基于综合立体交通网构建的平陆运河货运需求分析

平陆运河属于从无到有的内河水运新通道，传统的内河航道项目货运量预测方法难以适用。基于综合立体交通网构建的视角，对平陆运河在区域综合交通体系中的地位进行剖析，综合考虑转移和诱增需求，构建一套针对从无到有的内河水运新通道货运量预测方法体系，对平陆运河货运需求进行分析。预测2035、2050年平陆运河货运量分别为0.955亿、1.200亿t,主要来自北部湾港口群海铁联运、北部湾港海公联运、珠三角港口群—西江航运干线江海联运3条既有通道的运量转移；远期考虑平陆运河经济带及影响区内陆地市的开发诱增运量，预计2050年乐观情景下货运量有望达到1.5亿～1.8亿t。     

船闸工程大体积混凝土裂缝控制施工技术

针对船闸大体积混凝土建筑物浇筑容易出现温度裂缝的难题，通过优化施工配合比设计、埋设冷却水管、控制浇筑的层间厚度及间歇时间、表层保湿养护等多重裂缝控制施工技术措施，实现了龙溪口船闸大体积混凝土的裂缝控制，同时利用传感器采集混凝土温度数据，对控裂措施进行效果评价。现场实际应用中，浇筑后混凝土温峰在32.1～41.4℃之间，内表温差在9.6～16.4℃之间，均远低于温控指标的要求，未产生可见温度裂缝。浇筑时同步成型的混凝土干缩C20试块28 d最大干缩率为同养228×10^-6,标养182×10^-6,表明混凝土温降阶段大体积混凝土的抗裂性能得到大幅提高。     

Numerical evaluation method of lightning rod protection probability北大核心CSCD

［Objectives］Aiming at the current situation in which it is difficult to efficiently evaluate protection probability through traditional lightning rod evaluation methods, an efficient numerical evaluation algorithm is developed on the basis of an electrogeometric model (EGM) and attractive volume to realize the efficient calculation of lightning protection probability at any point in space.［Methods］This method first determines the attractive volume boundary of the lightning rod and protection object according to the interception process of the upward and downward leaders. The collection surface and exposure arc of the lightning stroke distance are then calculated, enabling the attractive risk and interception effect of the lightning rod to be quantified. Finally, the attraction and interception characteristics of the lightning rod are integrated to establish a numerical evaluation model of protection probability. To verify the accuracy of this method, the general rule of lightning rod protection probability is analyzed and the results compared with the existing analysis method.［Result］The evaluation results of this method show good agreement with those of classical leader progression model (LPM) theory.［Conclusions］ The method proposed herein has a high degree of quantification and can realize the efficient calculation of lightning protection probability at any point in space, which can provide useful references for lightning protection design work. © 2023 Authors. All rights reserved.