舰船时统设备电磁兼容测试分析

通过对舰船时统设备电磁兼容测试中出现的传导发射和辐射发射超标问题的对策分析，寻找超标原因，并提出有效的解决方案，探讨了设备在元器件选用和生产工艺上如何采取有效措施解决传导发射和辐射发射超标，使产品的EMC满足限值要求。     

滤波技术在电源系统EMC设计中的应用分析

文章在分析电子设备电源系统传导干扰产生机理的基础上,阐述电源线滤波器在电子设备EMC抗干扰设计中的作用及应用分析。并结合试验测试数据,来分析滤波控制技术在电子设备抗干扰设计中的重要性。     

干道信号协调控制优化方法

针对干道信号协调控制中控制策略及其控制优化参数设置上存在的问题,考虑到智能控制中Sugeno模糊推理所具有的复杂系统动态性能表达能力和神经网络控制方法所具有的学习能力,结合两者的优势建立了1种基于模糊神经网络的交通信号协调控制模型,实现对绿信比与相位差的优化,使用微观交通仿真软件Vissim对干线交通进行了仿真研究,仿真结果表明,该方法能更为有效地减小平均车辆延误。     

基于Bayesian的舰船战场损伤评估模型研究

针对舰船战场损伤评估的多元信息特点,建立了在观测操作条件下的舰船战场损伤评估的贝叶斯网络推理算法.分析了舰船战场损伤过程的不确定性,在所建立的贝叶斯网络模型的基础上,提出运用删减法来降低网络的复杂性.实例表明了该算法的适用性、有效性和可操作性.     

基于模糊推理的区域路网交通状态分析方法

为准确判别区域路网的交通状态,对区域路网交通流的宏观特性进行了详细分析,建立了路网交通状态评估指标体系。结合区域路网的拓扑结构与交通流特征,基于模糊推理技术提出了路网交通状态分析方法。以城市主干道路网为例,验证了路网交通状态分析方法的有效性。该方法可应用于在线交通状态分析和历史数据库交通运行特征的提取,为交通管理决策提供基础信息。     

基于白适应神经模糊推理系统的跟驰模型研究

由于驾驶行为的不确定性,难以建立精确的车辆跟驰模型。针对这一问题,应用自适应模糊神经推理系统（ANFIS）建立跟驰模型,以跟随车与前车速度差及行车间距为输入量、跟随车的加速度为输出量,建立25条模糊推理规则,将模糊推理规则产生的数据作为车辆跟驰ANFIS模型的训练数据,并利用MATLAB编程对其进行训练。最后,设计了基于车载高精度GPS的跟驰试验,并结合试验数据分别对自适应模糊神经推理系统跟驰模型和传统跟驰模型进行仿真。结果表明,前者输出的跟驰车辆加速度值更接近于真实值。     

舰炮交流伺服系统模糊滑模控制器设计

该文针对舰炮永磁同步电机交流伺服系统 ,设计了一种新型滑模控制器 ,以前馈信号作为平均控制 ,采用模糊推理来调节开关控制的幅度。仿真研究表明 ,该控制器能较好地实现对指令信号的跟踪 ,具有较强的抗参数摄动和抗干扰能力 ,表现出良好的控制性能。     

Bayesian committee of neural networks to predict travel times with confidence intervals

Short-term prediction of travel time is one of the central topics in current transportation research and practice. Among the more successful travel time prediction approaches are neural networks and combined prediction models (a ‘committee’). However, both approaches have disadvantages. Usually many candidate neural networks are trained and the best performing one is selected. However, it is difficult and arbitrary to select the optimal network. In committee approaches a principled and mathematically sound framework to combine travel time predictions is lacking. This paper overcomes the drawbacks of both approaches by combining neural networks in a committee using Bayesian inference theory. An ‘evidence’ factor can be calculated for each model, which can be used as a stopping criterion during training, and as a tool to select and combine different neural networks. Along with higher prediction accuracy, this approach allows for accurate estimation of confidence intervals for the predictions. When comparing the committee predictions to single neural network predictions on the A12 motorway in the Netherlands it is concluded that the approach indeed leads to improved travel time prediction accuracy.     

基于自适应神经模糊推理系统的平行泊车路径规划

针对常见的平行泊车场景,提出一种基于自适应神经模糊推理系统的平行泊车路径规划方法.以基于优化算法的泊车路径规划方法得出的泊车路径作为训练样本,利用Python脚本语言建立以自适应遗传算法和拟牛顿法为内核的自动化训练框架,使自动训练后的自适应神经模糊推理系统既可继承基于优化算法的泊车路径规划方法适用范围更广的优势,又有效...     

Aircraft initial mass estimation using Bayesian inference method

Aircraft mass is a crucial piece of information for studies on aircraft performance, trajectory prediction, and many other topics of aircraft traffic management. However, It is a common challenge for researchers, as well as air traffic control, to access this proprietary information. Previously, several studies have proposed methods to estimate aircraft weight based on specific parts of the flight. Due to inaccurate input data or biased assumptions, this often leads to less confident or inaccurate estimations. In this paper, combined with a fuel-flow model, different aircraft initial masses are computed independently using the total energy model and reference model at first. It then adopts a Bayesian approach that uses a prior probability of aircraft mass based on empirical knowledge and computed aircraft initial masses to produce the maximum a posteriori estimation. Variation in results caused by dependent factors such as prior, thrust and wind are also studied. The method is validated using 50 test flights of a Cessna Citation II aircraft, for which measurements of the true mass were available. The validation results show a mean absolute error of 4.3% of the actual aircraft mass.