轨道交通乘客个性化出行路径规划算法

随着城市轨道交通网络的不断完善,可供乘客选择的轨道交通出行路径日益 增加,乘客出行路径决策愈加复杂.本文在分析轨道交通服务水平变量对不同属性乘客出 行路径选择行为影响的基础上,提出轨道交通乘客个性化出行路径规划算法.首先,基于 非集计理论构建针对不同类别乘客的路径选择模型,该模型综合考虑乘车时间、换乘时 间、换乘次数、车内拥挤度及个人属性等因素对乘客路径选择行为的影响.其次,基于不同 类别乘客的路径选择行为差异,构建考虑车内拥挤度变化的乘客个性化出行路径动态规 划算法,为不同属性乘客规划广义出行时间最小的路径.最后,基于广州地铁数据对算法 进行验证.结果表明,该算法针对乘客个人属性规划的最优出行路径,更加贴合乘客的出 行心理.     

Bike route choice modeling using GPS data without choice sets of paths

Concerned by the nuisances of motorized travel on urban life, policy makers are faced with the challenge of making cycling a more attractive alternative for everyday transportation. Route choice models can help achieve this objective by gaining insights into the trade-offs cyclists make when choosing their routes and by allowing the effect of infrastructure improvements to be analyzed. We estimate a link-based bike route choice model from a sample of GPS observations in the city of Eugene on a network comprising over 40,000 links. The so-called recursive logit (RL) model (Fosgerau et al., 2013) does not require to sample any choice set of paths. We show the advantages of this approach in the context of prediction by focusing on two applications of the model: link flows and accessibility measures. Compared to the path-based approach which requires to generate choice sets, the RL model proves to make significant gains in computational time and to avoid paradoxical accessibility measure results discussed in previous works, e.g. Nassir et al. (2014).     

武汉市过长江交通流量特征分析

武汉市过长江交通是武汉市最主要的交通流向之一。根据流量观测数据分析长江交通流量特征,表明武汉市区过长江交通饱和,交通需求总量大,出行目的种类多。过长江交通没有明显、固定的高峰日和高峰小时,除通勤交通外。还有公务等大量非通勤交通。其中武昌与汉口之间交通是主流向,需要适当新增通道缓解过江难问题。     

论绿色壁垒的突破及其与世贸规则的协调

当今时代,随着国际贸易的日益融合和发展,国家之间因贸易而产生的摩擦也日益增多。追求贸易与环境的协调统一本来是发展大计。但当它成为发达国家设置的绿色壁垒时。如何应对,如何使其与世贸规则协调,则成为我国应该重视的问题。本文通过对绿色壁垒问题的研究,希望能对其突破及解决有所裨益。     

Key criteria influencing the choice of Arctic shipping: a fuzzy analytic hierarchy process model

As Arctic sea ice shrinks due to global warming, the Northern Sea Route (NSR) and the Northwest Passage (NWP) offer a substantial reduction in shipping distance between Asia and the European and North American continents, respectively, when compared to conventional routes through the Suez and Panama Canals. However, Arctic shipping routes have many problems associated with their use. The main objective of this paper is to identify the key criteria that influence the decisions of shipping operators with respect to using Arctic shipping routes. A multi-criteria decision-making methodology, the Fuzzy Analytic Hierarchy Process, is applied to rank four potential categories of criteria (‘economic’, ‘technical’, ‘political’ and ‘safety’ factors) and their sub-criteria.

The results of the analysis suggest that, on aggregate, ‘economic’ is the most important category of influential factors, followed by ‘safety’, ‘technical’ and ‘political’ factors. The paper concludes, however, that the most influential specific sub-criteria relate to risks that lie mainly within the ‘safety’ and ‘political’ domains and that, especially in combination, these overwhelm the importance which is attached to ‘economic’ factors such as reduced fuel use. Finally, the implications of these findings for the future development of Arctic shipping are addressed at a strategic level.     

An exploratory study on the Northern Sea Route as an alternative shipping passage

This qualitative inductive research explores the potential benefits for the Scandinavian economy and ports through the implementation of the Northern Sea Route (NSR) as an alternative for container shipping to the established Southern route through the Suez Canal. To extract expert’s opinions and address these objectives, we utilised in-depth face-to-face semi-structured interviews through purposive sampling in a single case study setting. The analysis of the data demonstrates that the commercialisation of NSR can yield benefits for the Scandinavian economy (e.g. GDP increase, jobs creation) and reveals the benefits of Scandinavian ports (e.g. ECA’s, flexibility, hinterland, etc.) compared to other ports in North West Europe, which potentially grasp the NSR as an opportunity. However, it is highlighted that this can only be achieved if Scandinavian countries are proactive and secure their involvement.     

京杭运河穿黄及黄河北航道走向探析

近年来,京杭运河黄河以北段复航呼声越来越高,京杭运河穿黄及黄河北山东段走向成为目前需要迫切解决的问题。本文通过对东平湖周边防洪工程现状分析,提出了穿黄位置、穿黄方案及穿黄线路走向;根据黄河北河系水网布置,提出了京杭运河黄河北山东段航道初步走向,为京杭运河黄河以北段复航工程提供技术参考。     

广州海事博物馆文案设计之要素

在广州海事博物馆文案设计中,"渔民社会"部分反映了广州滨海先民的生存状态和信仰状态;"海上丝绸之路"部分反映了自汉代以来广州海外贸易和中外文化交流的历史史实;"航海技术"部分反映了古往今来广州造船业及港口的演进与发展,航海技术的日趋先进与科学化;"南中国海海防"部分反映了明清、民国及新中国建立后南中国海的海防由弱到强,由近岸防御到远海出巡的嬗变.     

深圳港区跨海货运通道方案比选研究

深圳市妈湾跨海通道蛇口—赤湾连接线工程是深圳港区跨海货运通道的一部分,建设条件复杂,为此开展多线位、多工法方案综合比选,以确定兼顾各方需求的优化方案。对工程的功能定位、港区货运需求、沿线用地情况及规划等因素进行了详细分析,对跨海货运快速路通道从选线、工法、设计方案逐层递进,进行多方案比选。综合考虑了地下空间充分利用、减少对港区用地占用,降低施工对疏港交通影响等因素,确定了项目的选线方案以及双管单层15 m盾构的工法和设计方案。成果为深圳市等港区货运通道的选线及设计方案提供借鉴。     

基于乘客路径选择的多制式轨道交通客流分配

为量化换乘对乘客出行路径选择的影响程度,在单层网络中添加虚拟换乘站,构建无隐性连接的三层多制式轨道交通拓扑网络模型.基于时间、换乘节点衔接性,计算线网间衔接性系数;利用Dijkstra法搜索模型各起讫点间的K短路径,以乘客感受到的线网复杂度及乘客出行计划确定时间,建立乘客对线网的熟悉度函数;根据乘客路径选择影响因素构建...