Shockwave-based queue estimation approach for undersaturated and oversaturated signalized intersections using multi-source detection data

With the progress of information and sensing technologies, estimating vehicular queue length at signalized intersections becomes feasible and has attracted considerable attention. The existing studies provided a solid theoretical foundation for the estimation; however, the studies have some restrictions or limitations more or less. This paper presents a new methodology for estimating vehicular queue length at signalized intersections using multi-source detection data under both undersaturated and oversaturated conditions. The methodology applies the shockwave theory to model queue dynamics. Using data from probe vehicles and point detectors, analytical formulations for calculating the maximum and minimum (residual) queue lengths of each cycle are developed. Ground truth data were collected from numerical experiments conducted at two intersections in Shanghai, China, to verify the proposed methodology. It is found that the methodology has mean absolute percentage errors of 17.09% and 12.28%, respectively, for maximum queue length estimation in two tests, which are reasonably effective. However, the methodology is unsatisfactory in estimating the residual queue length. Other limitations of the proposed models and algorithms are also discussed in the paper.     

Monitoring marine plankton ecosystems: Identification of the most relevant indicators of the state of an ecosystem

The number of variables involved in the monitoring of an ecosystem can be high and often one of the first stages in the analysis is to reduce the number of variables. We describe a method developed for geological purposes, using the information theory, that enables selection of the most relevant variables. This technique also allows the examination of the asymmetrical relationships between variables. Applied to a set of physical and biological variables (plankton assemblages in four areas of the North Sea), the method shows that biological variables are more informative than physical variables although the controlling factors are mainly physical (sea surface temperature in winter and spring). Among biological variables, diversity measures and warm-water species assemblages are informative for the state of the North Sea pelagic ecosystems while among physical variables sea surface temperature in late winter and early spring are highly informative. Although often used in bioclimatology, the utilisation of the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) index does not seem to provide a lot of information. The method reveals that only the extreme states of this index has an influence on North Sea pelagic ecosystems. The substantial and persistent changes that were detected in the dynamic regime of the North Sea ecosystems and called regime shift are detected by the method and corresponds to the timing of other shifts described in the literature for some European Systems such as the Baltic and the Mediterranean Sea when both physical and biological variables are considered.     

城市道路交叉口借道右转车道设置方法

为了弥补交叉口空间布局中对借道右转车道研究的不足,分析了借道右转车辆在两相邻交叉口间的运行过程,将两交叉口间距分为四部分。采用波动理论、考虑驾驶员的操作顺适性以及采用概率论方法,建立了借道右转的右转车道适宜开口位置模型、借道右转的绿化带开口长度模型和路段右转车辆的合流段长度模型,在此基础上得到了实施借道右转的两交叉口最小间距模型。实例分析表明,所得模型符合两相邻交叉口间的交通流运行实际,对于判断两相邻交叉口是否适合于设置借道右转,以及设置借道右转时如何对各构成部分进行分析具有指导意义。     

负温混凝土冻害及防冻模型的探讨

通过分析温度对混凝土的损伤机理,尤其是混凝土冻害机理,发展了抗冻临界强度理论和早期结构形成学说,从微观角度定性地描述了负温混凝土防止早期冻害所要形成的结构为抗冻临界界面结构。     

基于图论与故障树结合的控制系统故障诊断

探讨了一种图论与故障树结合的方法，可用于复杂控制系统的故障诊断，主要采用故障树图论模型的算法实现系统的故障诊断。图论（有向图）可直观反映故障传播关系，把故障节点分层，用矩阵表示节点与顶事件的关系，通过矩阵运算出各层节点到顶事件的通路长度，通过底事件的失效率算出各节点关键重要度，确定每条通路的权值，进而确定每一层故障节点的排查次序。矩阵表示便于计算机处理，避开了寻找故障树割集或路集的困难，提高了诊断效率。     

Second-order sum-frequency wave diffraction by a truncated surface-piercing cylinder in bichromatic waves

This work considers the second-order sum-frequency diffraction problem for a stationary truncated surface-piercing circular cylinder in bichromatic waves. The solution method was based on a semianalytical formulation of the second-order sum-frequency diffraction potential. The boundary conditions were properly satisfied by introducing the “locked” and the “free” wave components of the nonlinear velocity potential. The method was validated by comparing the calculated results with numerical data previously reported by other authors. Particular attention was paid to the second-order sum-frequency heave forces and the change in the wave run-up configuration due to the existence of the lower fluid domain underneath the truncated cylinder.     

桥梁通航孔船舶通行能力研究

跨海大桥的建设有利于促进两岸及其周边地区发展，进一步提升城市竞争力，对于整个地区的经济、社会发展都具有深远的、重大的战略意义。然而，大桥的建设改变了当地的船舶通航环境，通航孔宽度影响船舶自由航行。因此，有必要对桥区水域船舶通行能力进行研究。基于航海操纵模拟器，模拟船舶紧急制动距离，运用排队论的相关理论，分析大桥通航孔船舶通行能力，为建立桥区通航管理规则，合理规划过桥等待锚地提供参考，以利于保障桥区水域船舶航行安全。     

地质灾害危险性评价指标规范化方法研究

阐述了评价指标规范化处理在地质灾害危险性评价中的重要作用;针对传统线性规范化处理方法在实际应用中存在的不足,对评价指标危险等级的取值论域进行处理;基于模糊数学理论,提出直线型和曲线型2种规范化处理方法,使地质灾害危险性评价指标规范化处理更合理、更符合实际情况。实例应用结果表明,该规范化处理方法能较真实地反映地质灾害危险性等级。     

基于灰色预测模型的某型导弹费用研究

随着导弹武器装备技术含量提高、组成变复杂,各种费用也随之增加,对其费用的分析具有涉及范围广、时间跨度大、变量多及数据离散等特点。分析此类系统的特点,利用灰色理论的对其费用进行研究,并从某型导弹有限的寿命周期费用数据出发,建立GM(1,1)模型进行预测,结果较好。     

船舶电力推进变频输出电压谐波抑制研究

根据船舶电力推进变频驱动的特点,提出了一种新型变频器输出混合有源正弦波滤波器,在变频器的输出侧接上一个LC基波串联谐振电路,使变频器的输出电压对基波呈现低电抗、对谐波呈现高阻抗;同时实时检测负载端电压,根据瞬时无功功率理论可直接检测出谐波电压波形,并通过变流器和串联变压器反馈一个与谐波电压幅值相等、相位相反的电压去抵消系统中剩余的谐波电压。阐述了新型变频器输出混合有源正弦波滤波器的结构和工作原理,分析了滤波器的谐波抑制原理,给出了滤波器的仿真结果及分析。仿真结果表明:此滤波器设计新颖、结构简单、可靠性高,在各种工况条件下都能得到优化的滤波效果,很好地改善变频器的输出电压波形。