区分障碍物特性的客车乘客疏散模型与分析

近年来,疏散性能评估已成为客车车厢设施布局及设计流程中的必要环节.考虑狭长通道下障碍物特性对人员疏散影响显著,引入感知域概念,刻画疏散人员翻越座椅等行为决策特性;进一步引入一类多值函数扩充元胞状态集合,量化障碍物的可翻越特性,建立障碍物模型,模拟紧急状态下人员无序疏散行为;为对模型结果验证分析,建立基本模型,构建其与AnyLogic®均可模拟的基本场景,在此场景下对二者模拟结果交叉验证.模拟分析结果及结论是,移动规则合理有效,结合障碍物模型并考虑可翻越障碍物影响的模拟结果是可信的;发现N k O -tk evac 曲线与此情形下的疏散动画具有一定的时空关联性,可为车体设计提供进一步参考;此外,随疏散人员感知域的增大,疏散时间逐渐减小.     

基于UML工作流模型的应用研究

分析了工作流模型的组成,根据统一建模语言的特点,形式化定义了为工作流过程建模的UML活动图结构以及建模规则,给出一个应用实例来描述建模过程并对模型作了详细分析。     

高速交通中堵塞形成阶段的交通流模型

研究了高速交通中由于各种交通瓶颈而导致交通堵塞的过程, 通过与高速空气动力学中的激波问题作比拟, 建立适用于这一过程的交通流模型, 包括完全堵塞和部分堵塞两种状态下的不同模型。依据实际测量数据, 论证了平面交叉口绿灯转红灯时车流堵塞波的推进速度满足正态分布假设, 其拟合优度高于泊松分布假设。建立的完全堵塞状态下的交通流模型揭示, 随着上游来流的平均流量增加, 堵塞波的推进速度呈指数规律上升, 堵塞前后交通状态指数改变值在0.0 2~ 0.30范围内。根据部分堵塞状态下的交通流模型, 又可以得到不同程度堵塞条件下, 堵塞波的推进速度与上游来流流量之间的定量变化规律, 可以作为控制上游来流流量, 以减缓堵塞发展或尽快消除堵塞的计算依据。     

Large motion mountain biking dynamics

A bond graph model of a mountain bike and rider is created to develop baseline predictions for the performance of mountain bikes during large excursion maneuvers such as drops, jumps, crashes and rough terrain riding. The model assumes planar dynamics, a hard-tail (front suspension only) bicycle and a rider fixed to the bicycle. An algorithm is developed to allow tracking of a virtual tire-ground contact point for events that separate the wheels from the ground. This model would be most applicable to novice mountain bikers who maintain a nearly rigid relationship between their body and the bicycle as opposed to experienced riders who are versed in controlling the bicycle independent of the body. Simulations of a steep drop are performed for various initial conditions to qualitatively validate the predictions of the model. Results from this model are to be compared to experimental data and more complex models in later research, particularly models including a separate rider. The overarching goals of the research are to examine and understand the dynamics and control of interactions between a cyclist and mountain bike. Specific goals are to understand the improvement in performance afforded by an experienced rider, to hypothesize human control algorithms that allow riders to perform manoeuvres well and safely, to predict structural bike and body forces from these maneuvers and to quantify performance differences between hard-tail and full suspension bicycles.     

Food supply mechanisms for cold-water corals along a continental shelf edge

In recent years it has been documented that deep-water coral reefs of the species Lophelia pertusa are a major benthic habitat in Norwegian waters. However, basic information about the biology and ecology of this species is still unknown. Lophelia live and thrive under special environmental conditions of which factors such as temperature, water depth, water movement and food supply are important. The present work explores the hypothesis that Lophelia forms reefs in places where the encounter rate of food particles is sufficiently high and stable over long periods of time for continuous growth. This is done by relating the distribution of reefs with the results of numerical ocean modelling.Numerical simulations have been performed with an idealized bottom topography similar to what is found outside parts of the Norwegian coast. In the simulations the model is first forced with an along slope jet and then with an idealized atmospheric low pressure. The model results show that the encounter rates between the particles and the water layer near the seabed are particularly high close to the shelf break. This may indicate that many Lophelia reefs are located along the shelf edges because the supply of food is particularly good in these areas.A sensitivity study of the particle supply in the area close to the seabed for increasing latitude has also been done. This shows that the Ekman transport in the benthic layer tends to create a steady supply of food for benthic organisms near the shelf edge away from the equator.     

