Bush-based sensitivity analysis for approximating subnetwork diversion

Subnetwork analysis is often used in traffic assignment problems to reduce the size of the network being analyzed, with a corresponding decrease in computation time. This is particularly important in network design, second-best pricing, or other bilevel problems in which many equilibrium runs must be solved as a subproblem to a master optimization program. A fixed trip table based on an equilibrium path flow solution is often used, but this ignores important attraction and diversion effects as drivers (globally) change routes in response to (local) subnetwork changes. This paper presents an approach for replacing a regional network with a smaller one, containing all of the subnetwork, and zones. Artificial arcs are created to represent “all paths” between each origin and subnetwork boundary node, under the assumption that the set of equilibrium routes does not change. The primary contribution of the paper is a procedure for estimating a cost function on these artificial arcs, using derivatives of the equilibrium travel times between the end nodes to create a Taylor series. A bush-based representation allows rapid calculation of these derivatives. Two methods for calculating these derivatives are presented, one based on network transformations and resembling techniques used in the analysis of resistive circuits, and another based on iterated solution of a nested set of linear equations. These methods are applied to two networks, one small and artificial, and the other a regional network representing the Austin, Texas metropolitan area. These demonstrations show substantial improvement in accuracy as compared to using a fixed table, and demonstrate the efficiency of the proposed approach.     

Understanding members' carsharing (activity) persistency by using econometric model

Carsharing is an innovative travel alternative that has recently experienced considerable growth and become part of sustainable transportation initiatives. Although carsharing is becoming increasingly a popular alternative transportation mode in North America, it is still an under‐researched area. Current research is aimed at better understanding of the behavior of carsharing users. For every member, a two‐stage approach microsimulates the probability of being active in any month using a binary probit model and given that a particular member is active during a month, the probability of that member using the service multiple times using a random utility‐based model. The model is estimated using empirical data from one of the largest carsharing companies in North America. The model estimates reveal that the activity persistency of members is positively linked to previous behaviors for up to 4 months, and that the influence of previous months weakens over time. It also shows that some attributes of the traveler (gender, age, and language spoken at home) impact his or her behaviors. Copyright © 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Vulnerability analysis for large-scale and congested road networks with demand uncertainty

To assess the vulnerability of congested road networks, the commonly used full network scan approach is to evaluate all possible scenarios of link closure using a form of traffic assignment. This approach can be computationally burdensome and may not be viable for identifying the most critical links in large-scale networks. In this study, an “impact area” vulnerability analysis approach is proposed to evaluate the consequences of a link closure within its impact area instead of the whole network. The proposed approach can significantly reduce the search space for determining the most critical links in large-scale networks. In addition, a new vulnerability index is introduced to examine properly the consequences of a link closure. The effects of demand uncertainty and heterogeneous travellers’ risk-taking behaviour are explicitly considered. Numerical results for two different road networks show that in practice the proposed approach is more efficient than traditional full scan approach for identifying the same set of critical links. Numerical results also demonstrate that both stochastic demand and travellers’ risk-taking behaviour have significant impacts on network vulnerability analysis, especially under high network congestion and large demand variations. Ignoring their impacts can underestimate the consequences of link closures and misidentify the most critical links.     

一种新型管道机械接头密封分析

随着海洋石油事业的发展,尤其是在役多年的石油平台工艺管道长时间受腐蚀介质和海洋环境的影响容易发生泄漏,传统的管道焊接技术由于需要动火作业,在已投产的石油平台管道维修方面受油气易燃易爆等各种因素的制约,不适应海洋平台管道维修快速、环保、经济等新要求。文中利用ANSYS有限元软件对传统机械接头的结构进行优化分析,开发出一种新型管道机械连接接头。此种接头具有耐高压、耐腐蚀、节能、安全、安装快捷等显著优点,特别适用于海洋石油平台工艺管道的快速维修。着重分析了新型管道机械接头的基本结构、连接机理及影响其密封性能的主要因素,分析结果显示此种连接可靠。     

国内外船舶通用基础机电产品产业发展特点

本文围绕泵、阀、轴承、密封件、紧固件等五大类船舶通用基础机电产品,对其产业发展现状进行分析研究,总结国内外船舶通用基础机电产品产业发展特点,提出未来产业发展建议,为国内产品自主创新与产业升级提供参考。     

无梁板式高桩码头温度效应分析

气温的年变化会引起结构内温度的均匀变化,从而使得结构内部产生变形和内力,在高桩码头工程中温度作用往往会引起不利影响。为了研究无梁板式高桩码头的温度效应,基于无限板的热传导规律,以工程实例为依托,利用有限元软件ABAQUS建立三维模型。结合杭州地区的逐时气象资料,研究了气温变化特征、面板温差场以及结构变形与位移的变化规律,并对基本气温的选取进行讨论。结果表明:气温在无梁面板中呈现以厚度方向为主的一维传热特征,温度场在水平向分布均匀;气温年变幅在面板内几无衰减,日变幅对面板温度影响不可忽略;面板的整体温差与竣工时气温和年平均气温差,以及年变幅、日变幅的衰减值有关;无梁板码头基桩的温度响应受面板的整体温差控制,两者瞬时同步变化。     

Multiple criteria optimization method for the vehicle assignment problem in a bus transportation company

A vehicle assignment problem (VAP) in a road, long‐haul, passenger transportation company with heterogeneous fleet of buses is considered in the paper. The mathematical model of the VAP is formulated in terms of multiobjective, combinatorial optimization. It has a strategic, long‐term character and takes into account four criteria that represent interests of both passengers and the company's management. The decision consists in the definition of weekly operating frequency (number of rides per week) of buses on international routes between Polish and Western European cities. The VAP is solved in a step‐wise procedure. In the first step a sample of efficient (Pareto‐optimal) solutions is generated using an original metaheuristic method called Pareto Memetic Algorithm (PMA). In the second step this sample is reviewed and evaluated by the Decision Maker (DM). In this phase an interactive, multiple criteria analysis method with graphical facilities, called Light Beam Search (LBS), is applied. The method helps the DM to define his/her preferences, direct the search process and select the most satisfactory solution.     

隆林新洲养护站边坡稳定性分析

文章利用SLOPE／W模块,基于确定值方法和可靠度理论的极限平衡法．对隆林新洲养护站边坡在不采取支挡措施和采用锚索抗滑桩支挡措施情况下,如何保持边坡稳定性进行了对比分析。     

一种基于独立成分分析和径向基神经网络的人脸识别新方法

提出了一种新的基于独立成分分析和径向基神经网络的人脸识别方法。独立成分分析可以从高阶上消除特征数据的相关性,改进了主成分分析方法只能从2阶上消除数据相关性的弱点;最终特征数据的分类由RBF神经网络来实现。在人脸数据库上的实验结果表明该新方法的识别性能较其他方法有了很大提高。     

一种改进的Jakes’信道模型及仿真

由于无线通信环境中存在的诸多不确定因素以及其在现代无线通信系统中的重要作用，合理的无线信道成为通信系统仿真研究的重要目的。确立信道仿真模型的目的就是为了尽可能的得到实际信道的统计特性，该文针对Jakes提出的信道模型，通过仿真来分析其局限性，并参考其中的谐波叠加（sum of sinusoids，SOS）法，来建立一种采用了随机分支增益、随机初始相位和有条件的随机多普勒频率改进的信道模型。