贵州省滑坡灾害危险性分区图编制研究

基于GIS对贵州省区域内的滑坡危险性进行评估.首先,研究将历史地质灾害分布、地形、地层岩性、断裂构造、河流水系和年均降雨量作为相互独立的滑坡诱发因子,并对各因子按照一定标准再次分级,形成滑坡危险性评价指标体系,绘制各因子的分级图层;然后,考虑因子贡献率,以黄金分割法确定6个因子对发生滑坡灾害的权重;最后,在GIS环境下,应用权重线性组合模型建立滑坡危险性分区图.根据该图,研究区域被划分成4个危险等级:灾害密集发育区、灾害中等密集发育区、灾害偶发区、灾害基本不发育区.通过将滑坡危险性分区图与历史滑坡分布图叠加对比,验证分区图的准确性和可靠性.     

基于径向基函数网络的水声信号预测模型研究

随着舰船隐身降噪技术的不断发展,舰船辐射噪声信号检测变得愈加困难.针对这种情况,将RBF神经网络引入到水声信号的预测中,建立水声信号的全局预测模型.通过对Henon和Lorenz映射仿真,验证了RBF预测模型的有效性.运用全局预测模型对两种实际水声信号进行预测.实验证明,该预测模型学习速度快,所需样本点少,效果较准确,在水声信号检测中具有良好的发展前景.     

高原公路水土流失预测

以香日德-花石峡高原项目区土壤侵蚀现状为例,结合3种土壤侵蚀的特点,按照水土保持技术规范,提出分区、分类的高原公路水土流失预测方法,并详细分析预测结果,提出相应的监测和治理建议.     

Design of robust-stable and quadratic finite-horizon optimal controllers with low trajectory sensitivity for uncertain active suspension systems

This paper presents a design method for designing the robust-stable and quadratic-finite-horizon-optimal controllers of uncertain active suspension systems. The method integrates a robust stabilisability condition, the orthogonal functions approach (OFA) and the hybrid Taguchi-genetic algorithm (HTGA). Using the integrative computational method, a robust-stable and quadratic-finite-horizon-optimal controller with low-trajectory sensitivity can be obtained such that (i) the active suspension system with elemental parametric uncertainties is stabilised and (ii) a quadratic-finite-horizon-integral performance index including a quadratic trajectory sensitivity term for the nominal active suspension system is minimised. The robust stabilisability condition is proposed in terms of linear matrix inequalities (LMIs). Based on the OFA, an algebraic algorithm only involving the algebraic computation is derived for solving the nominal active suspension feedback dynamic equations. By using the OFA and the LMI-based robust stabilisability condition, the dynamic optimisation problem for the robust-stable and quadratic-finite-horizon-optimal controller design of the linear uncertain active suspension system is transformed into a static-constrained-optimisation problem represented by the algebraic equations with constraint of LMI-based robust stabilisability condition; thus greatly simplifies the design problem. Then, for the static-constrained-optimisation problem, the HTGA is employed to find the robust-stable and quadratic-finite-horizon-optimal controllers of the linear uncertain active suspension systems. A design example is given to demonstrate the applicability of the proposed integrative computational approach.     

车门密封胶条力学性能衰变分析

按照国家标准的规定,检测自然条件使用的密封胶条样品的硬度和拉伸性能(拉伸强度、拉断伸长率),从自然老化的角度分析了密封胶条老化前后力学性能变化规律,从性能保持率的角度分析了密封胶条的劣化程度,最后基于密封胶条拉断伸长率的数据,构建了6阶拉格朗日插值多项式,对车门密封胶条使用寿命进行了预测,结果显示其使用寿命是185个月。     

Lane-harmonised passenger car equivalents for heterogeneous expressway traffic

In order to account for variations in traffic composition during traffic analysis, passenger car equivalent (PCE) factors are used to convert flow rates of various vehicle classes into flow rates in terms of passenger car units (PCUs). Earlier studies have developed various methods to estimate PCE values but only a few of them are based on uninterrupted traffic flow, particularly for flow regimes with heterogeneous traffic where differential (lower) speed limits are imposed on commercial vehicles. This paper proposes a lane-harmonisation approach, which leverages on the high variation in traffic composition across the lanes, to estimate PCE factors for urban expressways. Multiple linear regression is used and the PCE factors obtained for motorcycles, light goods vehicles, and heavy goods vehicles are 0.65, 1.53, and 2.75, respectively. The estimated capacity flow rate after the application of the obtained PCE factors is around 2200 PCUs per hour per lane.     

断裂力学在轨道车辆结构寿命预测中的应用

轨道车辆结构在服役过程中难免会产生缺陷。为确保含缺陷车辆结构的运行安全,文章引入针对缺陷的断裂力学疲劳分析方法和结构完整性评估标准BS 7910,介绍了其特点,并阐述了基于BS 7910标准对含缺陷车辆结构进行寿命预测的关键环节。根据预测结果,可指导运维单位对结构制定维保策略。     

动荷载作用下钢结构涂装的累积损伤机理与量化模型

为研究动荷载作用下公路钢桥涂装层与基体间的协同变形和破坏机制,开发了钢结构涂装层试件的动荷载试验系统,研究了疲劳荷载作用下涂层的破坏模式、附着力、弹性厚度、应变等随循环加载次数的发展规律。结合涂层破坏模式和发展规律,构建了涂层疲劳累积损伤度的计算模型,提出了基于损伤度的涂层破坏分级方法,并结合试验结果进行了验证。结果表明:疲劳荷载将引起涂层的附着力下降、弹性厚度降低和应变松弛,进而导致涂层出现附着破坏、内聚破坏及其组合。涂层附着损伤度是涂层损伤的主要因素,且随加载次数持续增大,当加载次数较大时内聚损伤贡献突出。试验涂装体系在22万次应力循环后附着损伤度最大为0.34,内聚损伤度最大为0.27,总损伤度达0.61,属于严重损伤。提出的损伤度模型及破坏分级方法与试验规律吻合良好,可应用于公路钢桥涂装层受动荷载作用下的寿命预测。     

武器装备的可靠性再分配方法及应用探讨

文章讨论了如何充分利用可靠性预计值来优化可靠性分配的问题。在已知可靠性预计值和初始分配值时,视情况对可靠性进行再分配。并用实例说明此算法的应用和合理性。     

基于线性诱导的公路隧道入口区域交通安全优化研究

为达到驾驶人早发现隧道洞门、早适应环境变化、早决策驾驶行为的目的，通过分析隧道入口区域行车环境下的视距视区与交通安全问题，借鉴常见的线条形视线诱导设施（如反光环、反光条、弹性交通柱等），构建隧道线性诱导系统，并提出基于线性诱导的隧道入口区域改善方法。另外，通过室内模拟试验，采集白天与夜间环境下注视点的位置数据； 将注视区域分为5类，并分析注视点在各区域的视觉转移特性，评价隧道入口区域改善前后的效果。结果表明： 1）隧道线性诱导系统具备形式多样、较大尺寸、可以勾勒轮廓、发光分散等特点，同时可以以低成本提升隧道光环境的安全性。2）隧道入口区域改善前，驾驶人的注视点以较大概率出现在前方近处。3）改善后，驾驶人的注视点以较大的概率出现在前方远处，表明改善方案使得驾驶人的视距充足； 改善后注视点在主要分布区域的注视概率变动比改善前更为缓和，表明驾驶人的视区变化得到缓解。