The same mode again? An exploration of mode choice variability in Great Britain using the National Travel Survey

The main focus of travel behaviour research has been explaining differences in behaviour between individuals (interpersonal variability) with less emphasis given to the variability of behaviour within individuals (intrapersonal variability). The subject of this paper is the variability of transport modes used by individuals in their weekly travel. Our review shows that previous studies have not allowed the full use of different modes in weekly travel to be taken into account, have used categorical variables as simple indicators of modal variability and have only considered a limited set of explanatory indicators in seeking to explain modal variability. In our analysis we use National Travel Survey data for Great Britain. We analyse modal variability with continuous measures of modal variability (Herfindahl–Hirschman Index, the difference in mode share between the primary and secondary mode, the total number of modes used). Taking inspiration from Hägerstrand (1970), we conceive that modal variability is determined by different types of spatial mobility constraints and find that reduced modal variability is predicted for having mobility difficulties, being aged over 60, being non-white, working full-time, living in smaller settlement, lower household income, having regular access to a car, having no public transport pass/season ticket and not owning a bicycle. The findings can support a change in perspective in transport policy from encouraging people to replace the use of one mode with another to encouraging people to make a change to their relative use of different transport modes.     

轨道复合不平顺对无缝线路横向变形的影响分析

轨道复合不平顺会对行车的安全及稳定性产生较大影响,也是影响无缝线路横向变形的一个重要因素。为研究轨道复合不平顺对无缝线路的具体影响,通过构建三维轨道框架非线性有限元模型,采用轨道框架单点(或多点)位置发生横向及竖向位移来模拟复合不平顺状态,通过计算获取节点位移变化规律,进而分析轨道复合不平顺对无缝线路横向变形的影响作用。研究结果表明,轨道的复合不平顺会对无缝线路的横向变形产生显著的影响;当线路出现三角坑等类似病害时,其节点位移变化更为显著,在无缝线路的日常养护维修中应尤为注意。     

Policy packages for modal shift and CO2 reduction in Lille,France

This paper proposes different policy scenarios to cut CO₂ emissions caused by the urban mobility of passengers. More precisely, we compare the effects of the ‘direct tool’ of carbon tax, to a combination of ‘indirect tools’ – not originally aimed at reducing CO₂ (i.e. congestion charging, parking charges and a reduction in public transport travel time) in terms of CO₂ impacts through a change in the modal split. In our model, modal choices depend on individual characteristics, trip features (including the effects of policy tools), and land use at origin and destination zones. Personal “CO₂ emissions budgets” resulting from the trips observed in the metropolitan area of Lille (France) in 2006 are calculated and compared to the situation related to the different policy scenarios. We find that an increase of 50% in parking charges combined with a cordon toll of €1.20 and a 10% travel time decrease in public transport services (made after recycling toll-revenues) is the winning scenario. The combined effects of all the policy scenarios are superior to their separate effects.     

Capturing correlation with a mixed recursive logit model for activity-travel scheduling

Representing activity-travel scheduling decisions as path choices in a time–space network is an emerging approach in the literature. In this paper, we model choices of activity, location, timing and transport mode using such an approach and seek to estimate utility parameters of recursive logit models. Relaxing the independence from irrelevant alternatives (IIA) property of the logit model in this setting raises a number of challenges. First, overlap in the network may not fully characterize perceptual correlation between paths, due to their interpretation as activity schedules. Second, the large number of states that are needed to represent all possible locations, times and activity combinations imposes major computational challenges to estimate the model. We combine recent methodological developments to build on previous work by Blom Västberg et al. (2016) and allow to model complex and realistic correlation patterns in this type of network. We use sampled choices sets in order to estimate a mixed recursive logit model in reasonable time for large-scale, dense time-space networks. Importantly, the model retains the advantage of fast predictions without sampling choice sets. In addition to estimation results, we present an extensive empirical analysis which highlights the different substitution patterns when the IIA property is relaxed, and a cross-validation study which confirms improved out-of-sample fit.     

Traffic and emissions impact of congestion charging in the central Beijing urban area: A simulation analysis

Congestion charging is being considered as a potential measure to address the issue of substantially increased traffic congestion and vehicle emissions in Beijing. This study assessed the impact of congestion charging on traffic and emissions in Beijing using macroscopic traffic simulation and vehicle emissions calculation. Multiple testing scenarios were developed with assumptions in different charging zone sizes, public transit service levels and charging methods. Our analysis results showed that congestion charging in Beijing may increase public transit use by approximately 13%, potentially reduce CO and HC emissions by 60–70%, and reduce NOx emissions by 35–45% within the charging zone. However, congestion charging may also result in increased travel activities and emissions outside of the charging zone and a slight increase in emissions for the entire urban area. The size of charging zone, charging method, and charging rate are key factors that directly influence the impact of congestion charging; improved public transit service needs to be considered as a complementary approach with congestion charging. This study is used by Beijing Transportation Environment and Energy Center (BTEC) as reference to support the development of Beijing’s congestion charging policy and regulation.     

