车务可视化信息系统设计与实现

车务可视化信息系统通过三维模型及虚拟漫游的展现形式,将铁路运行及运营的动态信息进行集成和柔性展示,实现旅客服务信息及运输管理相关数据的整合,通过可视化的展现方式既方便旅客及管理人员,又充分展示铁路信息化建设的成果。     

基于改进云模型的地铁站行人拥挤辨识方法

为降低城市地铁站内行人拥挤识别时多指标和多等级带来的不确定性和模糊性,采用改进云模型构建行人拥挤状态辨识模型。基于AHP-熵权法标定指标权重和行人拥挤状态等级,以标定的指标权重和各指标等级阈值作为输入,计算云数字特征值,采用正向正态云发生器,建立模板云和待识别云模型,计算两者之间的隶属度,根据最大隶属度原则辨识车站内各服务设施的行人拥挤状态,最后输出各服务设施的拥挤等级辨识结果。以宁波市鼓楼站为实证对象,对辨识结果进行实证分析。结果表明:采用四级行人拥挤状态划分方法合理可行。     

城市轨道交通融合云平台探讨

针对现有条件下城市轨道交通系统存在的信息孤岛、设备分散、网络资源浪费、安全管控弱、运维体系失调等问题,结合云计算在城轨行业应用的政治环境、政府响应、技术环境、现象后的本质、内部推动力等方面,提出城市轨道交通融合云平台的方案。该方案基于线网化IT资源建设,为ISCS、ACC、CCTV、PIS等业务提供基于IaaS层服务,并伴有车站降级运行和异地热迁移等策略,提高了系统的可靠性和可用性,解决了IT基础设施统一化、线网化的相关问题。论述主要业务系统的部署要点和建议,如综合监控系统的主备切换、AFC的扁平化层级、CCTV的带宽计算、PIS系统软件的可移植性等方面。     

12306互联网售票系统测试关键技术的研究与应用

为保障铁路12306互联网售票系统(简称:12306)的质量,需要采用必要的测试方法和测试技术.文章分析软件测试各阶段的测试方法,介绍自动化测试、测试模拟器、云测试、手机App兼容性测试等4种关键技术在12306测试中的应用.实践证明,使用合理有效的测试技术对保证12306的平稳运行至关重要.     

基于熵权—二维云模型的高铁建设工程系统韧性评价

高速铁路建设工程是一个多方参与的复杂系统,其建设过程中风险因素众多,可用系统韧性表示该系统的风险防御能力和受扰动后的恢复能力。为提高高速铁路建设工程风险防御能力及受外界因素扰动后的恢复能力,进行高铁建设工程系统韧性评价研究。以高速铁路建设工程系统为研究对象,基于韧性理论,从制度管理、人员管理、物料管理和信息管理4个方面构建铁路建设工程系统韧性评价指标体系。将防御能力和恢复能力作为各评价指标的基础变量,建立高速铁路建设工程系统韧性评价的熵权—二维云模型。运用熵权法对评价指标赋权,再利用MATLAB软件绘制二维评价云图,与标准评价云图作对比,表达工程系统韧性水平,最后计算贴近度以保证评价结果的准确性。以新建中卫至兰州铁路为例进行系统韧性评价,计算结果显示该工程系统韧性等级为“韧性大”(Ⅳ级),说明该项目韧性水平较好,并根据评价结果对韧性较低的指标提出加强举措。研究结果可为高铁建设工程系统韧性评价提供参考依据。     

Part 2. Beyond single-outcome models: Decompositions of aggregate and disaggregate road safety risk

The second part of the state-of-the-art focuses on the development of the founders' double streams explaining single-outcome indicators (probability of accidents and fatalities, respectively) by fixed form regression, as outlined in the Part 1. Following Page (1997, pp. 67–122, 2001) and others, we use as turning point of the evolution of both aggregate and discrete approaches the DRAG-1 model of 1984, itself based on aggregate data, which introduced four key innovations in principle applicable to both streams.     

基于信息系统的炮兵指挥信息能力评估研究

为提高基于信息系统的体系作战能力,对炮兵指挥信息能力构成进行了全面分析,建立了指挥信息能力评估指标体系,结合指挥信息对抗能力指标体系实例,引入云重心评判法对其进行科学评估,验证该方法的有效性,并得出结论为我军炮兵指挥信息系统建设提供了有益参考。     

一种基于BP神经网络的机动目标跟踪算法

交互式多模型（IMM）算法是一种可以有效跟踪机动目标的滤波算法,针对其跟踪精度和计算量在很大程度上受制于模型选择和转移概率确定的问题,提出了一种利用BP神经网络修正子模型滤波结果的改进IMM算法。仿真实验表明,该方法可以使IMM算法的收敛速度加快,收敛精度提高,改善了跟踪性能,具有一定理论指导意义。     

水面舰艇平台防空作战能力指标体系与评估

平台中心战是网络中心战的基础,舰艇单平台防空是舰艇编队防空的基础。依据水面舰艇平台防空作战流程,按功能将各个系统划分为传感器节点、决策节点、响应节点以及任务目标节点,同时构建了水面舰艇单平台防空作战能力指标体系,针对评估指标的定性定量特性,引入云重心评估法对水面舰艇单平台防空作战能力进行了评估。结果表明,该模型计算简便、通用性强,为解决军事领域类似问题提供了参考。     

Experimental and finite element analysis of fatigue strength for 300 mm2 copper power conductor

The fatigue strength of a 300 mm² stranded copper conductor was investigated experimentally and by finite element (FE) analysis. An analytical model was also developed and validated. Wires taken from the outer layer of the conductor were fatigue tested in tension–tension loading and compared with similar data for wires taken from a 95 mm² conductor. The wire cross section was deformed due to the compacting process that was applied during fabrication. When corrected for stress concentrations due to the deformation the data for the two sets of wire fell within the same scatter-band. Full scale testing was carried out in a specially designed rig with constant tensile load and reversed displacement controlled bending with a fixed curvature variation. The loading is a simulation of the loading of a power cable hanging from a floating vessel through a bellmouth. Conductors were tested in two states; dry and lubricated. A finite element model was established for the copper conductor. The model was formulated by a combination of elastic beam and beam-contact elements that included the effects of friction. The effect of local bending due to contact forces was included in the model. Two contact conditions were investigated; the point (trellis) contact between adjacent layers of wire and the inline contact within each layer and between the first layer (centre wire) and the second layer. The FE model was validated by a calibration test of a full scale conductor, and by sensitivity studies varying the size and the number of elements of the model. Fatigue analysis of the conductor was carried out, based on the S–N curve for individual wires. Taking into account the effects of friction and local bending, agreement was obtained between predicted and experimental fatigue strength of the conductor, for the FE model as well as the analytical model.