The effects of the 2013 floods on Germany’s freight traffic

This article analyzes the spatio-temporal effect of the 2013 floods on freight traffic in Germany by using automatic traffic counter data. The methodology uses a proven time-series outlier detection and identification technique to endogenously determine if a counter was affected during the flood and estimate the magnitude and duration of the change in the number of vehicles passing through it. This is the first paper able to quantify climate-related variations in traffic across all the counters of a national network. Results show variations on 10% of all counters and 23% of all main roads. Results allow us to trace the configuration of disrupted and detour routes, recovery times, and the total effect on the network. Our findings serve as an input to other studies on the impact of exogenous events on the transport system and contribute towards the formulation of public policies to improve road resilience.     

Research on fast detection system for foundation plate of ballastless track of high-speed railwayEI北大核心

Research purposes: A new detection method with the computer, the total station and senor technologies is presented for control of the elevation of the ballastless track of high-speed railway. By using the new control technology, the control of elevation of the ballastless track of high-speed can be achieved during construction. Meanwhile, the detecting efficiency can be enhanced, the construction schedule can be speeded up, the measurement and labor costs can be cut, and the one-touch operation and good visibility can be achieved by using the new measurement and mathematical model built with software system. Research conclusions: (1) Application of the fast detection system for the foundation plate of the ballastless track of high-speed can much enhance the construction measurement efficiency and facilitate the quality control during construction of foundation plate. (2) The detailed and objective data can be provided for the intermediate acceptance, and the detection methods with the independent intellectual property right have been formed during the research. (3) The combined test way and method are found for the relative and absolute benchmark measurements, and it fills the technological blank in this field and promotes the innovation and development of the automatic measurement equipment for construction of high-speed railway in China. (4) The detection system presented in this paper solves the quality control problem in construction of ballastless track of high-speed railway and can provide the reference to the similar project.     

主成分分析法在居民出行生成模型中的构建研究

交通出行生成模型作为“四阶段法”出行的第一步,出行模型的精度将直接影响了整个四阶段法模型的结果;现行的居民出行生成预测模型主要有生成率法、交叉分类法、回归分析等。但是这些方法都没有从根本考虑到各种影响出行生成的变量之间的相互影响关系,而这种变量之间的相互关系往往会直接影响居民的出行特征,同时,常用的回归分析法中,由于最小二乘法的局限,往往会丢失变量或者出现负变量,而这些变量在交通出行中明显会产生出行量,这就和实际的交通出行特征有了背离。本文提出了在回归分析法之前首先采用主成分分析法来确定各影响变量之间的关系,确定主成分方程,进而在根据主成分方程和调查数据之间的回归分析来构建出行生成模型。通过这样的方法来有效的保护变量的非负性和体现变量之间相互关系对出行生成的影响。     

基于分层分区模型的分布式电源分布优化

在含分布式电源的配网规化中,分布式电源模型的建立、潮流计算方法的选择和优化算法的运用,对优化结果至关重要.在配网分布式电源三类传统模型基础上,为便于计算支路电流,对含分布式电源的支路引入新模型——分层分区DG模型;基于新模型,分析了各种潮流算法,结合含分布式电源的配网特点,改良了推回代潮流计算;最后通过微分进化算法,以网损最小为目标,对计算结果进行优化,得出配网电源的最优位置和容量.     

某型自行武器发供电系统不充电故障剖析

分析了某型自行武器发供电系统的工作原理,剖析了典型故障发生的原因及故障排除方法,提出预防此类故障发生的措施和判断故障的方法。     

KGPS-160／1-8KHZ可控硅中频电源的技术改造

经过前期的市场调研考察,及对北京高频机电设备有限公司、十堰高周波机电设备有限公司、十堰凯佳机电设备有限公司中频电源的工作性能、售后服务、市场占有率的综合比较分析,最终决定选用十堰凯佳公司生产的KGPS可控硅中频电源陆续取代中频发电机,实现设备的跟进转型,继续保持汉德公司在中频淬火产品方面的优势。     

触摸屏及组态技术在自动化生产线监控系统中的应用

文中介绍了触摸屏与自动化生产线核心控制器PLC的硬件连接方法,给出了基于MCGS组态技术的自动化生产线监控系统的设计。该系统能实时采集生产线的工作状态,并能对其运行进行控制。     

油门踏板快速松开时自动变速器换挡控制

针对装备自动变速器的车辆在油门踏板快速松开时的意外换挡问题,通过采集车速、油门和制动信号并结合2参数换挡规律,找到了该车辆意外换挡的原因.对该车TCU换挡控制策略进行了优化.建立整车纵向动力学仿真模型,以实车采集到的油门、制动信号作为模型的输入量进行了仿真试验,并通过实车试验对优化后策略进行了验证.结果表明,优化后策略...     

基于排队论的大型舰船甲板弹射器数量研究

为明确大型舰船飞行甲板弹射器数量设计的理论依据,从调运指挥官的角度提出了"虚拟队列"概念,分析了其工作特点,对其工作模式进行了排队论建模.同时分析、建立了舰载机在弹射等待过程中的真实排队模型.忽略其它甲板因素的影响,基于排队论假设代入数值计算了不同弹射器数量对虚拟队列中舰载机的等待队长、系统等待耗时等关键指标的影响,使...     

基于交通条件改善的公路网交通生成预测方法研究

以经济、人口、车辆保有和广义出行时间为基本变量,采用回归分析方法建立交通生成预测模型,从而在交通生成阶段中考虑了交通出行条件改善的影响,将交通生成预测和诱增交通预测两者结合,既考虑了社会经济对交通的决定作用,又考虑了交通供给对交通生成的反作用。模型应用于江苏省高速公路网规划实践,结果表明,模型能够反映不同地区经济、人口、车辆保有以及交通条件等因素对各地区交通生成特性的差异,并且具有实用、精度高、可操作性强的特点。