The Downs–Thomson Paradox with responsive transit service

Downs (1962) and Thomson (1977) suggested that highway capacity expansion may produce counterproductive effects on the two-mode (auto and transit) transport system (Downs–Thomson Paradox). This paper investigates the occurrence of this paradox when transit authority can have different economic objectives (profit-maximizing or breakeven) and operating schemes (frequency, fare, or both frequency and fare). For various combinations of economic objectives and operating schemes, the interaction between highway expansion and transit service is explored, as well as its impact on travelers’ mode choices and travel utilities. Further, for each combination, the conditions for occurrence of the Downs–Thomson Paradox are established. We show that the paradox never occurs when transit authority is profit-maximizing, but it is inevitable when the transit authority is running to maximize travelers’ utility while maintaining breakeven. This is because the former transit authority tends to enhance transit service (e.g., raise frequency or reduce fare) when facing an expanded highway; and on the contrary, the latter tends to compromise transit service (e.g., reduce frequency or raise fare). Both analytical and numerical examples are provided to verify the theoretical results.     

要重视发展物流服务企业

本文阐述了发展物流服务企业的意义及应注意解决的问题     

信息技术对水运公共行政的影响

社会信息化是当代社会的一种大趋势，它正推动着水运公共行政现代化的进程。信息技术的发展对诸如行政人员、行政决策、行政组织、行政方法、行政公文、政府管理模式等公共行政要素和过程产生着深远的影响。     

A zonal inference model based on observed smart-card transactions for Santiago de Chile

The collection of origin–destination data for a city is an important but often costly task. This way, there is a need to develop more efficient and inexpensive methods of collecting information about citizens’ travel patterns. In this line, this paper presents a generic methodology that allows to infer the origin and destination zones for an observed trip between two public transport stops (i.e., bus stops or metro stations) using socio-economic, land use, and network information. The proposed zonal inference model follows a disaggregated Logit approach including size variables. The model enables the estimation of a zonal origin–destination matrix for a city, if trip information passively collected by a smart-card payment system is available (in form of a stop-to-stop matrix). The methodology is applied to the Santiago de Chile’s morning peak period, with the purpose of serving as input for a public transport planning computational tool. To estimate the model, information was gathered from different sources and processed into a unified framework; data included a survey conducted at public transport stops, land use information, and a stop-to-stop trip matrix. Additionally, a zonal system with 1176 zones was constructed for the city, including the definition of its access links and associated distances. Our results shows that, ceteris paribus, zones with high numbers of housing units have higher probabilities of being the origin of a morning peak trip. Likewise, health facilities, educational, residential, commercial, and offices centres have significant attraction powers during this period. In this sense, our model manages to capture the expected effects of land use on trip generation and attraction. This study has numerous policy implications, as the information obtained can be used to predict the impacts of changes in the public transport network (such as extending routes, relocating their stops, designing new routes or changing the fare structure). Further research is needed to improve the zonal inference formulation and origin–destination matrix estimation, mainly by including better cost measures, and dealing with survey and data limitations.     

远程技术支援系统构建及其关键问题研究

通过综合通信网络,实现系统、全面、高效的远程知识共享和管理的装备维修远程技术支援系统,是实现一体化保障组织体系,加强一体化协同保障力量的重要组成部分.在不远的未来,随着通信技术和信号管理技术的发展,将构建安全、可靠、开放的远程技术支援通信网络平台一面向服务的软件架构(SOA,Service Oriented Achitecture).在此过程中,需研究更高效、通用的抽象知识表示,构建更科学的服务评价体系和全方位的通信网络安全体系.     

北京地铁新线100km/h车辆热容量问题分析

对北京地铁新线100 km/h车辆热容量问题进行了分析,对4种基础制动装置的配置方案进行了探讨。     

移动电站维修常见技术问题分析

通过对移动电站维修中存在的技术问题深入分析,指出了问题的成因、导致的后果,并逐一提出了解决问题的方法和避免问题的注意事项等。     

内河干线航道服务区布局研究

为了有效地指导我国水网地区内河干线航道服务区规划建设,提升内河航道服务水平和水运行业形象,增强航道服务性功能,从内河航道服务区研究背景与研究现状分析入手,从航道服务性功能角度出发,对内河航道服务区进行系统定义与分类;结合船民服务需求意向调查,对各类服务区进行功能定位;分析内河干线航道服务区布局的指导性原则、要求、步骤,提出分类布局、整体优化的航道服务区布局方法.     

铁路客运段信息化综合管理系统

根据我国铁路客运段的现状,集成基于GSM-R的无线移动售/补票子系统、车长办公子系统、餐车管理子系统、列车GPS定位与自动语音播报子系统、列车移动视频监控子系统五大车载系统,构建客运段信息化综合管理系统。在客运段建立集成平台,统一数据接口,规范客运业务,提供WEB查询服务,并对其中的两个关键子系统给出实现方案。铁路客运段信息化综合管理系统已在武汉铁路局下属客运段实际运行,取得了良好效果。     

关于上海公交体制改革的几点建议

在改革推进中，上海在公交管理体制、运营机制、服务质量方面得到不断提升。随着上海城市社会、经济的快速发展，2010年上海世博会的召开以及居民出行要求的日益提高，上海市公交系统面临新的挑战，由此提出了进一步深化公交体制改革的要求。对于上海这一轮的公交体制改革，从改革的目的、改革的方式方法、改革的配套措施等方面提出了几点建议。