Mode jumping in the lateral buckling of subsea pipelines

Unburied subsea pipelines under high-temperature conditions tend to relieve their axial compressive stress by forming localised lateral buckles. This phenomenon is traditionally studied under the assumption of a specific lateral deflection profile (mode) consisting of a fixed number of lobes. We study lateral thermal buckling as a genuinely localised buckling phenomenon by applying homoclinic (‘flat’) boundary conditions. By not having to assume a particular buckling mode we are in a position to study transitions between these traditional modes in typical loading sequences. For the lateral resistance we take a realistic nonlinear pipe-soil interaction model for partially embedded pipelines. We find that for soils with appreciable breakout resistance, i.e., nonmonotonicity of the lateral resistance characteristic, sudden jumps between modes may occur. We consider both symmetric and antisymmetric solutions. The latter turn out to require much higher temperature differences between pipe and environment for the jumps to be induced. We carry out a parameter study on the effect of various pipe-soil interaction parameters on this mode jumping. Away from the jumps post-buckling solutions are reasonably well described by the traditional modes whose analytical expressions may be used during preliminary design.     

浅埋顶管沉井周边土体的三维破坏形状及沉降研究

为研究顶管沉井及周边土体在顶进力作用下的形变范围与大小，以加固旋喷桩作为沉井周围加固体建立ABAQUS软件计算模型，并将模拟结果与工程实例、PLAXIS 3D软件所得结果进行对比分析。同时，采用广州地区花岗岩残积土进行室内沉井模型试验，并通过试验结果对数值模拟结论进行验证，得出结论如下： 1）在开挖基坑前达到设计强度的旋喷桩能有效减小基坑周边土体塌陷变形、坑底隆起。2）在施加工作顶推力下，前侧主动区首先出现贯通裂缝，竖向位移斜率增大出现明显拐点；继续增大顶推力，土体位移会急剧增大导致地表沉降严重。3）对于后背土体，在顶推力作用下，地表破裂线的切线角度从0°逐渐增大至45°+φ/2，导致破裂范围也不断扩大；达到45°+φ/2处后，继续施加顶推力会导致短轴方向破坏范围扩大的速度较长轴方向的速度更快；三维空间中被动区破坏土体在地表处产生形状为椭圆的破坏面，椭圆长轴方向为顶推轴线方向，被动破坏体呈现为牛角状椭圆楔体。     

Caterham Seven 420R v Porsche 911 GT3 RS

在赛道作为一条经验法则,除非420R在打滑,否则其实它根本没用尽全力。它会转向不足——其实有时还挺有用的,如果你非要找到它的极限并再用力推过头一点点的话;但如果你就是入弯时对前胎要求过高那它就那么有帮助了。Seven之妙处在于驾驶者可以立刻知道当前的情况。你完全可以在入弯到     

VEGF-C、VEGFR-3和podoplanin在食管癌中的表达及其意义

目的观察血管内皮生长因子C(VEGF-C)及其受体3(VEGFR-3)和肾小球上皮细胞整合膜蛋白(podoplanin)在食管癌组织中的表达,分析其与肿瘤淋巴结转移的关系。方法免疫组织化学SP法检测76例食管癌组织中VEGF-C、VEGFR-3和podoplanin的表达及淋巴管密度(LVD)。结果食管癌VEGF-C表达阳性率为63.1%,VEGF-C的表达与食管癌的淋巴结转移、TNM分期有统计学意义(P<0.01,P<0.05),但与患者年龄、肿瘤大小及分化程度无关;癌旁组织淋巴管密度同淋巴结转移、VEGF-C阳性表达间有统计学意义(P<0.01,P<0.05),podo-planin LVD值与VEGFR-3 LVD值相比,具有统计学意义(P<0.01)。结论食管癌组织中VEGF-C表达与肿瘤TNM分期、淋巴管密度和淋巴结转移有关,VEGF-C表达越高,淋巴管密度越大,淋巴结转移可能性越高。癌旁组织LVD同VEGF-C的高表达及淋巴结转移密切相关,食管癌组织中podoplanin标记的淋巴管密度较VEGFR-3标记的淋巴管密度更为精确,是一种更为满意的淋巴管内皮特异性标志物。     

ω-3多不饱和脂肪酸对人胃腺癌细胞系AGS的作用

目的探讨ω-3多不饱和脂肪酸对人胃腺癌AGS细胞生长增殖的作用和可能的机制。方法以不同浓度梯度的DHA、EPA作用于体外培养的AGS细胞和人微血管内皮细胞HMEC-1,采用四甲基偶氮唑蓝(MTT)观察细胞增殖抑制率,使用流式细胞仪检测细胞周期变化,采用Western blot分析细胞线粒体呼吸链膜蛋白复合体Ⅰ、Ⅱ、Ⅴ表达变化。结果 DHA和EPA对胃腺癌AGS细胞增殖具有明显抑制作用,该抑制作用呈现明显的剂量时间依赖效应的特点(P<0.05),在相同的浓度梯度下,DHA的抑制作用强于EPA(P<0.05)。倒置显微镜下DHA作用后观察到AGS细胞明显皱缩,细胞的贴壁能力明显减弱。流式细胞仪检测显示,DHA、EPA干预后AGS细胞的DNA合成前期(G0/G1期)细胞分布比例明显增加,DNA合成期(S期)细胞分布比例明显减少(P<0.05)。Western blot分析可见,DHA干预AGS细胞24h和48h后,与对照组比较,AGS线粒体呼吸链膜蛋白复合体Ⅰ、Ⅱ、Ⅴ表达灰度值显著下降,而且随着作用时间延长,复合体表达灰度值下降愈明显(P<0.05)。DHA对人微血管内皮细胞的生长增殖、细胞形态和线粒体呼吸链膜蛋白复合体无明显影响(P>0.05)。结论ω-3多不饱和脂肪酸可选择性有效地抑制人胃腺癌AGS细胞的生长增殖。该作用可能是通过阻滞AGS细胞于G0/G1期和抑制AGS细胞能量代谢来实现的。