造船企业80后员工特征分析及管理方法探讨

考虑到造船企业吸纳了大量的80后员工,如何有效管理这些80后员工,发挥他们的长处,营造和谐的企业氛围,为80后员工提供更好地职业发展空间,为企业创造更大价值,成为企业管理者和人力资源部门关注的焦点,通过对80后员工所处的职业阶段特点和职业心理特征的分析,提出进行有效管理激励的思路和对策。     

Development and evaluation of a statistically reliable traffic counting program

This paper reviews the existing procedures to compute the seasonal factors, growth factors, and the number of automatic traffic recorder stations (ATRs) for developing a statistically reliable traffic counting program. The review is based on, (i) theoretical evaluation of the procedures, (ii) analysis of the results obtained from applying these procedures to extensive real life data, and (iii) experience of past researchers with these methods. The paper primarily deals with existing statistical procedures for determining seasonal factors, since it is believed that these factors play the most important role in estimating Annual Average Daily Traffic (AADTs) from short counts. The procedure of cluster analysis (which is most commonly used to determine seasonal factors) is critically reviewed. The shortcomings of this method motivated the development of a different statistical procedure, based on regression analysis, to determine seasonal factors. It is shown that this newly developed method gives better results than the cluster analysis techniques. Furthermore, separate sections are dedicated to a thorough analysis of determination of number of ATR stations and computation of growth factors.     

Forecasting bunker prices; A nonstationary,multivariate methodology

This paper suggests a methodological approach for the forecasting of marine fuel prices. The prediction of the bunker prices is of outmost importance for operators, as bunker prices affect heavily the economic planning and financial viability of ventures and determine decisions related to compliance with regulations. A multivariate nonstationary stochastic model available in the literature is being retrieved, after appropriate adjustment and testing. The model belongs to the class of periodically correlated stochastic processes with annual periodic components. The time series are appropriately transformed to become Gaussian, and then are decomposed to deterministic seasonal characteristics (mean value and standard deviation) and a residual time series. The residual part is proved to be stationary and then is modeled as a Vector AutoRegressive Mooving Average (VARMA) process. Finally, using the methodology presented, forecasts of a tetra-variate and an octa-variate time series of bunker prices are produced and are in good agreement with actual values. The obtained results encourages further research and deeper investigation of the driving characters of the multivariate time series of bunker prices.     

泡沫沥青现场冷再生技术在G104线安徽段上的应用

介绍了泡沫沥青现场冷再生技术在G104线安徽段上的试验应用,通过技术方案选择、施工过程以及质量控制要点等,得出了泡沫沥青冷再生技术在旧路面大修中具有很强的灵活性及隔断裂缝反射、减薄沥青面层的特点。     

Cape结构路用性能调查和试验研究

通过现场调查得出Cape结构试验路的主要病害,并根据调查结果确定试验内容,分别研究了Cape结构的防水性、低温抗裂性、高温抗车辙性和层间粘结性能。试验结果表明:Cape结构防水性能良好,但用规范关于稀浆封层渗水系数的标准检测过于严格;Cape结构低温抗裂性能较沥青混凝土差,与沥青碎石相近,SBR改性剂可明显改善其低温抗裂性能;Cape结构高温抗车辙性能良好,层间粘结性能随温度的升高而下降,并且与基层表面处理措施密切相关,当温度较高时容易发生剪切破坏。     

移动荷载下路面结构应力响应分析

实际中汽车总是以一定的速度行驶在路面上,首先将汽车荷载简化为移动的均布荷载,借助大型有限元软件ABAQUS,利用三维动力有限元方法,分析了移动荷载下车辆正常行驶状态、慢速行驶及刹车情况时路面结构内部应力响应规律。分析结果表明,较低的速度将会使路面结构内部产生更大的应力,各应力分量与速度变化基本呈线性关系;刹车过程中在路表面产生的水平荷载对路表面层附近的水平剪应力影响相当大,在刹车较频繁区域,提高面层及其层间接触面的抗剪强度,可减少或防止推挤、拥包等病害的出现。分析结果可为路面结构设计和路面施工提供理论参考。     

CFRP加固混凝土梁受弯承载力的有限元分析

碳纤维增强复合材料(CFRP)具有高强、质轻、工艺性好和耐腐蚀好等优点,在混凝土结构加固领域的应用日趋广泛。针对实际情况下钢筋混凝土梁式桥因受弯承载力不足产生破坏的特点,对碳纤维布加固混凝土梁的受弯性能进行了试验和初步有限元数值分析,通过ANSYS有限元建模,其中,混凝土单元类型采用Solid65空间混凝土单元,钢筋单元采用Link8空间链杆单元,外部粘贴CFRP采用Shell41膜单元,混凝土梁支座采用Solid45单元。分析与试验结果表明,与普通混凝土构件相比,经CFRP加固的混凝土构件可有效利用碳纤维材料高强度的特性,混凝土梁的抗弯承载能力和刚度得到较大幅度的提高,在混凝土结构加固领域具有广泛的应用前景。     

长江干线大桥水域通航环境安全评价

随着经济的发展．长江干线上建桥越来越多．跨江大桥对船舶航行安全造成了一定的威胁。通过建立长江大桥水域通航环境危险度评价指标体系，根据各指标对安全影响程度的研究结论和专家调查结果．确立通航环境危险度评价标准．并应用模糊综合评价的方法实现对桥区通航环境危险度的综合评价．从而掌握桥区通航环境的安全状况。     

水平隧道火灾通风纵向控制风速的合理确定

针对2种等宽度、不等高度的水平隧道模型,借助CFD技术分析了环境温度、火灾热释放强度、断面形状对临界风速的影响。选择断面水力高度为特征尺寸,获得2种隧道模型对应的量纲一的临界风速随热释放强度的变化关系,且其与缩尺模型试验及全尺度试验结果相比均具有较好的一致性;并基于CFD模拟结果,分析了Kennedy公式的不足。结果表明,大型隧道火灾通风纵向控制风速的确定过程中应避免使用Kennedy公式计算临界风速。     

流沙地质浅层断桩处理技术

通过应用压浆方法对流沙地质浅层断桩位置进行隔水处理,形成干施工后用人工对断桩混凝土进行凿除,最终在不影响桩体结构、尺寸和受力下对断桩进行接长处理,经二次检测满足Ⅰ类桩要求,为类似流沙地质浅层断桩处理提供借鉴。