Reliability analysis of repairable systems using stochastic point processes

In order to analyze the failure data from repairable systems, the homogeneous Poisson process(HPP) is usually used. In general, HPP cannot be applied to analyze the entire life cycle of a complex, re-pairable system because the rate of occurrence of failures (ROCOF) of the system changes over time rather thanremains stable. However, from a practical point of view, it is always preferred to apply the simplest methodto address problems and to obtain useful practical results. Therefore, we attempted to use the HPP model toanalyze the failure data from real repairable systems. A graphic method and the Laplace test were also usedin the analysis. Results of numerical applications show that the HPP model may be a useful tool for the entirelife cycle of repairable systems.     

路段平均行程时间估计方法

为了有效利用线圈检测数据,精确估计路段平均行程时间,提出了一种路段平均行程时间估计方法。将路段平均行程时间分为平均行驶时间、平均排队时间和平均通过路口时间三部分。考虑线圈埋设的特点,通过估计平均行驶速度得到平均行驶时间。用分段时齐Poisson过程描述车辆驶入路段过程和驶离过程,用Markov排队模型描述车辆排队过程,用生灭过程描述排队车辆数,得到车辆排队模型,计算了路段有、无初始排队的平均排队时间。基于选取与路口相关的饱和流率和平均车长,计算了平均通过路口时间。计算结果表明:平均行程时间估计值与实测值的误差小于12%,说明路段平均行程时间估计方法可行。     

一致拥挤快速路交通系统稳定性分析

考虑快速路一致拥挤的前提下,通过选取适当的流一密关系式,建立快速路网络流模型。并在对快速路的第一段进行适当处理和考虑匝道排队的基础上,构造一个离散的线性系统。通过对此类型的离散系统进行稳定性分析,得到稳定的充分条件和最优控制器的设计方法,仿真实例表明该方法的有效性和实用性。     

Integrated evasive manoeuvre assist for collision mitigation with oncoming vehicles

Development and deployment of steering based collision avoidance systems are made difficult due to the complexity of dealing with oncoming vehicles during the evasive manoeuvre. A method to mitigate the collision risk with oncoming vehicles during such manoeuvres is presented in this work. A point mass analysis of such a scenario is first done to determine the importance of speed for mitigating the collision risk with the oncoming vehicle. A characteristic parameter was identified, which correlates well with the need to increase or decrease speed, in order to reduce the collision risk. This finding was then verified in experiments using a Volvo XC90 test vehicle. A closed-loop longitudinal acceleration controller for collision mitigation with oncoming vehicles is then presented. The longitudinal control is combined with yaw stability control using control allocation to form an integrated controller. Simulations in CarMaker using a validated XC90 vehicle model and the proposed controller showed consistent reductions in the collision risk with the oncoming vehicle.     

Logistical restructuring and road freight traffic growth

The forecasting of road freight traffic has relied heavily on the close correlation between GDP and road tonne-kilometers. It has not been rooted in an understanding of the causes of freight traffic growth. The research reported in this paper has investigated this process of traffic growth in two ways: first, by analysing official data on the production, consumption and movement of food and drink products, and second, by conducting a survey of the changing freight transport requirements of 88 large British-based manufacturers.The analysis of secondary data shows how, in the food and drink sector, the relationship between the real value of output and road vehicle-kms hinges on four key parameters: value density, handling factor, average length of haul and consignment size. An attempt is made to explain variations in these parameters.The survey of manufacturers suggests that the growth of lorry traffic is the net result of a complex interaction between factors operating at four levels of logistical management: strategic planning of logistical systems, choice of suppliers and distributors, scheduling of product flow and the management of transport resources. Changes in the frequency and scheduling of freight deliveries in response to tightening customer service requirements and just-in-time management appear to have become a more prevalent cause of freight traffic growth than the physical restructuring of logistical systems. Manufacturers anticipate that their road freight demand will broadly increase in line with sales and be largely unaffected by road transport cost increases at the levels currently proposed. The paper concludes by examining their likely reactions to a much sharper increase in the cost of road freight movement.     

先进电力电子技术在超高压输电网中的应用

简要介绍了先进电力电子技术在输配电中的应用,主要包括高压直流输电、柔性交流输电和定制电力技术三个方面.在叙述电力电子技术的发展和应用情况的基础上,重点阐述了由中国电力科学研究院自主集成的可控串补和静止无功补偿器成套设备的关键技术,强调了自主开发的重要性.     

加快构建我国铁路工程建设新的建设技术标准体系

近年来，随着我国各项事业的全面发展，铁路这一国民经济大动脉在国家经济和社会发展中的地位和作用日益突出，铁路发展进入前所未有的黄金机遇期，铁路建设随之呈现出蓬勃发展的趋势。原有的铁路建设技术标准已不能适应铁路发展的需要，因此加快构建我国铁路工程建设的新的建设技术标准体系就势在必行。本文从建设世界一流客运专线的目标着手，对构建新建设标准体系的主要原则、基本框架、主要内容，以及与以往标准体系的不同之处进行了详细阐述。并针对当前存在的主要问题，在落实建设标准工作方面，提出了指导措施，主要表现在：（1）进一步完善标准体系；（2）加强标准系统性和协调性；（3）突出标准的针对性和时效性；（4）加快引进消化吸收再创新成果标准转化；（5）下大气力节省投资、降低造价；（6）进一步加强基础性理论性研究工作。本文特此刊出，以期对实际工作有所指导。     

铁路客运专线动车段检修信息系统需求分析与网络构建

分析了客运专线动车组检修作业信息流程,并从检修作业信息的建立、信息交换、信息处理、监控系统、网络系统5个方面,论述了检修信息系统的需求。     

分数阶系统极点分布与时间响应

与传统线性定常控制系统相比,分数阶线性定常系统极点分布与时间响应关系有所不同.本文通过分析多值函数特性在黎曼平面中的表达以及s-平面与w-平面的映射关系,给出了分数阶线性定常系统极点分布与时域响应的定性关系.对位于第二黎曼平面的极点更加远离s-平面的右半平面给出了形象化解释,并称其对应的时间响应为“超阻尼”响应.最后介绍了一种分数阶线性定常系统的稳定性判据.