297000dwt超大型油船噪声源分析及控制

研究了船舶噪声的主要来源，揭示了297000dwt超大型油船噪声源的分布规律，对实例噪声结果作了对比，并分析了噪声产生的原因及采取的降噪措施。     

水工模型试验的流速测量方法与数据处理程序

在水工模型试验中,基础数据的准确度与精确度直接关系到科研成果的质量。流速是模型试验中观测的主要数据之一。模型流速的测量方法有许多种,如示踪物法、光电法、声学多普勒法等。光电法是目前水工模型试验中应用最多的流速测量方法。文章所述的模型测杆流速处理程序实现的功能就是计算流速测杆采集流速的平均值并直观地以流速过程线图显示。通过应用于上海国际航运中心洋山港区整体物理模型试验的实践表明,程序采用微调方法,解决了判断涨落潮时存在的问题,提高了水工模型试验工作的精度和效率,为科学决策提供了依据。     

Forecasting container throughput based on wavelet transforms within a decomposition-ensemble methodology: a case study of China

To improve predictive accuracy, new hybrid models are proposed for container throughput forecasting based on wavelet transforms and data characteristic analysis (DCA) within a decomposition-ensemble methodology. Because of the complexity and nonlinearity of the time series of container throughputs at ports, the methodology decomposes the original time series into several components, which are rather simpler sub-sequences. Consequently, difficult forecasting tasks are simplified into a number of relatively easier subtasks. In this way, the proposed hybrid models can improve the accuracy of forecasting significantly. In the methodology, four main steps are involved: data decomposition, component reconstruction based on the DCA, individual prediction for each reconstructed component, and ensemble prediction as the final output. An empirical analysis was conducted for illustration and verification purposes by using time series of container throughputs at three main ports in Bohai Rim, China. The results suggest that the proposed hybrid models are able to forecast better than do other benchmark models. Forecasting may facilitate effective real-time decision making for strategic management and policy drafting. Predictions of container throughput can help port managers make tactical and operational decisions, such as operations planning in ports, the scheduling of port equipment, and route optimization.     

HOWO系列车型起动系统原理及维修

起动系统是车辆重要的组成部分,以重汽HOWO车型为例,介绍重汽的EGR和高压共轨两种发动机系统．详细阐述近期车辆起动线路的更改,以及重汽HOWO车型起动系统故障的诊断方法。     

基于混合动态系统理论的简单混联式混合动力客车能量管理策略

分析简单混联式混合动力客车动力系统的结构;基于混合动态系统理论制定能量管理策略,并且通过仿真将该方案与原车进行比较.仿真结果表明,采用该方案的车辆动力性有所改善,燃油经济性有显著提高.     

基于多分辨率分析的区间类型2模糊系统

为了更有效地表达和处理系统的不确定性,提出了基于多分辨率分析的区间类型2(简称多分辨率区间类型2)模糊系统,构造了多分辨率区间类型2隶属度函数,并给出了基于尺度函数分解的结构和参数学习算法.多分辨率区间类型2模糊系统的前件是多分辨率隶属度函数,后件是输入的线性函数,因此系统可以自适应地划分输入论域空间,优化系统结构.将多分辨率区间类型2模糊系统应用于带有噪声的时间序列预测,预测结果的复杂度较小,均方根误差为0.105 2.     

基于分形插值方法的城市轨道交通车站客流拟合与仿真

城市轨道交通车站客流量的变化具有复杂的非线性特点,通过对某些车站一天的客流量时间序列的分析,发现其客流量的变化具有自相似性,并且满足某种拟周期性。本文采用迭代函数系统模型描述城市轨道交通车站客流量的变化特征,用计算机自动求解该迭代函数系统的相关参数,在此基础上采用分形插值的方法模拟产生动态的客流。通过与实际客流调查数据的对比分析可以看出,该方法模拟产生的客流不仅与实际客流较好地吻合,而且能更好地描述客流的非线性特征。     

Using OMP analysis to observe temporal variability in water mass distribution

Previous optimum multiparameter analyses have investigated spatial distribution of water masses and reported successful results. This study tests the method further with application to a time series to examine temporal variability in water mass distribution. Observations collected from the Sargasso Sea are utilised, mainly to detect well-documented property changes that have occurred in Labrador Sea Water, but also possible fluctuations in water mass contributions as a whole.The results show much structure and variability in the contributions of Central Water and upper deep waters in the depth range 900–2000 m. It is proposed that the passage of warm and cold core eddies is indicated by these changes in relative contributions of water masses, although quantitative comparison of satellite altimetry data with the model results is not conclusive.Significant irregularities in the distribution of Labrador Sea Water are also revealed by the model. Through-flow of modified (since the early 1990s) Labrador Sea Water is denoted in the results by an apparent absence from mid-1995 to early 1998. This suggests a transit time of 5–6 years between the Labrador Sea and Bermuda, which is consistent with observational findings described in the literature.     

一种短时交通流组合预测模型

为提高短时交通流预测的精度,提出利用BP神经网络、RBF神经网络和ARIMA模型构建组合预测模型,该组合预测模型利用最优化原理进行权系数的分配,并且满足分配到的权值始终具有实际意义。通过对分配的权系数进行显著性检验,以确保组合预测模型中选用的单项预测方法显著相关。通过实例分析,验证了组合预测模型的有效性,结果表明,相比较单一的预测模型,组合预测模型具有更高的预测精度。     

集装箱堆场消防参数及消防方式的探讨

通过对集装箱堆场消防系统设计参数的分析论证，提出集装箱堆场的消防设计参数为：消防用水量采用30L/s，火灾延续时间采用4h。根据港区陆域的特殊性，大面积集装箱堆场宜采用移动式消防方式。同时，对集装箱堆场的消防设计提出了相关的优化建议。