从行政权的运行空间看我国船舶物权登记的本质与审查

文中通过探讨船舶物权登记制度中行政权的运行空间,分析船舶物权登记的本质,力争为船舶物权登记的审查方式与审查标准提出一条有效解释的路径。     

Towards improved port capacity investment decisions under uncertainty: a real options approach

ABSTRACT

Port activity plays an important role in facilitating international trade. Sufficient capacity is indispensable for a port to attract flows to a region and retain them. The capacity decision is the result of a trade-off between investment and waiting costs. Traditional methods to value expansion projects do not deal adequately with managerial flexibility in the face of uncertainty from different sources in the complex port environment. In this paper, real options (RO) models are identified as an alternative method to making project valuations and investment decisions, as they attribute the correct value to managerial flexibility under uncertainty. In order to be able to build and use such RO models for port capacity investment decisions, the sources and implications of uncertainty in the port and the different RO model specifications need to be understood. To this end, both the literature about uncertainty in the port context and the literature about real options models are reviewed in order to provide researchers who want to build their own decision-making models, with the necessary knowledge of both fields. The review makes clear that the complex interactions in and competition between the logistics chains and their actors coming together in ports have significant impacts on port capacity. Uncertainty is also caused by uncertain international trade flows and changes in legislation following new technologies and environmental impacts. An analysis of the components of some general RO models shows how the options of flexible output, investment size and timing are valued by RO models in a setting with demand uncertainty. Moreover, the review presents researchers with insights in how to deal with cooperative and competitive interactions in the chain, time to build, cyclical markets and legislation changes. It also shows how to value the expansion and the phased investment options. The new insights resulting from this review are subsequently combined in a framework that serves as a guideline to build RO models for port capacity investments. Finally, an exemplifying application of the framework is used to build an actual port capacity investment decision model.     

基于VRS技术的外弹道精密测量系统研究

针对靶场外弹道测量采用的GPS单参考站差分定位技术无法满足长基线的精密定位要求的状况,提出基于虚拟参考站技术（VRS）的精密测量方案。通过对靶场VRS系统进行设计并推导出其定位的数学模型,最后分析VRS定位中的主要误差源对系统精度影响,论证了该方案可以完成导弹外弹道高精度、高可靠性和高覆盖范围的实时动态测量要求。     

全球金融危机下江西房地产业的发展

探讨了全球金融危机爆发后江西省房地产业的发展情况。从金融危机爆发至今,江西房地产市场经历了两个时期,一个是从2008年9月至2009年2月的低迷期;另一个是2009年3月以来市场回暖时期。首先通过商品房销售面积、竣工面积、均价以及房地产开发企业投资及其增速等指标的变化来说明金融危机对江西房地产市场的影响,其次解释了江西房地产市场回暖的原因,最后对处在后金融危机下的房地产市场的发展提出了一些建议。     

公允价值在投资性房地产准则中的应用

本文介绍了公允价值的含义及公允价值在投资性房地产中的应用,着重分析了公允价值计量模式在投资性房地产准则应用中的优点及存在的问题。     

基于实物期权法的项目经济评价研究

介绍了利用实物期权法进行项目经济评价的原理和特点,并采用Black-Scholes定价模型进行了案例分析．和传统的通过计算项目的净现值进行项目投资决策的方法相比,实物期权法充分考虑了项目不确定条件下的灵活性价值,从而进一步保证投资决策的科学性．     

北京市道路交通流实时动态信息系统的研究

北京作为一个发展中的特大城市,城市交通管理出现了前所未有的机遇和挑战。特别是2008年,在北京举办奥运会对北京交通面临巨大的压力.本文介绍了在北京建立道路交通实时动态信息系统的必要性和迫切性,提出了北京道路交通实时动态信息系统的总体框架,包括系统的概念、基本结构、系统的技术要求,北京道路交通实时动态信息系统的建设工程,其中涉及交通实时动态信息采集子系统,交通实时动态信息的处理与分析子系统,交通实时动态信息发布子系统和系统的总体协调等.     

对建立新执行机制的思考

“执行难”问题一直困扰着我国的司法实践,由于生效裁判不能得到切实执行,这不仅造成了对当事人权益的损害,而且还极大地影响了法院执法的权威性。本从考查造成“执行难”的执行机制原因出发,分析我国目前执行机制存在的弊端,借鉴国外 的先进立法经验,结合我国的司法实践,提出了建立新执行机制的构想。     

再论智能交通系统(ITS)在我国道路 交通管理中的应用

在总结ITS智能交通的发展过程中,对我国ITS的正确认识和理解问题提出了新的见 解,尤其是ITS在我国道路交通管理上的应用与发展方向上,如交通工程问题以及交通参与者 的交通行为规范问题方面,提出许多值得研究的问题和方法.     

Modeling delay at signalized intersections with channelized right‐turn lanes considering the impact of blockage

This paper presents a probabilistic delay model for signalized intersections with right‐turn channelization lanes considering the possibility of blockage. Right‐turn channelization is used to improve the capacity and to reduce delay at busy intersections with a lot of right‐turns. However, under heavy traffic conditions the through vehicles will likely block the channelization entrance that accrues delay to right‐turn vehicles. If the right‐turn channelization gets blocked frequently, its advantage in reducing the intersection delay is neglected and as a result the channelization lane becomes inefficient and redundant. The Highway Capacity Manual (HCM) neglects the blockage effect, which may be a reason for low efficiency during peak hours. More importantly, using HCM or other standard traffic control methods without considering the blockage effects would lead to underestimation of the delay. To overcome this issue, the authors proposed delay models by taking into account both deterministic and random aspects of vehicles arrival patterns at signalized intersections. The proposed delay model was validated through VISSIM, a microscopic simulation model. The results showed that the proposed model is very precise and accurately estimates the delay. In addition, it was found that the length of short‐lane section and proportion of right‐turn and through traffic significantly influence the approach delay. For operational purposes, the authors provided a step‐by‐step delay calculation process and presented approach delay estimates for different sets of traffic volumes, signal settings, and short‐lane section lengths. The delay estimates would be useful in evaluating adequacy of the current lengths, identifying the options of extending the short‐lane section length, or changing signal timing to reduce the likelihood of blockage. Copyright © 2016 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.