测站偏移对变形监测结果的影响分析

在使用全站仪对大型建筑结构的变形进行实时监测时,受建筑结构、地形等客观因素的影响,有时某些测站点不得不布置在变形区内。在实时监测过程中,当变形区内测站点发生偏移时,该点的设站数据仍然是偏移之前的,这必然对监测数据的精度造成不利影响。为解决这一问题,推导出测点偏移对监测数据影响的定量公式,并对该不利影响给予实时改正。进行了模拟实验。实验结果表明:在动态实时监测系统中,这种方法可完全消除测站点不稳定带来的误差,并且简单易行。     

基于灰色模型和指数平滑法的集装箱吞吐量预测

提出了在灰色模型GM(1,1)和三次指数平滑法基础上的组合预测方法。集装箱吞吐体系是一个灰色系统,因此可以通过灰色系统进行建模并预测其吞吐量,通过对宁波港历年集装箱吞吐量的观察,发现其吞吐量呈持续的曲线增长趋势,因此考虑采用三次指数平滑法进行预测,在灰色GM(1,1)和三次指数平滑法的基础上采用了加权组合预测的方法,对宁波港今后几年的集装箱吞吐量进行了预测.     

基于遗传算法优化的小波神经网络对船舶受扰力及力矩建模预报

首先构造小波神经网络,建立船舶横向和纵向运动模型及其运动受扰力模型,采用小波神经网络对船舶受扰力建模预报,并用遗传算法对其进行优化,对预报结果进行分析比较,给出超前5秒、15秒的船舶运动受扰力与力矩预报结果.     

Adaptive neuron control using an integrated error approach with application to active suspensions

This paper proposes a new neuron control strategy for an active vehicle suspension system, with the emphasis on the study of multivariable and uncertain suspension characteristics. The novelty of this strategy is in the use of integrated error, which consists of multiple output errors in the regulated plant. By combining the integrated error approach with the traditional neuron control (TNC), integrated error neuron control (IENC) is presented. It provides a direct control to the multiple outputs of the control plant simultaneously. Taking a quarter-car model as an example, the proposed control strategy is applied and comparative simulations are carried out with various vehicle parameters and road input conditions. Simulation results prove the effectiveness and robustness of the proposed IENC method. In addition, the newly proposed neuron scheme provides a simple yet efficient new possibility for the control of a class of uncertain multivariable systems similar to an active vehicle suspension.     

不确定性视阈下的战略管理

由于存在各种不确定性,企业不可能寻找到一种最好的战略管理办法,因此企业应当寻求适度管理,以避免出现管理刚性,失去对不确定性的应变能力。企业应该确立这样的观念,即管理不确定性将成为企业家的主要职能;正确地认识不确定性、化解不确定性,乃至创造并利用不确定性,将是企业家必修的内功;驾驭不确定性将成为企业的核心竞争能力。本文首先归纳提炼出不确定性的五种类型,在此基础上给出了管理不确定性的认知理念,提出了在战略管理中需要特别重视的不断试错、应急和学习及激活右脑等问题,最后指证了突变式变革与创新的主张。     

Improvement of the second order approximation of the smoothed particle hydrodynamics

The smoothed particle hydrodynamics (SPH), as a fully Lagrangian particle method, has been successfully applied to astrophysical problems and extended to elastic dynamics and computational fluid dynamics.High order derivatives have to be approximated when elastic dynamics problems are modeled. However, the approximation errors in SPH could lead to computational failure in the case that the order of derivative is high.A novel method was proposed in order to improve the accuracy of SPH method, which shows the relationship between the selected functions and their SPH approximations. The entire involved system was represented by a finite number of particles that carry individual mass and occupy individual space, and the integral interpolation was approximated by a summation interpolation. In addition, error comparison was made between SPH method with and without the present improvement.     

Joint distortion model for progressive image transmission using error correcting arithmetic codes

A novel joint source channel distortion model was proposed, which can essentially estimate the average distortion in progressive image transmission. To improve the precision of the model, the redundancy generated by a forbidden symbol in the arithmetic codes is used to distinguish the quantization distortion and the channel distortion, all the coefficients from the first error one to the end of the sequence are set to be a value within the variance range of the coefficients instead of zero, then the error propagation coming from the entropy coding can be essentially estimated, which is disregarded in the most conventional joint source channel coding （JSCC） systems. The precision of the model in terms of average peak-signal-to-noise has been improved about 0.5 dB compared to classical works. An efficient unequal error protection system based on the model is developed, and can be used in the wireless communication systems.     

超低频接收信号降噪研究

在建立超低频接收信号模型的基础上,对超低频接收信号误码率性能进行了分析。将小波降噪算法应用于超低频噪声处理中,通过Monte Carlo计算机仿真试验,对基于小波降噪和传统数字滤波的方法对模拟的超低频接收信号进行噪声处理,并对降噪后的误码率性能进行分析,结果表明,应用小波降噪的方法对超低频接收信号进行非线性噪声处理,比传统数字滤波的方法能带来更高的信噪比增益。     

悬臂浇注施工斜拉桥的误差控制方法

在预应力混凝土(PC)斜拉桥悬臂施工中,为了减小索力及线形误差,分析了误差原因及其控制现状,提出了模型误差及悬浇效应误差的控制方法。结合三维实体等参元和板壳单元的优点,构造了适用于复杂桥梁结构空间分析的实体退化单元,建立了离散钢筋模型。根据挂篮牵索锚固点处的变形协调条件,推导出牵索索力随混凝土浇筑的增量计算公式,建立了悬浇过程中各工况下挂篮前端标高控制的计算公式。应用结果表明:在悬浇施工过程,牵索索力控制精度达到了3%,成桥索力控制精度达到5%,悬臂端标高误差控制在1 cm内,因此,提出的控制方法可实现PC斜拉桥悬浇过程各工况下索力及线形的准确预测。     

基于约束卡尔曼滤波的短时交通流量组合预测模型

为了克服单一的交通流预测模型性能不稳定的问题,提出了基于约束卡尔曼滤波的短时交通流量组合预测模型。约束卡尔曼滤波组合预测模型以各单一预测模型的权重为状态变量,交通流量为观测变量,预测结果是单一预测模型的加权和,加权系数由约束卡尔曼滤波方程递推动态确定,最后通过广深高速公路上采集的交通流量数据对算法进行了验证。结果表明,在不同预测步长情况下,约束卡尔曼滤波组合预测模型要优于最佳的单一预测模型或与其持平,并且不受某一较差的预测模型影响,具有较高的鲁棒性。