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研究在具有过去的统计信息及实时信息条件下的交通网络上的路径生成问题 我们假定路段通行时间具有一定的概率分布，这一分布从过去的统计数据得到，而当旅行者到达某一节点时，以该节点为起点的路段的通行时间作为实时信息被告知。在以上条件下，我们给出一种自适应算法来实时地生成一条路经，使得在某一预定时刻以前到达目的地的概率最大这个概率是衡量路径的时间可靠性的尺度，因而我们称相应算法为reliable routing algorithm。与之对应，我们注意到在以往的研究中，衡量路径优劣的有平均通行时间长短等等尺度。     

Bounded Real Lemma for Generalized Linear System with Finite Discrete Jumps

Introduction In the past decade, research interests on sam-pled-data systems are increasing with the wide ap-plication of digital control in the industry. Tradi-tional discretization technique is limited since failedto take into account intersample behavi…     

先张预应力空心板梁纵向裂缝调查与成因分析

针对在役先张法空心板梁底板的纵向裂缝病害,专门进行了大量板梁桥的现场调查和检测。在调查基础上,进行了裂缝分布、性状和有关参数的归纳统计,初步探明了纵向裂缝的分布规律,并对病害成因、影响进行了定性的分析探讨,为后续深入的研究和处治对策提供参考。     

看跌期权在集装箱租赁契约中的应用研究

本文将看跌期权引入到集装箱租赁契约中,针对单个集装箱租赁公司和单个承运人组成的单周期、两阶段集装箱租赁服务链,建立了基于看跌期权的承运人决策模型,推导出承运人的最优租箱量和最优期权执行量及其利润函数。同时,文章通过算例分析得出：在需求低迷情况下,与传统契约模型相比较,看跌期权的引入有利于提高承运人的利润,而且随着期权执行价格和需求信息更新准确性的提高,承运人的利润会逐渐增加。     

论我国房价收入比的不合理性及解决思路

房价过高是造成房价收入比不合理的主要原因，过高过滥的税费是房价过高的主要根源。通过剖析我国的房产税费现状，参照国外经验，提出了若干降低房价收入比的思路。     

Survivability of an ocean patrol vessel – Analysis approach and uncertainty treatment

Military ocean patrol vessels (OPVs) are today an increasingly common type of naval ship. To facilitate the wide range of tasks with small crews, OPVs represent several ship design compromises between, for example, survivability, redundancy and technical endurance, and some of these compromises are new to military ships.The aim of this study is to examine how the design risk control-options in relation to survivability, redundancy and technical endurance can be linked to the operational risk in a patrol and surveillance scenario. The ship operation for a generic OPV, including the actions of the threat, is modelled with a Bayesian network describing the scenario and the dependency among different influences.The scenario is described with expert data collected from subject matter experts. The approach includes an analysis of uncertainty using Monte Carlo analysis and numerical derivative analysis.The results show that it is possible to link the performance of specific ship design features to the operational risk. Being able to propagate the epistemic uncertainties through the model is important to understand how the uncertainty in the input affects the output and the output uncertainty for the studied case is small relative to the input uncertainty. The study shows that linking different ship design features for aspects such as survivability, redundancy and technical endurance to the operational risk gives important information for the ship design decision-making process.     

悬索桥吊索高阶涡激振动及摆锤式MTMD减振技术研究

为了解大跨度悬索桥吊索出现的大幅高频振动现象,并进行减振,以国内某主跨1688 m的悬索桥为背景(最长吊索长184.6 m),基于理论方法和施工期吊索大幅高频振动实测结果,分析吊索的振动类型及参数(频率、阻尼比);提出一种摆锤式多重调谐质量阻尼器(MTMD,其由一定形状的锤头提供质量参数,由钢绞线提供刚度及阻尼参数),采用有限元和室内试验的方法,分析其振动特性,并进行实桥验证。结果表明:该桥吊索振动频率范围为5~25 Hz,阻尼比低,单个吊点的多根吊索易发生同相位的高阶涡激振动;摆锤式MTMD单个锤头具有2个控制主频,自身阻尼比约10%,具有位移放大作用,对高频振动的响应灵敏,在很宽的频率范围内具有很好的减振性能;摆锤式MTMD可有效增加吊索自身阻尼比,控制吊索高阶涡激振动,实测减振效果达到90%以上,具有很好的实用性。     

道路工程的用地困难问题与其“虚属性”的迫切性要求分析

现有工程建设大多面临着直接、机械式的制约后续工程建设用地、后续工程建设持续发展困难的问题。文中从虚工作既不占用时间、也不占用社会生活环节的资源，但它具有时间指标、时间属性虚资源这个角度．提出采用无机动时差的双代号网络进度计划图所实现的“虚工作”的虚特性，解决占地、后续工程持续发展困难等问题的方法。它从虚工作（具有时间属性）的维系客观背景所带来的新的工程客观条件和合乎社会的时代步伐、节拍基础上，解决了工程占地、资源重复利用方面的困扰。它能够满足地区或国家建设领域的稳定、安全发展需要。     

Future electricity demand from battery‐powered vehicles

An important decision faced by airline schedulers is how to adapt the flight schedule and aircraft assignment to unforeseen perturbations in an established schedule. In the face of unforeseen aircraft delays, schedulers have to decide which flights to delay, and when delays become excessive, which to cancel. Current scheduling models deal with simple decision problems of delay or cancellation, but not with both simultaneously. But in practice the optimal decision may involve results from the integration of both flight cancellations and delays. In Part I of this paper, a quadratic programming model for the integration decision problem is given. The model can formulate the integration of flight cancellations and delays as well as some special cases, such as the ferrying of surplus aircraft and the possibility of swapping different types of aircraft. In this paper, based on the special structure of the model, an effective algorithm is presented, sufficient computational experiments are conducted and some results are reported. These show that we can expect to obtain a sufficiently good solution in terms of reasonable CPU time.     

基于FGU的船体变形测量技术中时间延迟补偿方法研究

基于光纤惯性测量单元(Fiber Gyro Unit,简称FGU)的角速率匹配法是船体变形测量技术的发展方向,但是在实际应用中两套测量单元之间存在时间延迟,会影响船体变形测量精度。该文分析了时间延迟的产生机理以及时间延迟对变形估计的影响。并基于二阶马尔科夫模型对船体变形建模,建立卡尔曼滤波状态方程和量测方程,提出了一种时间延迟补偿方法,将时间延迟扩充为状态量,对其进行实时的估计和补偿。最后通过仿真并结合实船试验数据,对比分析了时间延迟补偿前后的变形估计效果,验证了此方法的有效性。