关于自主建造远洋综合捕捞船的思考

着眼于服务我国世界第一造船强国的战略，在阐述我国自主建造远洋综合捕捞船必要性的基础上，分析国内外远洋综合捕捞船建造的现状及面临的问题，提出了针对我国自主建造远洋综合捕捞船的对策和建议。     

A multiobjective chance constrained programming model for supplier selection under uncertainty

Risk management is an inherent part of supplier selection. While companies are enjoying the benefits of outsourcing, risks brought by this practice should be taken into account in the process of decision making. This paper presents a multiobjective stochastic sequential supplier allocation model to help in supplier selection under uncertainty. Demand for products, capacities at suppliers as well as transportation and other variable costs are the main sources of uncertainty and are modeled using probability distributions. Disruptions are exogenous events and the model provides proactive mitigation strategies against disruptions by assigning backup suppliers who can be used in case of a default at a primary supplier. When there is no disruption, the model’s solution is an optimal supplier order assignment, considering operational risks.     

数字化技术在造船业中的应用

"十五"、"十一五"期间,江南造船集团在船舶的"数字化设计、数字化建造、数字化管理"[1]三个能力的建设方面取得了长足的进步,目前,已经确立了以船舶三维模型为核心,基于信息标准化共享平台,实现主体业务数据流全面整合贯通的明确目标。以全新船厂建设为契机并通过有效和全方位的内外协作,建立覆盖造船完整生命周期、具有现代化造船模式特征的自主装配式数字化造船系统。     

都市圈产业结构与空间结构演化的互动关系及协调机理研究

都市圈产业结构演化表现为在发展过程中产业的内容和结构不断自我更新,向高级化和合理化演进。都市圈空间结构演化包括规模结构、地域结构和职能结构三方面的内容。本文从系统论的角度证明了都市圈产业结构演化和城市空间结构演变是一个互相促进、有着明显耦合性和协同性的协调发展系统,总结出系统演化的内部协调机理。     

基于模糊层次分析法的船舶建造质量风险评估

风险评估是质量风险管理的重要组成部分.根据船舶建造过程的特点,确定船舶建造质量风险指标和评估体系,构建船舶建造质量风险评估的数学模型.利用模糊评判和层次分析法确定各影响因素对建造质量风.险的权重系数和风险估值,从而为船舶建造质量风险管理中的风险评估提供可行、有效的方法.     

造船资源管理与配置研究

在界定造船资源的基础上,建立了造船资源能力与负荷管理模型,该模型分为造船资源维护、基于ISWBS任务包组的造船负荷计算、造船资源平衡、作业流程与负荷采集点设置四个功能区.文章重点针对基于ISWBS的造船资源配置策略进行了详细的建模阐述,并进行了资源配置应用分析.     

2010年世界船舶市场评述与展望

回顾了2010年世界船舶市场的发展,并对未来船舶市场进行了预测。随着世界经济的复苏,2010年航运市场出现反弹,虽然全年呈现震荡格局,但整体好于2009年,散货船、油船、集装箱船年平均运价均高于上年,特别是集装箱船年平均运价比上年高出一倍多。与此同时,三大船型建造市场出现轮动效应,上半年散货船引导造船市场,下半年行情有所下滑,油船订单则从第二季度开始增加,而沉寂许久的集装箱船建造市场在下半年也开始出现大量新订单。预计2011年的船舶市场将难以维持2010年的繁荣局面,但集装箱船建造市场和海工装备有望延续2010年下半年出现的良好市场行情。     

船舶智能感知车间的网络构建及系统应用

针对船舶制造现场缺乏实时感知系统、船舶制造车间未构建数据传输至工位的通信系统等问题,应用网络构建技术和信息采集与传输技术,构建船舶智能感知车间网络,实现船舶制造车间内部的“人、机、料”互联,达到数据采集的多源异构性和实时性,提高设备综合利用率和船厂管理水平。     

在线监测系统在工业水管网中的应用

该文针对上海石化地区工业水管网的运行情况,研究了在线监测方法,建立了管网在线监测系统,并对系统运行效果进行了分析评价。研究表明,该系统反馈及时、信息准确、运行经济,可实现远端无人值守,提高水厂的运行质量。     

Why do some motorbike riders wear a helmet and others don’t? Evidence from Delhi,India

Road traffic accident fatalities lead to important private and social costs in the metropolitan areas of most low and middle income countries. An important share of these fatalities is due to injuries to the head and the neck. Helmets can provide efficient protection, but many drivers do not use them. We focus on helmet use behavior among motorbike users in Delhi. We use a detailed data set collected for the purpose of the study. To guide our empirical analysis, we rely on a model in which drivers decide on self-protection and self-insurance. The empirical findings suggest that risk-averse drivers are more likely to wear a helmet and that this has no systematic effect on speed. Helmet use also increases with education. Drivers who show a higher awareness of road risks seem to be both more likely to wear a helmet and to speed less. Controlling for risk awareness, we observe that drivers tend to compensate between speed and helmet use. The results can provide a basis for awareness-raising policies. They also show that improvements to the road infrastructure risk leading to risk-compensating behavior.