random displacement model significantly reduced numerical artifacts. In dye-release experiments, high concentrations of Eulerian tracer and Lagrangian particles were released at the same location up-estuary of the salt front and tracked for 4 days. After small differences in initial dispersal rates, tracer and particle distributions remained highly correlated (r = 0.84 to 0.99) when a random displacement model was implemented in the particle-tracking model. In contrast, correlation coefficients were substantially lower (r = 0.07 to 0.58) when a random walk model was implemented. In general, model performance tests indicated that the ‘water column interpolation’ scheme was an effective technique for implementing a random displacement model within a hydrodynamic model, and both could be used to accurately simulate diffusion in a highly baroclinic frontal region. The new implementation scheme has the potential to be a useful tool for investigating the influence of hydrodynamic variability on the transport of sediment particles and planktonic organisms in frontal zones. 相似文献
59.
朱焱 《西南交通大学学报》1995,30(4):410-415
本文主要介绍向对象的系统分析原理与方法以及进行系统信息模型设计的思想,并用这种新方法对接触网参数数据库输入过程进行了分析和建模。 相似文献
60.
SDMIS是一个热处理车间计划和调度微机管理信息系统。该系统运用运筹学模型和数据库技术,对MIS及计划和调度模型作了一些理论上和实践上的探索和尝试。由于以热处理车间为模型,系统是针对热处理车间的特点进行分析和设计的。通过SDMIS系统用户可以随时了解生产情况,掌握生产进度。在引进优先效和优先级的基础上,本文还建立了优先数计划编制模型和三级优先随机调度模型,用调度模型进行的日调度,能在全面分析生产情况和短线情况的基础上,分清轻重缓急,进行科学有效的调度。 相似文献