20000TEU超大型集装箱船舶时代与港口面临的挑战

介绍超大型集装箱船舶的现状和发展趋势,分析当今的世界航运市场,提出了港口在新航运时期的应对措施。     

“翻转课堂”在高职报关与国际货运专业教学中的应用研究——以《国际商务单证》课程为例

文中简要介绍"翻转课堂"发展概况。由于《国际商务单证》课程教学存在重理论、轻实践、学生学习差异性突出等问题,本文构建了"课前——自主学习,课中——知识内化,课后——评价反馈"的翻转课堂教学模式。通过教学实验检验,基于翻转课堂理念展开的《国际商务单证》网络课程设计的实验教学取得了较为显著的实验效果。     

国际合作趋势下的援潜救生决策体系研究

潜艇失事后,及时、快速和有效地实施救援十分重要,援潜救生越来越依赖于国际间的相互协作,国际合作影响因素众多。论文在分析影响潜艇救生的主要因素的基础上,构建了影响援潜救生决策的指标体系,研究适用于援潜救生的宏观决策方法,并建立宏观决策模型,并用案例具体论述了援潜救生决策模型的应用方法,验证了模型的实用性,该模型的分析结果可为援潜救生国际合作的相关问题决策提供参考。     

Twenty Years of Rail Crowding Valuation Studies: Evidence and Lessons from British Experience

Abstract

This paper reviews evidence from British experience of the valuation of rail crowding obtained over 20 years from 17 studies. It summarizes these studies, places some useful empirical evidence in the public domain and draws lessons from this considerable body of evidence and experience. Crowding valuations, both for standing and seated in crowding conditions, are summarized in terms of time multipliers, which are inherently more transferable than monetary equivalents. A meta‐analysis of 208 valuations is reported, finding the valuations to vary with load factor and journey purpose. The seating multiplier averages 1.19 and the standing multiplier averages 2.32. The latter is in line with widely used multipliers applied to walking and waiting time. The most recent evidence is based around the number of standing passengers per square metre, thereby providing a more accurate measure of the discomfort of standing since, unlike load factor, it allows for the layout of the carriage and ease with which crowding can be accommodated. As far as methodology is concerned, the paper covers issues such as presenting crowding in ‘stated preference’ exercises and the realism of the crowding levels offered, non‐linearities in the relationship between crowding multipliers and the severity and amount of crowding time, and probabilistic versus deterministic representations of crowding. The paper also identifies future areas for research.     

长江中游干线降雨对航运影响的气候变化特征

根据降雨对内河航运影响的特点,将影响程度划分为轻微影响、一般影响和明显影响三个等级.利用长江中游干线17个站点1965-2008年的降雨数据,结合小波分析方法,研究了该地降雨对航运不同程度影响的气候变化特征.研究结果表明:降雨对航运业造成明显影响的频次较多且随时间波动大;降雨造成的各等级影响频次均具有微弱的下降趋势,气候倾向率的绝对值都＜0.3d/10 a;各等级影响频次变化的时间周期震荡大致相同,均为20 a左右,且周期分界点大致相同;由小波周期可以预测,未来15a内各等级影响的频次均将处于偏多时期,降雨将更加频繁地对航运业造成影响.     

航运服务产业链的内涵与生成机理

为研究航运服务产业链的内涵与生成机理,在对国内外相关文献梳理的基础上,提出了航运服务产业链的定义,分析其产业构成.在对航运服务产业链生成的三类研究路径分析的基础上,构建了一个综合分析框架:外部促进、内部驱动和适应性选择.根据该分析框架,分析了航运服务产业链生成的外生机理和内生机理,归纳了其生成的动力.     

基于博弈论的货主船队发展风险及合作研究

干散货船队业务经营范围遍及全球,其波动周期和变化规律与全球贸易及世界经济紧密相关.为了探讨干散货货主船队快速发展引发的航运市场风险及货主企业与专业船队合作共赢的途径,在理论分析的基础上,运用博弈论相关理论知识建立了货主企业与航运企业的动态博弈模型,并提出货主企业与专业船队应将共同组建船队及签订长期运输合同作为主要的合作模式.该研究对于促进干散货航运市场的稳定及货主企业和专业船队发展具有现实意义.     

海运温室气体减排市场机制ETS和GHG FUND的比较研究

海运温室气体排放交易机制(ETS)和基金机制(GHG FUND)是用于海运温室气体减排的2个代表性市场机制.为深入了解这2大机制,对其运行机理、减排效果、运行成本,以及新增碳排放成本进行了深度的解剖和定量分析;指出了机制设计中的不确定性以及对发展中国家、不同运输方式间竞争的不公平性.认为现有设计框架下的ETS和GHG FUND机制作为海运业市场减排机制方案并不妥当,海运业应该在寻求技术和营运的措施减排方面做更多的努力.     

The Impact of Container Type Diversification on Regional British Port Development Strategies

Abstract

Despite a concentration of container traffic in the southeast of the UK over the last few decades, regional ports are attempting new development strategies to capture or retain specific traffic segments. These include intra-European short-sea traffic and a potentially increasing feeder market. These trends are reflected in the movement of different container types, which result in a number of planning challenges related to changing infrastructural and operational requirements. This paper uses highly disaggregated data on container type movements to address three issues that can inform these planning challenges. First, the imbalance of trade resulting in empty container repositioning; second, the requirement for gauge-cleared rail routes to cater for the increasing proportion of high-cube containers; and third, the specialisation of European short-sea traffic at secondary UK ports. The results reveal the disproportionate repositioning of empty containers at Scottish ports and the importance of 45?ft, high-cube and pallet-wide containers at regional ports, highlighting their focus on intra-European short-sea traffic and raising difficulties relating to their lower quality of landside infrastructure (particularly rail) in comparison to the large south-eastern ports. The potential repercussions on hinterland infrastructure development raise questions about both public and private sector responses to regional port development.     

应用型海运本科院校航运经贸专业群建设研究

专业群建设是应用型本科院校实现内涵发展,提升外部竞争力的重要途径．广州航海学院应充分发挥行业办学传统及新建本科院校的后发优势,借鉴应用型海运本科专业建设实践经验,把握我国航运服务业产业链发展的高端化趋势,对接航运服务业构建航运特色经贸专业群,实现专业人才培养与服务产业发展的双重贡献．