波罗的海干散货指数的简单预测方法

波罗的海干散货指数(BDI)被公认为国际干散货市场的晴雨表,预测BDI十分困难,也十分重要。着重介绍几种简单实用的数值拟合方法,并建立BDI预测模型,为航运管理人员提供参考。     

南河综合整治工程设计浅析

通过分析南京市南河综合整治工程设计,初探城市河道水环境综合整治设计思路和一些重难点问题的解决方案,以期为其他类似工程提供借鉴和参考.     

长江内河运输船舶事故的探讨

随着长江航运经济的迅猛发展,长江内河个体运输船舶队伍不断壮大,船舶的交通事故频频发生。预防船舶事故,确保人命、财产的安全,防止长江水域污染,是各级政府和海事管理机构的工作重点。文章探讨了引发长江内河运输船舶事故的原因,提出安全管理的对策和建议。     

壶口黄河大桥防洪评价的水文分析计算

在有防洪任务的河流上兴建大型建设项目,应进行防洪评价,桥位处水文分析计算则是防洪评价的核心内容,文中对壶口黄河大桥防洪评价的水文分析计算做了详细介绍。     

环境可持续集装箱班轮运输管理研究综述

集装箱班轮运输业如何在追求成本经济性和服务可靠性的同时做好环境可持续性,对航运企业、港口运营商以及政府组织都提出了新的挑战。围绕集装箱班轮运输在环境层面实现可持续发展的目标,本文分别从战略、战术和运营等3个层面就措施、技术和规章制度等所做的研究进行文献综述、分析发展趋势。战略层面,从市场减排机制和政策的制定、绿色政策、...     

兴隆水利枢纽运行后汉江下游枯水位变化及长江顶托关系调整

兴隆水利枢纽蓄水运行后,对坝下游枯水位、水位顶托关系等影响已初步显现。系统分析1970—2022年汉江下游水文站、水位站的流量与水位特征等变化。结果表明,汉江兴隆水利枢纽运行后,坝下游各站同流量的枯水位均表现为累积性下降态势,越向下游减幅越小。当汉川—汉口段和仙桃—汉口段水面比降分别低于0.020‰和0.025‰时,长江水位顶托作用显著影响汉川站及仙桃水文站的水位;当水面比降高于0.060‰和0.065‰时,长江水位顶托作用未影响汉川站水位和仙桃水文站。2013—2022年与2003—2012年相比,汉川—汉口段和仙桃—汉口段比降高于0.060‰和0.065‰的时间为增大态势,即2013—2022期间汉江和长江水情组合有利于汉江下游航道水深条件的稳定与发展。     

Forecasting the impacts of climate change on inland waterways

Inland waterways are vulnerable to climate change as river navigation depends on water levels. Droughts can severely disrupt inland navigation services by reducing water levels either to completely non-navigable ones or to levels that oblige operators to reduce vessel load. We analyse the impacts of droughts induced by climate change using projections of river discharge data provided by eleven different climate model runs. We consider location specific characteristics by focusing the analysis on four specific locations of the Rhine and the Danube where a substantial part of the total freight activity in the European Union (EU) takes place. For the majority of the cases and scenarios considered, a decrease of the number of low water level days is projected, leading to fewer drought related disruptions in the operation of the inland waterway transport system. Although the uncertainties from the climate projections should not be neglected, the navigation sector could benefit from global warming which means that European inland waterways might be one of the few sectors where climate change can have negligible, or even positive, impact. The average economic benefit, for the cases considered, from the decrease of low water levels by the end of the century is projected to be almost €8million annually.     

Risk perception affecting the performance of shipping companies: the moderating effect of China and Korea

Risks in the shipping industry have been highlighted and have attracted significant attention, especially following the bankruptcy of Hanjin in 2017. Due to the decrease in container volume, the business environment for large shipping companies in China has deteriorated. Therefore, major large shipping companies have implemented mixed ownership reform, which provides more opportunities for large Korean shipping companies to enter the Chinese shipping industry. This study first identifies risk perception, specifically focusing on the moderating effect of Chinese and Korean shipping companies, and then demonstrates the impact of these risks on shipping company performance. The results show that market, operational, and technical risks have a negative influence on Chinese shipping companies, whereas market, policy, financial, operations, and technical risks have a negative influence on Korean shipping companies. This study contributes to the fundamental understanding of the effect of risk perception on performance among shipping companies in both countries and calls for further research on risk management plans based on the risk factors identified herein. On a practical level, this study provides an important reference for operators and investors who seek to enter strategic alliances or joint venture in Chinese shipping industry.     

Exploring vessel-price dynamics: the case of the dry bulk market

We investigate second-hand vessel price heterogeneity. Based on a sample of 5,591 purchase and sale transactions in the dry bulk sector over the period 1998–2016, we deploy a nonparametric regression technique to assess the determinants of vessel price and vessel price variability. Next, we use quantile regression to estimate the effect of regressors (sources of heterogeneity) at different parts of the vessel price distribution. We find evidence that main sources of vessel price heterogeneity are the age of the ship (the older the vessel the higher its maintenance cost), the 3-month LIBOR (reflecting the cost of financing) and the annual charter rate (revenues from operation). Their influence is stronger at all higher quantiles (periods of expansion) and the median of the vessel price distribution.     

新时代下高职港口与航运管理专业“专创融合”路径探析

新时代背景下,高职院校专业教育与双创教育融合(简称"专创融合")是必然趋势。本文以港口与航运管理专业为载体,在研究综述的基础上,从专业双创教育现状、两者融合路径、保障举措等方面对专业教育与双创教育有机融合进行研究,培养高素质的创新型技术技能人才。本文不仅能促进学生可持续发展,而且为国内高职院校相关专业开展双创教育教学改革提供借鉴参考作用。