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排序方式: 共有275条查询结果,搜索用时 15 毫秒
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刘明桂 《武汉船舶职业技术学院学报》2006,5(5):33-35
阐述了海上危机管理的发展趋势,针对海上危机决策的特殊性,分析了决策者的作用和能力,决策的模式、方法、艺术和决策最佳人选,以及防止危机产生的方法和措施。 相似文献
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提出了一种用于轨道交通车辆系统维修决策的RCM(以可靠性为中心的维修)可靠性评估的新方法。针对轨道交通车辆系统故障机理复杂,影响因素冗多,提出基于RCM、PHM(故障预测与健康管理)和数据挖掘算法相融合的方法来构建系统的维护决策模型。与传统方法的区别在于,该方法能够更精准地定义维护模型,并获得系统的最优维护间隔,计算效率高,适用于复杂状态系统的可靠性计算。该方法可有效降低传统RCM的维护不足现象,降低运维成本,具有一定的推广应用价值。 相似文献
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基于模糊相似度的群决策方案排序 总被引:3,自引:0,他引:3
为解决排序方案多属性特征、决策者对事物认识的局限性以及决策群体中各个体间的矛盾性导致的决策方案排序困难的问题,引入模糊相似度概念,以测度决策专家的偏好差异,用有序加权平均算子集结群体意见,通过与虚拟正、负理想方案比较,实现决策方案排序,并介绍了决策实施步骤. 相似文献
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At the decision-making stage, a large-scale infrastructure project is essentially a broad concept, and this means the expert analyses will differ from each other and become contested over time, leading to the emergence of rival narratives. It is only where there is a limited range of expert analyses that the bases for decision-making will remain relatively clear-cut. Over time the contested nature of expertise can significantly inhibit the construction of effective narratives, either for or against the project, and also make decision-making more complex and problematic. Decision makers may also seek greater clarification through the construction of narratives that rise above these disputed areas of expertise, and the scientific evidence becomes less important. This paper examines the changing nature of contested expertise through a comparative analysis of political decision-making between UK trunk roads policy and the case of High Speed Rail 2, through the framework of epistemic communities. 相似文献
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Fangliang Xiao 《Maritime Policy and Management》2020,47(5):687-702
ABSTRACT Even if the same two ships operate in the same encountering situation, the actual strategies and timing of operations may be different. Therefore, the fixed collision avoidance trajectory and ship movements are no longer suitable for simulating the real ship behaviour. This paper tries to develop an artificial intelligent system that fully sensitive to the local circumstances and command a ship in virtual environment. Based on AIS (Automatic Identification System) data, this study has developed artificial forces which help decision makings on-board independently under different situations and catching the stochastic nature of ship behaviours during collision avoidances manoeuvring. Actual ship tracks are helpful for ascertaining the parameters that contribute to artificial forces in collision avoidances, while the correlation coefficient analysis is helpful to distinguish the parameters. This study will help to develop a navigation traffic simulation to reflect the realistic ship behaviour and provide reliable information for port and waterway planning, risk analysis, and mitigation measures. The method can be used in developing algorithms for autonomous ships. The method introduced in this study lays a foundation for developing artificial forces at intersections or bends, although the model is only applicable in straight channels at the moment. 相似文献
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