浅谈透水基层在路面排水中的运用

该文阐述了透水基层特殊材料在路面层中实际运用的可行性和关键技术数据分析。通过对桃江路景观道路综合整治工程中采用的道路排水方式和相应道路结构层的分析,论证了正确的道路排水方式对道路整体使用寿命和运营状况的重要性。     

浅谈永九快速线永龙隧道涌水量预测

该文通过永龙隧道工程实例,根据其水文地质条件,详细介绍了隧道涌水量预测方法,其中对水文地质参数的选择、计算公式的选择与推导作了详细论述,最后总结了经验和体会。     

基于土地利用的开发区交通需求预测模型研究及应用

该文提出了基于土地利用的开发区交通需求预测模型,并将其应用于实际规划工作。首先提出了基于土地利用的交通需求预测的体系框架,建立基于土地利用的居民出行生成预测模型,确定了用于出行分布预测的重力模型以及用于出行方式分担预测的距离竞争曲线模型,在此基础上,将所建立的模型应用于营口沿海产业基地的综合交通规划中,参考国内相关城市案例数据及营口老城区居民出行调查数据标定了上述模型中的参数,研究表明预测模型在开发区的交通规划中具有良好的应用效果。     

古夫隧道软弱围岩普通型机械化配套试验性施工技术

为提高隧道软弱围岩施工安全性和加快施工进度,依托古夫隧道出口段工程,首先通过超前地质预报、监控量测、应力应变测试等判断围岩及掌子面稳定性; 然后通过超前支护、低预应力涨壳式锚杆加固围岩,提高围岩自稳能力; 最后采用普通型机械化配套大断面法施工,对围岩的拱顶沉降、周边收敛、应力应变等进行监测,通过数据分析结果指导现场施工。研究结果表明： 1)隧道软弱围岩普通型机械化配套试验性施工技术可以有效地加快施工进度,保证施工安全; 2)信息化管理可以通过数据分析结果指导现场施工,大大提升隧道施工的管理水平。     

综合超前地质预报在小坪子隧洞中的运用研究

研究目的：研究如何在施工过程中对隧洞掌子面前方的地质条件进行预报，减少地质灾害的发生。研究方法：在超前地质预报的宏观预报、长期预报、短期预报、临近警报等不同阶段，以地质理论为基础，综合运用地质方法、地球物理勘探方法、钻探方法，结合实践经验进行研究。研究结果：得出了地质预报的阶段性和不同阶段的预报方法，提出了地质超前预报体系各方法的相互关系，得出了实施超前地质预报应采用的步骤、方法及实施时应注意的问题。研究结论：深埋长大隧洞施工过程中的地质预报，只有采取地质理论的、地球物理的、钻探的等综合的方法，并且按宏观的、长期的、短期的、临近的思路进行才能取得好的效果。     

1/32° real-time global ocean prediction and value-added over 1/16° resolution

A 1/32° global ocean nowcast/forecast system has been developed by the Naval Research Laboratory at the Stennis Space Center. It started running at the Naval Oceanographic Office in near real-time on 1 Nov. 2003 and has been running daily in real-time since 1 Mar. 2005. It became an operational system on 6 March 2006, replacing the existing 1/16° system which ceased operation on 12 March 2006. Both systems use the NRL Layered Ocean Model (NLOM) with assimilation of sea surface height from satellite altimeters and sea surface temperature from multi-channel satellite infrared radiometers. Real-time and archived results are available online at http://www.ocean.nrlssc.navy.mil/global_nlom. The 1/32° system has improvements over the earlier system that can be grouped into two categories: (1) better resolution and representation of dynamical processes and (2) design modifications. The design modifications are the result of accrued knowledge since the development of the earlier 1/16° system. The improved horizontal resolution of the 1/32° system has significant dynamical benefits which increase the ability of the model to accurately nowcast and skillfully forecast. At the finer resolution, current pathways and their transports become more accurate, the sea surface height (SSH) variability increases and becomes more realistic and even the global ocean circulation experiences some changes (including inter-basin exchange). These improvements make the 1/32° system a better dynamical interpolator of assimilated satellite altimeter track data, using a one-day model forecast as the first guess. The result is quantitatively more accurate nowcasts, as is illustrated by several model-data comparisons. Based on comparisons with ocean color imagery in the northwestern Arabian Sea and the Gulf of Oman, the 1/32° system has even demonstrated the ability to map small eddies, 25–75 km in diameter, with 70% reliability and a median eddy center location error of 22.5 km, a surprising and unanticipated result from assimilation of altimeter track data. For all of the eddies (50% small eddies), the reliability was 80% and the median eddy center location error was 29 km. The 1/32° system also exhibits improved forecast skill in relation to the 1/16° system. This is due to (a) a more accurate initial condition for the forecast and (b) better resolution and representation of critical dynamical processes (such as upper ocean – topographic coupling via mesoscale flow instabilities) which allow the model to more accurately evolve these features in time while running in forecast mode (forecast atmospheric forcing for the first 5 days, then gradually reverting toward climatology for the remainder of the 30-day forecast period). At 1/32° resolution, forecast SSH generally compares better with unassimilated observations and the anomaly correlation of the forecast SSH exceeds that from persistence by a larger amount than found in the 1/16° system.     

水文资料分析预测初探

水文资料在各阶段的使用当中越来越被重视,其合理性和真实性也是越来越严格。本文在分析水文资料实行一算二校、分局审查、省局汇审等环节的可靠性基础上,通过各阶段的错误率建立一灰色预测模型,提出了各阶段可控的错误率白化值及预测值,为科学、客观地评估各阶段水文资料校审质量提供了理论依据。     

快速二阶BP神经网络在公路交通量预测中的应用

在二阶BP神经网络基础上加以改进，提出一种快速二阶BP神经网络，并将把该方法成功地用于公路交通量的预测中，通过与其它方法的比较分析，得出快速二阶BP神经网络预测方法加快了收敛速度，提高了结果的准确度，为科学地预测公路交通量提供了有力依据。     

全球东西干线集装箱往返运量运力预测

利用基础分析法,借助时间序列回归预测等技术手段对太平洋航线东西航线的运量和运力做了合理的预测,可为船公司进行战略调整和决策提供一定的依据。     

公路施工中长大组合曲线的测设

介绍了利用线路平面控制网的控制点测设道路工程中组合曲线中线桩点位的坐标计算、测设方法。这种点位坐标计算公式，利用全站仪或测距仪配合计算器进行施测，既快速方便，又精度高，是高等级道路工程建设中点位测设的好方法。