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81.
As intelligent transportation systems (ITS) approach the realm of widespread deployment, there is an increasing need to robustly capture the variability of link travel time in real-time to generate reliable predictions of real-time traffic conditions. This study proposes an adaptive information fusion model to predict the short-term link travel time distribution by iteratively combining past information on link travel time on the current day with the real-time link travel time information available at discrete time points. The past link travel time information is represented as a discrete distribution. The real-time link travel time is represented as a range, and is characterized using information quality in terms of information accuracy and time delay. A nonlinear programming formulation is used to specify the adaptive information fusion model to update the short-term link travel time distribution by focusing on information quality. The model adapts good information by weighing it higher while shielding the effects of bad information by reducing its weight. Numerical experiments suggest that the proposed model adequately represents the short-term link travel time distribution in terms of accuracy and robustness, while ensuring consistency with ambient traffic flow conditions. Further, they illustrate that the mean of a representative short-term travel time distribution is not necessarily a good tracking indicator of the actual (ground truth) time-dependent travel time on that link. Parametric sensitivity analysis illustrates that information accuracy significantly influences the model, and dominates the effects of time delay and the consistency constraint parameter. The proposed information fusion model bridges key methodological gaps in the ITS deployment context related to information fusion and the need for short-term travel time distributions. 相似文献
82.
船舶在冰区航行时,存在冰晶颗粒混合海水流入船舶冷却系统现象。基于颗粒动力学理论,建立适用于海水-冰晶两相流的欧拉-欧拉双流体模型,耦合相间传热传质模型对海水-冰晶两相流在水平直管内流动及传热特性数值模拟。研究表明,冰晶颗粒流动过程中,在管道上部位置R=8~10mm处冰晶体积分数达到最大值,且随着速度增加而增大;当入口含冰率(IPF)为4%时,冰晶速度的最大值出现在管道中心轴线上方。当入口速度为1.0~3.0 m·s-1,含冰率4%~30%时,局部传热系数随入口速度及含冰率增大而增加。 相似文献
83.
针对海杂波背景下高频地波雷达的目标探测问题,采用时频分析方法研究对海杂波中的非平稳多分量目标探测。讨论了海杂波背景下的目标检测问题,以及信号的双线性时频分布,通过仿真研究了时频分布性能,尤其是核函数抑制多分量目标的交叉项作用。仿真结果显示,伪Wigner-Ville分布较Wigner-Ville分布对于交叉项的抑制作用较大,而平滑伪Wigner-Ville分布降低交叉项的效果更好。 相似文献
84.
长江口工程北导堤NⅡB标段采用在半圆形沉箱底板设置橡胶阻滑板的方法提高沉箱与抛石基床之间摩擦系数,作为抗地基土动力软化的工程措施。利用该项目试验数据,分析橡胶阻滑板与抛石基床的摩擦系数的统计特性与影响因素。分析结果表明,同一基床应力下摩擦系数试验值的概率分布接近于正态分布,摩擦系数的总体平均变化趋势随基床应力的增加略有降低,但全部试验数据的统计假设检验不支持这一观点,摩擦系数随基床应力的变化规律需要进一步研究。 相似文献
85.
为量化换乘对乘客出行路径选择的影响程度,在单层网络中添加虚拟换乘站,构建无隐性连接的三层多制式轨道交通拓扑网络模型.基于时间、换乘节点衔接性,计算线网间衔接性系数;利用Dijkstra法搜索模型各起讫点间的K短路径,以乘客感受到的线网复杂度及乘客出行计划确定时间,建立乘客对线网的熟悉度函数;根据乘客路径选择影响因素构建... 相似文献
86.
87.
This article examines possibilities for the application of soft computing techniques for the prediction of travel demand. The model, based on fuzzy logic and a genetic algorithm, successfully solves the trip distribution problem. The possibilities of using the proposed model in solving trip generation, modal split and route choice problems have also been indicated. The model has been tested on a real numerical example. Exceptionally good correspondences between estimated and real values of passenger flows have been obtained. 相似文献
88.
This paper proposes the adoption of an integrated inventory and transportation system (IITS) to minimize the total costs of inventory and transportation. A non-linear programing is developed by analyzing transportation and inventory costs with one supplier and many retailers in the distribution environment. The paper compares the proposed model with the traditional approach in computing total costs with numerical data. The results indicate that the total costs can be optimized by adopting integrated programing rather than the traditional approach, along with achieving improved customer service levels. In particular, sensitivity analysis is applied to determine the performance of the IITS under various transportation costs, holding costs and shortage costs. It shows that the transportation cost per unit is most sensitive in the proposed model. In this situation, the IITS is more effective for cost saving when set-up cost, holding and shortage costs are high, but is less effective for situations involving high per-unit transportation costs. 相似文献
89.
针对公路隧道供配电系统设计中存在的一些问题,结合实际工程中供配电系统的设计、施工及运营管理经验进行简要分析,并就公路隧道供配电系统的设计提出具体意见和建议,供设计、施工人员参考 相似文献
90.