基于事例和置信度的多因素重要性排序方法

在多因素中确定各因素的重要性排序是涉及多因素问题研究的一个重要环节.借助模糊聚类方法和粗糙集理论中的重要性原理提出一个基于事例和模糊置信水平的确定多因素排序的客观方法.针对如何从客观数据中提取各种因素的重要性作了详细的讨论,最后给出了一个该方法的应用实例.     

粗糙集与神经网络在发动机故障诊断中的融合应用

电喷发动机运行的状态信息众多而复杂,故障与状态信息的关系模糊而不确定,如何从复杂的多元信息中获取有用部分并加以利用是电喷发动机故障诊断的关键.本文应用粗糙集理论对冗余信息进行约简,得到更为简明的诊断规则,将约简结果与神经网络相结合,建立了故障诊断系统.网络的训练对比结果表明,粗糙集理论的约简处理简化了神经网络结构,提高了网络的训练效率;通过实例验证了粗糙集理论与神经网络相结合进行电喷发动机故障诊断的可行性.     

基于海明距离-TOPSIS法的山区公路隧道扩建方案直觉模糊优选

为了解决山区高速公路隧道改扩建方案选取决策困难而又缺乏理论依据的问题,基于直觉模糊数的海明距离,结合TOPSIS方法,增加专家权向量修正,进而得到处理具有优先级别关系的多属性问题的决策方法。分析山区高速公路隧道改扩建的影响因素,建立隧道扩建方案影响指标体系。从依托工程实际出发,邀请指定的专家对指标优先级别排序,然后利用已建的数学模型实现扩建方案寻优。该方法在厦蓉高速公路隧道改扩建施工方案优选中得到有效运用,说明该方法实用可行,对隧道改扩建施工方案以及类似工程方案优选问题具有重要的指导意义。     

职业院校班级管理艺术

论述了在处理班级事务时坚持“一个标准”；在班级管理上充分发挥“四套班子”的作用；建立《家长联系簿》充分调动和运用学校、家庭和社会三个方面力量参与班级管理。     

脉冲扰动系统的集合稳定性

研究了具有扰动影响的脉冲微分系统的稳定性的判断定理,通过运用Lyapunov函数和脉冲微分不等式理论,并结合扰动项的范数有上界的条件,得到了扰动脉冲系统解的一致渐近稳定性的充分条件；根据定理的条件,便可以容易的判断出一些复杂脉冲扰动系统的稳定性；利用脉冲微分不等式理论研究具有扰动的脉冲微分系统的集合稳定性是本文的主要的创新点.     

Applications of intuitionistic fuzzy set aggregation operators in transport multi-factor project evaluation

Abstract

An intuitionistic fuzzy set (IFS) is a generalisation of a fuzzy set characterised by a truth membership function and a false membership function. The former is a lower bound on the grade of membership of the evidence in favour of a particular element belonging to the set and the latter is a lower bound on the negation of that element belonging to the set derived from evidence against that element belonging to the set. A similar concept is a vague set, though vague sets have been shown to be identical to IFSs. In the context of project evaluation, an IFS may be used to represent the degree to which a project satisfies a criterion and the degree to which it does not. Aggregation of such IFSs has been considered in recent years to identify a best project in terms of several criteria or factors. A particular desirable way to aggregate IFS is in terms of an ordered weighted average (OWA) which can be expressed in different forms such as arithmetic and geometric. In an OWA operator, weights are applied to the position of an element in the aggregation. In addition, hybrid OWA operators may be developed to not only weight the position of elements in the aggregation but the element itself. An example is given relating to the Kuranda Range Road upgrade (Queensland, Australia) which is limited by grade, poor overtaking opportunities, poor horizontal alignment and other constraints and the road is expected to become increasingly congested over the next few years. A more flexible multi-factor decision method is used to identify a ‘best’ project from a set of four alternative projects.     

基于ANP与vague集的工程项目风险评价方法改进

针对现代工程项目大型化、复杂化的特点,导致其风险分析存在多因素和高度不确定性问题,提出了一种基于网络分析和vague集的风险评价改进新方法.首先介绍了现代工程项目的发展趋势,辨识出工程项目主要风险因素并利用网络分析法赋权,然后引入vague集理论建立了各因素对应评语集的隶属矩阵,根据各因素权重计算出项目的综合评价值,采用隶属度最大原则做出评判.最后以某工程项目进行实证分析,结果表明该方法能够更好地适应工程项目风险定量评估需要.     

Application of fuzzy theory for identifying the required availability of an autonomous localization unit in European Train Control System

According to the evolution tendency of the control decision process from a trackside to a train-borne system, various autonomous localization units for railway vehicles were developed. As recommended in railway standards, the design process of each system, here the autonomous localization units (LU), follows the V-model whose first step is to define its availability requirement in order to satisfy the global ETCS system requirements. The classical approach for assigning the subsystem availability is based on the assumption that failure parameters of other units are precisely known. This assumption is too restricted in reality due to the lack of information. In this paper, we propose a new approach that allows taking into account uncertainties in the dependability parameters of the ETCS components for identifying the upper threshold of the LU unavailability to reach ETCS availability requirements. Using fuzzy fault trees, the fuzzy unavailability of the ETCS without the autonomous LU is evaluated. Then, based on its membership function, we assess the satisfaction rate that an advanced ETCS with the autonomous LU can satisfy the ETCS availability target.     

潜水器海试保障方案的定量评估方法

提出一种基于故障树分析的潜水器海试保障方案的定量评估方法。采用专家打分和模糊集理论相结合的方法,将操作经验定量化,得出故障树中基本事件发生的模糊概率,并进行故障树的定量分析。以潜水器无法完成吹除上浮为例,简要阐述了潜水器海试保障方案定量评估方法的一般评估流程。     

Dynamic user equilibrium in public transport networks with passenger congestion and hyperpaths

This paper presents a dynamic user equilibrium for bus networks where recurrent overcrowding results in queues at stops. The route-choice model embedded in the dynamic assignment explicitly considers common lines and strategies with alternative routes. As such, the shortest hyperpath problem is extended to a dynamic scenario with capacity constraints where the diversion probabilities depend on the time at which the stop is reached and on the expected congestion level at that time. In order to reproduce congestion for all the lines sharing a stop, the Bottleneck Queue Model with time-varying exit capacity, introduced in Meschini et al. (2007), is extended. The above is applied to separate queues for each line in order to satisfy the First-In-First-Out principle within every attractive set, while allowing overtaking among passengers with different attractive sets but queuing single file. The application of the proposed model to a small example network clearly reproduces the formation and dispersion of passenger queues due to capacity constraints and thus motivates the implementation of the methodology on a real-size network case as the next step for future research.