城市公交线网的一票制差异化票价策略优化

针对城市公交系统客流空间分布和线网运力配置不均衡问题,提出公交线路间差异化定价策略,通过价格杠杆调节客流需求分布. 针对我国普遍采用的一票制模式,在分析乘客广义出行费用的基础上,利用基于Logit 的线路间客流分配方法,并以总社会成本最低为目标,以满足输送能力和收费额度等为约束,建立了固定需求下的城市公交线网的差异化票价策略优化模型. 根据模型特点,设计了基于模拟退火算法的模型求解方法,综合优化各线路的票价水平和发车频率. 最后,将提出的模型和算法应用到典型公交线网上,算例结果表明,优化方法在较低的收费额度下即可实现较为明显的网络改善效果.     

基于操纵运动数模的舰船返回原航迹机动研究

返回原航迹机动在航行中营救落水者、海上搜救、扫布雷等舰船机动中经常使用,但目前采用的方法属常规方法,未考虑风、流、浪等因素的影响,对大多数舰船而言存在精度问题.本文结合舰船操纵运动数学模型,充分考虑到舰船的旋回惯性和环境因素的影响,利用优选法选择操舵时机,提高了舰船返回原航迹机动的精度.     

Utilizing naturalistic driving data for in-depth analysis of driver lane-keeping behavior in rain: Non-parametric MARS and parametric logistic regression modeling approaches

It is known that adverse weather conditions can affect driver performance due to reduction in visibility and slippery surface conditions. Lane keeping is one of the main factors that might be affected by weather conditions. Most of the previous studies on lane keeping have investigated driver lane-keeping performance from driver inattention perspective. In addition, the majority of previous lane-keeping studies have been conducted in controlled environments such as driving simulators. Therefore, there is a lack of studies that investigate driver lane-keeping ability considering adverse weather conditions in naturalistic settings. In this study, the relationship between weather conditions and driver lane-keeping performance was investigated using the SHRP2 naturalistic driving data for 141 drivers between 19 and 89 years of age. Moreover, a threshold was introduced to differentiate lane keeping and lane changing in naturalistic driving data. Two lane-keeping models were developed using the logistic regression and multivariate adaptive regression splines (MARS) to better understand factors affecting driver lane-keeping ability considering adverse weather conditions. The results revealed that heavy rain can significantly increase the standard deviation of lane position (SDLP), which is a very widely used method for analyzing lane-keeping ability. It was also found that traffic conditions, driver age and experience, and posted speed limits have significant effects on driver lane-keeping ability. An interesting finding of this study is that drivers have a better lane-keeping ability in roadways with higher posted speed limits. The results from this study might provide better insights into understanding the complex effect of adverse weather conditions on driver behavior.     

比例导引下的机动目标跟踪算法仿真研究

针对比例导引目标的跟踪问题,将比例导引规律引入状态方程,建立线性时变系统模型,利用含有参数的标准卡尔曼滤波方法给出了目标的状态估计。运用语言进行仿真计算,分析并得到了在不同的初始航向角、比例导引系数、导弹的初始位置和速度下的导引弹道滤波曲线和弹目相遇时间。仿真结果表明,此方法正确可行。     

老龄散货船安全探讨

从散货船的受力特点、老龄散货船常见的损坏形式、老龄散货船在大风浪中的操纵、运输精矿粉、日常管理等几个方面来探讨一下老龄散货船的安全问题。     

客运专线到发线有效长研究

研究目的：提出客运专线到发线有效长理论分析及计算、缩短到发线有效长的措施及带来的影响等,对减小到发线有效长度,进而节省站场建设工程投资具有深刻的现实意义。研究方法：本文首先确立了到发线有效长计算原则及应综合考虑的因素,其次对到发线有效长构成理论和列车安全防护距离构成进行详细分析,并选取合适的计算参数计算出到发线有效长,最后对缩短到发线有效长的措施及带来的影响进行分析。研究结论：客运专线到发线有效长与车辆性能、列控模式、车载设备性能和站坪坡度有较大关系。经过理论计算,到发线有效长可在目前国内颁布规定的长度上进一步缩短。     

基于统一模型的船舶迎浪参数横摇数值预报及其舵减摇研究

国际海事组织（IMO）正致力于第二代完整稳性规范的制定,而参数横摇一直是船舶动态完整稳性研究的热点。文章采用考虑船舶操纵性和耐波性运动耦合的统一模型对迎浪规则波下的船舶参数横摇运动进行了时域数值模拟。在时域模型中,六自由度耐波性运动辐射绕射力采用切片理论计算,并由脉冲响应函数法转化到时域。非线性回复力和入射波力采用瞬时湿表面压力积分方法计算。操纵性运动基于MMG模型,依据统一理论将操纵性与耐波性运动进行耦合计算。文中先应用简化三自由度模型对三艘集装箱船进行了参数横摇样船计算,并进行了初步的模型实验验证,依据结果对比分析了横摇惯性矩、初稳性高和方形系数对参数横摇的影响。基于统一模型分析了操纵性运动对参数横摇的影响,并进行了参数横摇舵减摇研究。     

基于ISD4003的车道偏离警示系统语音报警实现

介绍了车道偏离警示系统的语音报警实现方法和MC9S12DP256单片机与ISD4003语音芯片之间的SPI串行通信原理,给出了MC9S12DP256单片机与ISD4003语音芯片的电路连接及软件控制,实现了车道偏离警示系统的组合放音的设计。     

航班离场调度规划算法研究进展

随着我国民航产业的持续高速发展,航空器和航班数量急剧增多,机场航空器离场调度规划问题愈发明显.文中概述了航班离场调度规划算法的研究现状及最新研究进展,分析比较各种调度规划方法的优缺点,针对不同的跑道配置的机场提出相应的离场规划方法,并对该方面研究进行了展望.