Climate change modeling and the weather-related road accidents in Canada

The objective of this research is to study the impact of climate change on the hazardous weather-related road accidents in the New Brunswick, Canada. We develop an Exposure to Weather-Accident Severity (EWAS) index multiplying accident and weather severity. The Negative Binomial Regression and Poisson regression models are applied to estimate the spatial–temporal relationship between the EWAS index and weather-related explanatory variables of road accidents. The regression results show that the surface-weather condition, weather, driver’s gender, weather-driver’s age, weather-driver’s experience, and weather-vehicle’s age have strong positive correlation with the EWAS index, while the surface-road alignment and surface-road characteristics have negative relationship with the EWAS index. The climate change model also indicates that the number of accidents declines during snowy and freezing days—most people stay at home and those who travel extra cautious—accidents do occur. The study suggests that the Road Safety Strategy 2015 of the Transport Canada should take a holistic approach to help minimize the incidences of severe road accident during the normal as well as hazardous weather conditions.     

基于高斯过程的TGDI发动机充气模型试验研究

采用高斯过程(Gauss Process,GP)对增压直喷汽油机充气模型开展研究,首先以发动机进气过程物理特性为理论基础,阐述模型控制原理,并基于高斯过程的发动机充气模型,采用稳态和慢动态数据完成模型精度的验证,结果表明:模型精度较高,可作为黑盒模型用于ECU控制算法开发及离线标定功能开发。此外,研究了减少训练数据点和减少输入参数对高斯模型精度的影响。     

On model-based longitudinal feed-forward motion control for low velocities on known road profiles

ABSTRACT

So far, longitudinal motion control has focused on situations like highway driving, where disturbances of the road profile can be neglected. In this paper, we show how the Two Point Tire Model can be used to derive a novel feed-forward control law for a vehicle's longitudinal motion that considers the effects of the road profile and can complement existing control approaches. For this purpose, we recapitulate the basic model assumptions and equations and briefly discuss how it can be used on arbitrary road profiles. Two approaches for implementation in a real vehicle are presented. Comparisons of these approaches in simulation and to a human driver of an experimental vehicle show that the controller can deal with stepped obstacles of up to 14?cm in height. However, the control performance is essentially limited by the actuator delay and human drivers outperform the controller due to their ability of sensing subtle vehicle motions. The results indicate that the control performance can be further improved by using a preview on the necessary drive torque, which can be provided by the solution that we propose.     

曹妃甸新区交通需求预测模型的思考

对于没有基础的交通量和经济社会发展状况等方面数据的未开发区域以及没有系统科学的交通量调查数据的曾经偏远落后的地区,很难用经典的交通需求预测模型来预测其远景年的交通量,可以考虑采用土地利用回归模型对该地区进行交通需求预测。     

A study of the relationship between Magic Formula coefficients and tyre design attributes through finite element analysis

Pacejka's Magic Formula Tyre Model is widely used to represent force and moment characteristics in vehicle simulation studies meant to improve handling behaviour during steady-state cornering. The experimental technique required to determine this tyre model parameters is fairly involved and highly sophisticated. Also, total test facilities are not available in most countries. As force and moment characteristics are affected by tyre design attributes and tread patterns, manufacturing of separate tyres for each design alternative affects tyre development cycle time and economics significantly. The objective of this work is to identify the interactions among various tyre design attributes-cum-operating conditions and the Magic Formula coefficients. This objective is achieved by eliminating actual prototyping of tyres for various design alternatives as well as total experimentation on each tyre through simulation using finite element analysis. Mixed Lagrangian–Eulerian finite element technique, a specialized technique in ABAQUS, is used to simulate the steady-state cornering behaviour; it is also efficient and cost-effective. Predicted force and moment characteristics are represented as Magic Formula Tyre Model parameters through non-linear least-squares fit using MATLAB. Issues involved in the Magic Formula Tyre Model representation are also discussed. A detailed analysis is made to understand the influence of various design attributes and operating conditions on the Magic Formula parameters. Tread pattern, tread material properties, belt angle, inflation pressure, frictional behaviour at the tyre–road contact interface and their interactions are found to significantly influence vehicle-handling characteristics.     

郑州市公交场站复合利用策略研究

公交场站是公共交通网络的关键节点,其复合利用模式可影响公交服务质量。本文从理论基础及应用策略两个层面对城市公交场站复合利用模式进行梳理,对公交场站复合利用的意义、模式及方法进行研究,建立集约高效的公交场站复合利用模式。以郑州市为例,验证了本文提出的公交场站复合利用模式能够适应这个时期的城市用地发展特征,提高公交场站服务能力,同时可减轻政府财政压力,发挥投资效益,可为政府部门制定公交场站复合利用模式提供参考。     

Multi-level condition-based maintenance planning for railway infrastructures – A scenario-based chance-constrained approach

This paper develops a multi-level decision making approach for the optimal planning of maintenance operations of railway infrastructures, which are composed of multiple components divided into basic units for maintenance. Scenario-based chance-constrained Model Predictive Control (MPC) is used at the high level to determine an optimal long-term component-wise intervention plan for a railway infrastructure, and the Time Instant Optimization (TIO) approach is applied to transform the MPC optimization problem with both continuous and integer decision variables into a nonlinear continuous optimization problem. The middle-level problem determines the allocation of time slots for the maintenance interventions suggested at the high level to optimize the trade-off between traffic disruption and the setup cost of maintenance slots. Based on the high-level intervention plan, the low-level problem determines the optimal clustering of the basic units to be treated by a maintenance agent, subject to the time limit imposed by the maintenance slots. The proposed approach is applied to the optimal treatment of squats, with real data from the Eindhoven-Weert line in the Dutch railway network.     

石灰桩融化岛状多年冻土的试验研究

针对岛状多年冻土区的新建工程和既有工程改扩建过程中面临的地基多年冻土稳定性问题,利用生石灰与水反应放热原理,采用预融技术对多年冻土地基进行处理,达到使冻土融化并固结沉降从而增强地基承载力的效果。在收集国内外工程中处理岛状多年冻土的主要方法和生石灰桩在处理地基的应用范围等相关资料的基础上,创新性开展石灰桩预融冻土地基室内模型试验研究,通过试验确定适用于融化高温岛状冻土且增强其地基承载力的石灰桩材料类型、材料配合比及施工工艺,并对其应用效果进行评价,形成在高温岛状冻土地区可以应用的一种新型成套石灰桩预融技术。     

Modelling minimum-time manoeuvering with global optimisation of local receding horizon control

In this paper, we explore the notion that a human driver uses a receding horizon model predictive control (MPC) scheme for minimum-time manoeuvering. However, MPC is an inherently sub-optimal control scheme because not all future information is incorporated into its finite preview horizon. In many practical applications, this sub-optimality is tolerated as the solution is sufficiently close to optimal. However, it is known that professional drivers have the ability to learn driving circuits and exploit its features to minimise their global manoeuvering time. In this paper, we will model their process with a cascaded optimisation structure. Therein, the inner-loop features a local MPC scheme tasked with finding the control inputs that achieve a blended objective of minimising time and maximising velocity in each preview horizon/distance. The outer loop of this cascaded structure computes the best set of weights for the two components of the local objectives in order to minimise the global manoeuvering time. The proposed cascaded optimisation and control approach is compared against a straight-forward fixed-cost time optimal MPC applied to minimum-time manoeuvering over two well-known race courses. The paper also includes an extended literature review and details of the computational formulation of the model approach.