基于道路设计与交通规划的道路选线优化模型

结合道路设计理论与交通规划理论,以地理信息系统为平台,开发道路选线优化模型。该模型是一个费用指向的优化问题,最小化费用目标函数中包括道路建设费用、土方工程费、道路交通诱发的环境污染的不经济费用,OD交通在路网上总走行时间的时间费用等。优化模型首先随机生成新建道路的空间位置候选方案集,并自动设计新建道路的平曲线和竖曲线,计算新建道路的各项工程费用。然后,对变化的路网进行自动拓扑,通过交通量分配得到OD交通在新路网上的走行时间和交通流特征,计算OD交通的环境负荷。最后,在遗传算法中判断候选方案的优劣,直到得到一个最佳的新建道路的空间位置方案为止。     

修正四阶段法在城市交通抗灾规划中的应用

根据地震环境下不同恢复阶段的社会经济活动及交通系统特性,对传统交通预测四阶段法———出行产生、出行分布、方式划分、交通分配的宏观模型进行了修正,讨论了不同模型的参数变化趋势,建议了参数的调整原则及方法,进而以修正四阶段法为基础进行震后交通需求预测。该方法简便易行,预测得到道路通行能力、流量、负荷度和平均运行时间等多个指标,为城市交通系统防灾规划提供决策依据。最后,结合我国东南沿海某城市的工程实践,有针对性的进行了应用和验证。     

公路客运班车报停制度研究

公路客运峰谷现象明显,在运能、运力有限的情况下,如何才能更好地满足客运高峰期(如春运)的交通需求是政府和企业的一项重要课题。现有的政策并没有使有限的客运资源得到最合理的利用,给能源和环境都带来了一定的影响。文章较系统地从企业和政府两个角度论述了建立班车报停制度的必要性和可行性,通过对客运线路的调查,对公路客运班车报停制度的社会经济效益作了定性和定量分析。     

城市大型建设项目交通影响分析

城市建设项目交通影响分析(TIA)能有效控制城市土地建设项目对交通的影响。文章分别从执行局面和研究层面阐述了TIA的主要内容,并结合国内外研究现状,分析了TIA各项关键指标和技术方法目前所存在的缺陷,指出目前TIA研究所存在的若干问题,同时总结归纳了建设项目进行TIA的一般流程。     

Experiential Incrementalism: On the Theory and Technique to Implement Transport Plans and Policies

The paper describes an approach to the vexing problem of transport planning and policy. It deals jointly with three questions, which in today's practice are addressed separately: How are hypotheses about transport problems and alternatives to their solution developed? How can a good plan or policy be identified? What is the process of implementing a transport plan or policy? In doing this the paper has the ambitious objective of proposing a new model and process for transport planning and policy. It is applicable in developed and developing countries and is not restricted to the transport sector. The paper builds on, and is a reinterpretation of two cornerstone transport planning and decision-making models – the CATS (Chicago Area Transportation Study) Planning and Design Model and Braybrooke and Lindblom's Disjointed Incrementalism. It advances a technique of experiential incrementalism (termed polisanalysis) to develop and implement plans and policies. It proposes that problems should be diagnosed by observation and continuous data collection; that their continuous analysis, finding the “cure”, and implementation take place through the method of experiential incrementalism. In this method interventions are grounded on the theories of neoinstitutional economics and psychoanalysis and derived using contact function, explained in the paper, which renders the method scientific replicability. Experiential incrementalism can employ a wider array of options in planning and policy than is presently thought possible. Like other scientific methods, its application requires rigorous training.     

Short-term Hourly Traffic Forecasts using Hong Kong Annual Traffic Census

The need for acquiring the current-year traffic data is a problem for transport planners since such data may not be available for on-going transport studies. A method is proposed in this paper to predict hourly traffic flows up to and into the near future, using historical data collected from the Hong Kong Annual Traffic Census (ATC). Two parametric and two non-parametric models have been employed and evaluated in this study. The results show that the non-parametric models (Non-Parametric Regression (NPR) and Gaussian Maximum Likelihood (GML)) were more promising for predicting hourly traffic flows at the selected ATC station. Further analysis encompassing 87 ATC stations revealed that the NPR is likely to react to unexpected changes more effectively than the GML method, while the GML model performs better under steady traffic flows. Taking into consideration the dynamic nature of the common traffic patterns in Hong Kong and the advantages/disadvantages of the various models, the NPR model is recommended for predicting the hourly traffic flows in that region.     

智能交通系统及其车辆自动控制技术

本文简要介绍了智能交通系统的概念、发展状况、基本内容和研究开发过程，进一步阐述了智能交通系统中的先进车辆控制技术。综述了汽车纵向控制、横向控制、自动驾驶及车列控制。最后，对我国如何发展智能交通系统和先进车辆自动控制技术进行了探讨。     

European freight transport and the environment: empirical applications and scenarios

Environmental issues have received a prominent place in transport policies of most European countries. The coordination of such policies however, is fraught with many difficulties. The increasing freight flows after the European integration are a source of concern, but have not yet led to straightforward and effective environmental strategies.The paper focuses on the Trans Alpine freight transport systems in the light of the future integration of single national transport systems into the European transport network. The environmental, social and institutional peculiarities of this ‘region’ have favoured—in the past—the development of strong nationally-oriented policies, partly in contrast with the goals promoted by the European Union. The present analysis aims to highlight opportunities, and limits inherent, in the implementation of various infrastructure projects oriented towards a drastic change of the Alpine transport systems structure. The Alpine countries, viz. Austria and Switzerland, play a central role in the promotion of environmental benign modes of transport of goods, with a clear focus on rail. The route choice and modal split of freight flows in Europe are taking place simultaneously. In this paper the results of European freight flow models (based on logit analysis and neural networks) will be presented. An important exercise is then to assess the consequences of various types of eco-taxes on road transport in Europe. In this context, several policy scenarios will be dealt with.     

船舶气囊下水工艺实践与发展前景

本文叙述船舶气囊下水新工艺在我国内河中、小型船厂近年来的实践，提出和总结气囊下水工艺有关计算方法和注意事项。鉴于气囊下水新工艺有其独特的优越性，并随着气囊制造质量和下水工艺不断完善提高，气囊下水新工艺必会有较好的发展前景，下水船舶重量期望可提高到2000t。     

街道设计理念下工程实践的若干思考

“完整街道”、“街道设计”等城市道路改造设计理念开始广泛应用于城市道路旧改等实际工程项目。然而，街道设计理念与传统的设计习惯、道路管理模式及使用者的接受程度，依然在现实应用以及工程实施上存在较大的分歧。以深圳市罗湖区道路设施品质提升工程和深圳市罗湖区精品示范路工程两个项目为工程背景，分别从宏观的街道空间改造和部分微观细节设计两个角度，分析项目实施过程中存在的难点和优化处置方案，为后续工程实践以及相关街道设计导则优化提供借鉴。