“9·11”事件前后美国轨道交通的安全情况

2001年发生的"9·11"事件,不可逆转地改变了美国人对安全准备工作的内涵与认识。虽然新安保措施的着重点主要放在航空运输方面,但人们也更加注重陆地公共交通系统的安全形势,因为公众关注的焦点从"9·11"之前的私人财产犯罪转变为恐怖主义活动。然而,美国的铁路运营安全却被现实的情况所限制:当前紧缩的财政预算无法构建一个巨大的、均匀分级的保安网络。上述的两种形势相互作用,促使有关部门在"9·11"之后采取更为合理和实际的铁路安全措施,并由此催生了一些新方法来解决在根基上原本就脆弱的网络体系问题。交通安全部门和民间研究小组的结论是:对所有公共交通基础设施提供一整套安全设施是不必要的。     

公交信息的乘客光环效应

光环效应是一种特殊的非理性心理现象，可利用其改善公交乘客的满意度.本文认为显著维度光环效应指标除了满足对总体满意度作用系数最大外，还应新增 3个基本特征，据此提出了一种新的基于多个特征的显著维度光环效应指标辨识方法，克服了单个特征有时错误识别的缺陷.基于 2017年武汉市公交乘客满意度数据，利用双因素和决策树法辨识潜在的显著维度光环效应指标，缩小辨识范围.利用各分项满意度指标的影响人群比例，评分均值与总体满意度关系，对总体满意度的作用系数，评分方差等精确辨识了显著维度光环效应指标. 研究发现，公交信息服务对 55.42%的乘客具有反向光环效应.改善公交信息服务可显著提高不满意乘客的满意度.     

Trip generation and distribution: the inconsistency problem and a possible remedy

There are many shortcomings commonly associated with the conventional urban transportation modeling process. This paper focuses on one of the more important problems — the inconsistency between trip generation and distribution components — and suggests a possible way of alleviating it. The suggested approach involves sorting out the independent effects on tripmaking of origin, destination and travel cost characteristics, and introducing accessibility measures explicitly into the modeling process. The resulting modeling framework can be used to obtain consistent estimates of trip generation and distribution quantities which are responsive to changes in the transportation and spatial systems.     

故障树分析与危险源日志的结合

主要介绍故障树分析方法,并结合工作经验讲述如何将故障树分析结果与危险源日志进行对应链接,从而清晰、形象的为危险源的来源提供有力证据,规范项目技术风险管理。     

编组站动态配流模型与算法研究

如何从众多的解体方案中选择有利方案 ,这是编组站动态配流所要解决的核心问题。本文在文献 [3 ]的基础上 ,运用组合数学原理构造方案树 ,提出最大可能剩余量概念 ,导出计算公式 ,并以此作为方案值控制树的生长 ,进而利用回溯算法搜索有利方案。这样 ,本文连同文献 [2 ]、[3 ]一起 ,为配流问题的全面解决提供了完整的思路和具体的计算方法     

Delay Restoration of Single-Track Railway Rescheduling

On the basis of analysis of the principle of delay restoration in a disturbed schedule, a heuristic algorithm for rescheduling trains is developed by restoring the total delay of the disturbed schedule. A discrete event topologic model is derived from the original undisturbed train diagram and a back propagation analysis method is used to label the maximum buffer time of each point in the model. In order to analyze the principle of delay restoration, the concept of critical delay is developed from the labeled maximum buffer time. The critical delay is the critical point of successful delay restoration. All the disturbed trains are classified into the strong-delayed trains and the weak-delayed trains by the criterion of the critical delay. Only the latter, in which actual delay is less than its critical delay, can be adjusted to a normal running state during time horizon considered. The heuristic algorithm is used to restore all the disturbed trains according to their critical details. The cores of the algorithm are the iterative repair technique and two repair methods for the two kinds of trains. The algorithm searches iteratively the space of possible conflicts caused by disturbed trains using an earfiest-delay-first heuristics and always attempts to repair the earliest constraint violation. The algorithm adjusts the weak-delayed trains directly back to the normal running state using the buffer time of the original train diagram. For the strong-delayed trains,the algorithm uses an utility function with some weighted attributes to determine the dynamic priority of the trains, and resolves the conflict according to the calculated dynamic priority. In the end, the experimental results show that the algorithm produces ＂good enough＂ schedules effectively and efficiently in disturbed situations.     

周期运行图编制模型与算法研究

在周期运行的运输组织模式下,所有列车在车站到发都是周期循环发生的。将安排列车运行线的问题看作周期事件安排问题,并借助周期约束图及周期势差模型,可以建立周期运行图网络模型。模型充分考虑到列车不同情况下的停站时间、到发安全间隔等各项周期约束,并将列车的总停留时间最小作为目标函数。当约束图顶点和弧的数量众多时,模型的求解将比较困难。通过选择合适的约束图生成树,找到变量的合理取值范围,并对模型进行一些预先简化处理,可以降低模型的求解难度。最后求解一个区段不同列车开行方案的周期运行图,验证模型的可行性。     

基于FTA的渔船海损事故分析

事故树分析(FTA)是一种重要而常用的系统安全分析方法。将该方法运用到了渔船海事分析中,并以渔船触礁事故为例运用事故树描述事故的因果关系,进行定性分析,确定出事故的主要因素,提出了事故的控制措施。研究结果表明,在渔船海损事故分析中应用事故树分析方法,有利于对事故的全面分析,便于找出引发事故的直接原因,总结经验,提出事故预防措施,降低事故发生率,保障渔业生产的健康发展。     

基于JavaScrip和Java语言的动态网页设计方法

针对网页制作过程中单独使用Java或JavaScrip出现的问题进行了分析，研究并提出将二者结合使用，既可以减少程序处理流程，为网上客户提供方便的解决方案。     

基于CORBA事件服务的雷达模拟器设计与实现

CORBA是解决分布式系统中异构性问题的主流技术，为实现互操作和构建分布式应用提供了支持。以CORBA的事件服务为基础，阐述了雷达模拟器的结构和接口，分析了外推式事件发送模型的机制和实现步骤，给出了关键代码片断。