The effect of prices and income on car travel in the UK

The objective of this paper is to analyse the factors determining household car travel, and specifically the effects of household income and the prices of cars and motor fuels, and to explore the intertemporal pattern of adjustment. The question of asymmetry in the response to rising and falling income is also addressed. Such asymmetry may be caused by habit or resistance to change or the tendency to acquire habits to consume more easily than to abandon them. The impact of prices, the speed of adjustment and the resistance to change will be important in determining the possibility of influencing travel behaviour and specifically car use. The study utilises repeated cross-section data from the annual UK Family Expenditure Surveys and employs a pseudo-panel methodology. The results are compared with those for car ownership estimated on the basis of similar models.     

Future aspects in marine ecosystem modelling

Existing ecosystem models are briefly presented and summarised. The problem of coupling physical and biological models as well as aspects of prediction and predictability are discussed. The general perception that marine ecosystems are inherently unpredictable due to non-linearity becomes questionable if the response of climate variability in marine ecosystems is analysed. Many authors have shown correlations between climate variability and the variability of abundance or biomass of marine organisms such as phytoplankton, zooplankton, benthos or fish recruitment in different parts of the world ocean. In the northern hemisphere, certain species show a linear response to climate variability mainly during winter and spring. However, the underlying mechanisms are not well understood. Often, a phase lag can be observed between climate variability and the reaction of organisms. The identification of a plausible mediator between climate and biology is difficult, since all possible physicochemical mechanisms having a direct or indirect influence on the variability of abundance or biomass of marine organisms have to be considered as mediator.The understanding of the reason of the phase lag, which possibly implies a “biological memory”, and the identification of all possible mediators are necessary to predict the response of marine organisms to climate variability. The identification of mediators will result in an improvement of coupled models, a deeper understanding of physical–biological interaction and the improvement of predictive capability of marine ecosystem models.     

Analysis and optimisation of objective vehicle dynamics testing in winter conditions

Objective testing of vehicle handling in winter conditions has not been implemented yet because of its low repeatability and its low signal-to-noise ratio. Enabling this testing, by identifying robust manoeuvres and metrics, was the aim of this study. This has been achieved by using both experimental data, gathered with steering-robot tests on ice, and simulation models of different complexities. Simple bicycle models with brush and MF-tyre models were built, both optimally parameterised against the experimental data. The brush model presented a better balance in complexity performance. This model was also implemented in a Kalman filter to reduce measurement noise; however, a simpler low-pass filter showed almost similar results at lower cost. A more advanced full vehicle model was built in VI-CarRealTime, based on kinematics and compliance data, damper measurements, and real tyre measurements in winter conditions. This model offered better results and was therefore chosen to optimise the initial manoeuvres through test design and simulations. A sensitivity analysis (ANOVA) of the experimental data allowed one to classify the robustness of the metrics. Finally, to validate the results, the proposed and the initial manoeuvres were tested back to back in a new winter campaign.     

Long-term wear and rolling contact fatigue behaviour of a conformal wheel profile designed for large radius curves

There are many reasons to optimise the wheel–rail interface through redesign or maintenance. Minimising wear and rolling contact fatigue (RCF) initiation on wheels and/or rails is often at the forefront of such considerations. This paper covers the design of a conformal wheel profile and its long-term wear and RCF performance to optimise the wheel–rail interface and subsequently reduce the occurrence of surface-initiated RCF on South Africa’s iron ore export line. A comparative study is performed using multibody dynamics simulation together with numerical wheel wear and RCF predictions. The advantages of a conformal wheel profile design are illustrated by evaluating the worn shape and resulting contact conditions of the conformal design. The conformal design has a steadier equivalent conicity progression and a smaller conicity range compared with the current wheel profile design over the wheel’s wear life. The combination of a conformal wheel profile design with 2?mm hollow wear and inadequate adherence to grinding tolerances often result in two-point contact, thereby increasing the probability of RCF initiation. The conformal wheel profile design proved to have wear and potential RCF benefits compared with the current wheel profile design. However, implementation of such a conformal wheel profile must be accompanied by improved rail grinding practices to ensure rail profile compliance.     

基于地质横剖面的隧道工程三维地质建模方法研究

为直观准确地表达地质与隧道工程之间的相互关系,对三维地质与隧道的建模方法进行研究。首先,提出一种基于地质横剖面轮廓线的归一化三维地质体模型重构方法; 然后,以已建立的三维地质模型为基础,对基于隧道横断面的三维建模及隧道与地质模型合并过程中的模型切割、分层进行研究; 最后,开发基于断面的三维隧道地质建模及可视化系统。通过建模实例显示: 采用本文的方法能够取得良好的三维地质及隧道建模效果,直观展示隧道与地层间的相互关系,较为丰富地展现隧道的内部细节。