Incorporating Driver Behaviors in Network Design Problems: Challenges and Opportunities

The goal of a network design problem (NDP) is to make optimal decisions to achieve a certain objective such as minimizing total travel time or maximizing tolls collected in the network. A critical component to NDP is how travelers make their route choices. Researchers in transportation have adopted human decision theories to describe more accurate route choice behaviors. In this paper, we review the NDP with various route choice models: the random utility model (RUM), random regret-minimization (RRM) model, bounded rationality (BR), cumulative prospect theory (CPT), the fuzzy logic model (FLM) and dynamic learning models. Moreover, we identify challenges in applying behavioral route choice models to NDP and opportunities for future research.     

An efficient and exact event-based algorithm for solving simplified first order dynamic network loading problems in continuous time

In this paper a novel solution algorithm is proposed for exactly solving simplified first order dynamic network loading (DNL) problems for any generalised network. This DNL solution algorithm, termed eLTM (event-based Link Transmission Model), is based on the seminal Lighthill–Witham–Richards (LWR) model, adopts a triangular fundamental diagram and includes a generalised first order node model formulation. Unlike virtually all DNL solution algorithms, eLTM does not rely on time discretisation, but instead adopts an event based approach. The main advantage of this approach is the possibility of yielding exact results. Furthermore, an approximate version of the same algorithm is introduced. The user can configure an a-priori threshold that dictates the approximation error (measurable a-posteriori). Using this approximation the computational effort required decreases significantly, making it especially suitable for large scale applications. The computational complexity is investigated and results are demonstrated via theoretical and real world case studies. Fixed periods of stationary demands are included adopting a matrix demand profile to mimic basic departure time demand fluctuations. Finally, the information loss of the approximate solution is assessed under different configurations.     

A mixed logit model for predicting exit choice during building evacuations

Knowledge on human behaviour in emergency is crucial to increase the safety of buildings and transportation systems. Decision making during evacuations implies different choices, of which one of the most important concerns is the escape route. The choice of a route may involve local decisions on alternative exits from an enclosed environment. This study investigates the effect of environmental (presence of smoke, emergency lighting and distance of exit) and social factors (interaction with evacuees close to the exits and with those near the decision-maker) on local exit choice. This goal is pursued using an online stated preference survey carried out making use of non-immersive virtual reality. A sample of 1503 participants is obtained and a mixed logit model is calibrated using these data. The model shows that the presence of smoke, emergency lighting, distance of exit, number of evacuees near the exits and the decision-maker and flow of evacuees through the exits significantly affect local exit choice. Moreover, the model indicates that decision making is affected by a high degree of behavioural uncertainty. Our findings support the improvement of evacuation models and the accuracy of their results, which can assist in designing and managing building and transportation systems. The main aim of this study is to enrich the understanding of how local exit choices are made and how behavioural uncertainty affects these choices.     

图式理论与英语听力教学

本文简要介绍了听力理解的实质和图式理论,探讨了图式理论在英语听力教学中的应用。指出教师要在教学中充实、激活和应用相关图式,以提高学生的听力能力。     

基于复杂网络的机场群航线网络动态特征分析

随着航空运输和区域经济一体化的快速发展,我国已形成京津冀、长三角和珠三角三大典型机场群。文章以三大典型机场群为研究对象,构建基于滑动时间窗的航线网络拓扑结构,运用复杂网络理论分析机场群航线网络动态特征和同构性。研究结果表明,机场群航线网络具有无标度和小世界网络特征,并表现出显著的波峰和波谷动态性,并且长三角机场群的航班集中度分布明显高于其他两大机场群。文章首次从航线网络视角,运用Dice相似系数衡量了机场群内部各机场之间航线网络同构性程度。     

铁道车辆轴箱弹簧断裂故障对动力学性能的影响

车辆运行过程中,当轴箱弹簧突发断裂故障,会造成动力学状态和性能突变,一系悬挂刚度突然减小,暂时失去承载能力,会威胁车辆行车安全。结合整车的动力学仿真,建立了轴箱弹簧断裂过程的力学模型,对整个断裂过程进行仿真,模拟了轴箱弹簧突然断裂工况下车辆动力学性能变化,分析了轴箱弹簧断裂条件下车辆直线行车安全性以及曲线通过安全性。计算分析结果表明:轴箱弹簧突然断裂导致一系悬挂刚度剧变,引起轮轨垂向力先减小后增大,轮重减载率、脱轨系数等参数增大直至超限,但对轮轨横向力影响不大。     

融合D-S理论的锅炉人因贝叶斯网络安全性定量分析

针对船用锅炉人因安全性分析中存在的知识不确定性,采用D-S证据理论对多专家信息进行融合并建立考虑人因的贝叶斯网络,得到节点条件概率的区间表示形式.经加权平均后代入贝叶斯网络计算,与面向对象贝叶斯网络和FTA等方法的对比显示,该方法能够更加有效地融合不同专家信息,也更为符合工程实际.     

基于“聚焦物流”理论的军事运输发展研究

＂聚焦物流＂是美军提出的一种先进物流理念,它要求在准确的地点、时间提供给联合作战各种参战人员和各类装备数量合适的后勤物资供应,它建立在以网络为基础的实时可视化信息系统之上,高效快速地连接战场指挥官和后勤供应机构,通过物流机构和程序的改革,为联合作战提供多功能的后勤保障。＂聚焦物流＂在历次局部战争中得到很好应用,取得良好...     

鹤壁五矿深部软岩交岔点研究与应用

随着煤矿采深的不断加大,深部软岩交岔点稳定性控制已成为煤矿开采的又一难题。为了良好地控制交叉点处围岩的稳定性问题,结合鹤壁五矿三水平二车场交岔点处支护工程实例,通过地质调查、理论分析及数值模拟(FLAC3D),提出了鹤壁五矿三水平二车场交岔点处围岩稳定性控制对策——锚网喷+锚索+单桁架耦合支护技术,并在实践中得到了验证,效果良好。     

混合下单模式下在线餐饮订单配送优化模型

针对在线餐饮订单量激增及订单到达非均匀分布导致的调度不合理与资源浪费等问题，提出顾客提前下单与动态实时下单相结合的下单模式，研究此模式下订单配送优化. 考虑在线餐饮订单配送优化具有的动态VRP和多回程VRP属性，以最小化配送成本为目标，建立带有软时间窗的整数规划模型. 设计基于插入算法和2-opt 邻域搜索的混合启发式算法求解模型. 通过算例，分析提前下单顾客比例、提前下单时长等因素的影响. 结果表明，单个因素的增加会降低配送成本，当两者同时增加，因系统达到饱和使配送成本不升反降，因此要调整措施使顾客下单情况与系统配送能力相适应.