快速公交专用道形式对其运行效率的影响研究

选取包含有四段不同专用道形式的济南市BRT-3线路为研究对象,通过实时采集各区段和站间的运行数据,运用数理统计方法和多元分析理论,对该线路中不同区段和站间的BRT车辆运行效率、该线路具有的车辆配置、信号配时以及道路基础条件的特点对BRT运行效率的差异性,不同区段上交叉口停车延误和停靠站延误进行对比分析.提出了实行部分交叉口有条件的BRT信号优先;优化行人街交叉口;实时调度控制车辆运行时间和距离等改进措施.     

联合战斗防空体系作战能力模糊综合评判

通过对联合战斗下防空体系作战能力组成各要素的分析,建立了联合战斗防空体系作战能力评估指标体系,提出了防空体系作战能力的模糊综合评判方法,提高了防空体系作战能力评估的客观性、有效性和可操作性。     

基于GAHP编队网络化协同反导作战效能评估

在综合考虑舰艇编队网络化协同反导作战流程的基础上,建立了其作战效能评估指标体系,综合运用灰色系统理论和层次分析法,构建了基于GAHP的舰艇编队网络化协同反导作战效能的评估模型。     

鱼雷武器系统作战效能评估研究

鱼雷武器系统作战效能涉及诸多因素,在建立鱼雷武器系统作战效能评估指标体系的基础上,引入灰色层次分析法,在采用专家评估分析法确定鱼雷武器系统作战效能评估指标权重后,运用灰色评估理论构建了评估模型,并通过实例验证了该模型的可行性。     

一种高精度信号采集系统的设计和研究

随着市场传感器的精度越来越高,在实际应用时则需要高精度的采集系统与之配套使用。文章针对微小采集信号,使用高精度仪表运算放大器进行放大,使用多路模拟信号选择器实现多通道信号的实时采集工作。实验表明,系统工作状态稳定,精度高,效果好。     

柴油机受热件加速热疲劳试验安全寿命估算

以S195柴油机缸盖为试件 ,运用概率统计理论 ,估算了与加速热疲劳试验结果的可靠度和置信度有关的柴油机受热件加速热疲劳试验的安全使用寿命 ,其结果对于合理地确定缸盖等柴油机受热件的维修期和保养期具有重要的意义。     

The rise and fall of the American carpool: 1970–1990

Recent declines in carpooling among American commuters are analyzed using data derived from the US Census of Population, the Nationwide Personal Transportation Study, and the American Home Survey. The most important factors associated with recent declines in carpooling to and from work in the US include increasing household vehicle availability, falling real marginal fuel costs, and higher average educational attainments among commuters. Age, sex, family income, household lifecycle characteristics, urban form, racial diversity and relative poverty appear to have had smaller effects on observed changes in carpooling for the work trip.     

西安地铁2号线永宁门区段列车运行振动对其上部文物影响实测分析

在西安地铁2号线永宁门区段进行振动监测。通过振动实测结果,分析地铁列车单独运行时在不同运行速度工况下的地铁隧道、永宁门城墙、永宁门城楼的振动响应。结果表明:与普通轨道相比,钢弹簧浮置板道床的隧道壁水平向振动加速度幅值能减小45.1%,隧道壁垂直向振动加速度幅值能减小29.2%;永宁门城墙水平向、垂直向最大振动速度均为0.035 mm/s,永宁门城楼水平向、垂直向最大振动速度分别为0.083 mm/s和0.047 mm/s,均满足相关标准限值和国家文物局的建议值要求;地铁列车运行速度变化对其上部文物振动速度有一定的影响,但影响较小。     

动车组停站方案对运行效能影响仿真分析

动车组停站方案是制定高速铁路开行方案的关键,对动车组运行效能影响最大。为了直观分析不同停站方案对动车组运行效能的影响,为确定合理动车组停站方案提供依据。采用计算机仿真技术,以成渝客运专线为实例,从运行时分、运行速度、运行工况、运行能耗、速度距离和运行时分曲线等多方面,对站站停、跨站停和一站直达3种主要停站方案进行仿真计算和分析,从量化角度得到3种不同停站方案对动车组运行效能影响。分析结果表明,跨站停和一站直达停站方式更为优越,仿真计算方法也为确定合理的动车组停站方案提供更为直观和可量化的参考和依据。     

Assimilation of altimetric data in the mid-latitude oceans using the Singular Evolutive Extended Kalman filter with an eddy-resolving, primitive equation model

A new data assimilation scheme has been elaborated for ocean circulation models based on the concept of an evolutive, reduced-order Kalman filter. The dimension of the assimilation problem is reduced by expressing the initial error covariance matrix as a truncated series of orthogonal perturbations. This error sub-space evolves during the assimilation so as to capture the growing modes of the estimation error. The algorithm has been formulated in quite a general fashion to make it tractable with a large variety of ocean models and measurement types. In the present paper, we have examined three possible strategies to compute the evolution of the error subspace in the so-called Singular Evolutive Extended Kalman (SEEK) filter: the steady filter considers a time-independent error sub-space, the apprentice filter progressively enriches the error sub-space with the information learned from the innovation vector after each analysis step, and the dynamical filter updates the error sub-space according to the model dynamics. The SEEK filter has been implemented to assimilate synthetic observations of the surface topography in a non-linear, primitive equation model that uses density as vertical coordinate. A simplified box configuration has been adopted to simulate a Gulf Stream-like current and its associated eddies and gyres with a resolution of 20 km in the horizontal, and 4 levels in the vertical. The concept of twin experiments is used to demonstrate that the conventional SEEK filter must be complemented by a learning mechanism in order to model the misrepresented tail of the error covariance matrix. An approach based on the vertical physics of the isopycnal model, is shown particularly robust to control the velocity field in deep layers with surface observations only. The cost of the method makes it a suitable candidate for large-size assimilation problems and operational applications.