我国国际河流水运通道建设现状和发展探讨

文章全面介绍了我国国际河流航运合作和水运通道建设现状,结合发达国家的成功实践和我国近期相关研究成果,探讨了我国国际河流的资源开发、航运合作与水运通道的建设发展,并提出了相关建议。     

北极航道通航的重要意义及对我国的影响

随着北极气候逐渐变暖,北极冰盖加速融化,北极航道全面通航的可能性日益增加。北极航道将成为中欧、中美货物运输新通道,挑战传统远洋运输航线,改变国际航运格局,对我国未来航运事业发展将产生重大影响。本文从北极航道通航带来的全球性影响以及对我国经济、航运格局、能源格局以及地缘环境影响等角度,通过分析北极航道的历史与现状、全面通航所带来的优势与劣势,提出我国应对北极航道通航的对策与建议。     

角色扮演法在高职船舶专业英语教学中的探讨与实践

探讨了高职船舶专业英语教学过程中存在的问题,论述了角色扮演教学法在船舶专业英语教学中的具体运用、优势及改进措施,对高职船舶专业英语教学有一定的参考意义。     

波罗的海干散货指数的简单预测方法

波罗的海干散货指数(BDI)被公认为国际干散货市场的晴雨表,预测BDI十分困难,也十分重要。着重介绍几种简单实用的数值拟合方法,并建立BDI预测模型,为航运管理人员提供参考。     

环境可持续集装箱班轮运输管理研究综述

集装箱班轮运输业如何在追求成本经济性和服务可靠性的同时做好环境可持续性,对航运企业、港口运营商以及政府组织都提出了新的挑战。围绕集装箱班轮运输在环境层面实现可持续发展的目标,本文分别从战略、战术和运营等3个层面就措施、技术和规章制度等所做的研究进行文献综述、分析发展趋势。战略层面,从市场减排机制和政策的制定、绿色政策、...     

Risk perception affecting the performance of shipping companies: the moderating effect of China and Korea

Risks in the shipping industry have been highlighted and have attracted significant attention, especially following the bankruptcy of Hanjin in 2017. Due to the decrease in container volume, the business environment for large shipping companies in China has deteriorated. Therefore, major large shipping companies have implemented mixed ownership reform, which provides more opportunities for large Korean shipping companies to enter the Chinese shipping industry. This study first identifies risk perception, specifically focusing on the moderating effect of Chinese and Korean shipping companies, and then demonstrates the impact of these risks on shipping company performance. The results show that market, operational, and technical risks have a negative influence on Chinese shipping companies, whereas market, policy, financial, operations, and technical risks have a negative influence on Korean shipping companies. This study contributes to the fundamental understanding of the effect of risk perception on performance among shipping companies in both countries and calls for further research on risk management plans based on the risk factors identified herein. On a practical level, this study provides an important reference for operators and investors who seek to enter strategic alliances or joint venture in Chinese shipping industry.     

Exploring vessel-price dynamics: the case of the dry bulk market

We investigate second-hand vessel price heterogeneity. Based on a sample of 5,591 purchase and sale transactions in the dry bulk sector over the period 1998–2016, we deploy a nonparametric regression technique to assess the determinants of vessel price and vessel price variability. Next, we use quantile regression to estimate the effect of regressors (sources of heterogeneity) at different parts of the vessel price distribution. We find evidence that main sources of vessel price heterogeneity are the age of the ship (the older the vessel the higher its maintenance cost), the 3-month LIBOR (reflecting the cost of financing) and the annual charter rate (revenues from operation). Their influence is stronger at all higher quantiles (periods of expansion) and the median of the vessel price distribution.     

BIM技术在内河航道设计中的应用

鉴于BIM技术在航道建设中的优势,将Autodesk系列BIM软件引入内河航道的设计工作中,利用Civil 3D、Subassembly Composer(部件编辑器)、Infraworks设计软件实现内河航道疏浚工程和护岸工程的参数化设计和可视化展示,并进行横断面定制、标签定制、模板文件定制等二次开发,提出适用于内河航道工程三维正向设计和可视化演示的技术方法。     

新时代下高职港口与航运管理专业“专创融合”路径探析

新时代背景下,高职院校专业教育与双创教育融合(简称"专创融合")是必然趋势。本文以港口与航运管理专业为载体,在研究综述的基础上,从专业双创教育现状、两者融合路径、保障举措等方面对专业教育与双创教育有机融合进行研究,培养高素质的创新型技术技能人才。本文不仅能促进学生可持续发展,而且为国内高职院校相关专业开展双创教育教学改革提供借鉴参考作用。     

A risk assessment model with systematical uncertainty treatment for container shipping operations

ABSTRACT

The substantial adverse effects of risk factors on container shipping and logistics promoted a deep integration of risk analysis into the decision-making process. This paper aims to develop a well-grounded quantitative model to operational risk in a container shipping context. Considering uncertainty as a primary component of the risk concept, methods were employed in an inter-complementary manner to enable not only a sense of foreseeability but also a deeper look into the weaknesses of the knowledge base. The intersubjectivity of the input extraction process was supported by the Evidential Reasoning (ER) algorithm. Risks are then assessed based on a Fuzzy Rules Bayesian Network (FRBN) model with a 2-level parameter structure before meaningful interpretations can be derived through a new risk mapping approach. Besides an illustrative case study, the model was tested by sensitivity analysis and an examination of multiple validity claims.