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高速公路动态交通流Elman神经网络模型 总被引:5,自引:0,他引:5
为了提高高速公路交通流建模的精度,分析了离散的高速公路动态交通流数学模型,基于Elman网络原理,建立了回归神经网络交通流模型。回归神经网络的输入层、上下文层、隐含层和输出层的节点数目分别选为8、30、30和2,采用Levenberg-Marquardt算法对回归神经网络进行训练,并对一条5路段的高速公路进行仿真。结果表明:回归神经网络平均相对误差为8.683 7×10-5,最大相对误差为4.237 1×10-4,与BP神经网络和RBF神经网络相比较,Elman回归神经网络能更好地逼近交通流数学模型,真实地描述交通流基本特性,能准确地建立动态交通流模型,适应交通状况的变化。 相似文献
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This paper examines the activity engagement, sequencing and timing of activities for student, faculty and staff commuter groups at the largest university in the Maritime Provinces of Canada. The daily activity patterns of all university community groups are modeled using the classification and regression tree classifier algorithm. The data used for this study are derived from the Environmentally Aware Travel Diary Survey (EnACT) conducted in spring 2016 at Dalhousie University, Nova Scotia. Results show that there are significant differences in activity and travel behavior between university population segments and the general population in the region, and between campus groups. For example, students participate in more recreation activities compared to faculty and staff. They also take more trips to and from campus, and are more flexible in their scheduling of trips. The insights gained from this study will provide helpful information for promoting sustainability across university campuses, and for development of campus-based travel demand management strategies. 相似文献
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Andrew R. Fallon Di Jin William Phalen G. Gray Fitzsimons Christopher J. Hein 《Coastal management》2017,45(5):360-383
Coastal barrier systems around the world are experiencing higher rates of flooding and shoreline erosion. Property owners on barriers have made significant financial investments in physical protections that shield their nearby properties from these hazards, constituting a type of adaptation to shoreline change. Factors that contribute to adaptation on Plum Island, a developed beach and dune system on the North Shore of Massachusetts, are investigated here. Plum Island experiences patterns of shoreline change that may be representative of many inlet-associated beaches, encompassing an equivocal and dynamically shifting mix of erosion and accretion. In the face of episodic floods and fleeting erosive events, and driven by a combination of strong northeast storms and cycles of erosion and accretion, the value of the average Plum Island residence increases by 34% for properties on the oceanfront where protection comprises a publicly constructed soft structure. Even in the face of state policies that ostensibly discourage physical protection as a means of adaptation, coastal communities face significant political and financial pressures to maintain existing protective structures or to allow contiguous groups of property owners to build new ones through collective action. These factors mitigate against adapting to shoreline change by retreating from the coast, thereby potentially increasing the adverse effects of coastal hazards. 相似文献
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《运输规划与技术》2012,35(8):868-880
ABSTRACTAnalysis of elevator traffic in high rise buildings is critical to the performance evaluation of elevator group control systems (EGCS). Elevator dispatching methods or parking algorithms in an EGCS can be designed or modified according to analyses of traffic flow. However, interpretation of traffic flow based solely on numerical data may not be explicit and transparent for EGCS experts as well as for other non-expert building administration. In this study, we present a model for visualization and analysis of elevator traffic. First, we present an alternative approach for traffic analysis which we call route visualization. In the proposed approach, we initially decompose elevator traffic into its component parts and investigate each component independently. Then, using superposition of components we obtain a reconstructed model of overall traffic. This modeling approach provides component-based traffic analysis and representation of routes with intensities through data visualization. In the second part we introduce a multi-dimensional analysis of time parameters in ECGS. This approach provides a comparative analysis of several control algorithms such as dispatch or park algorithms for different combinations of traffic components. 相似文献
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为了解环缝面不平整导致管片产生渗漏裂缝的具体影响,对衬砌环不同错缝拼装角度、环缝面不同传力方式、环缝面不同不平整度等因素对管片纵向受力及开裂的影响进行研究。主要研究结论如下: 1)因管片制作尺寸误差不可避免,设计中必须考虑环缝面不平整对管片结构受力的影响。由环缝面不平整产生的纵向不均匀接触荷载既可能是施工荷载,也可能是使用阶段的一个可变荷载。2)因管片环缝面不平整产生的纵向荷载与衬砌环分块、拼装方式及传力方式等有关,1/3 或1/4 标准块错缝拼装角度产生的最大纵向荷载要大于1/2 标准块错缝拼装角度,凸台传力方式产生的最大纵向荷载要大于垫片传力方式。当管片分块与拼装方式相同时,凸台传力方式更容易使管片产生开裂。3)在采用最不利纵向荷载时,建议取1. 0Δ(Δ 为环宽允许偏差)作为环缝面不平整度设计值,计算所得管片纵向弯矩与管片横向内力组合后按双向偏压构件对管片进行配筋,且纵向弯矩产生的裂缝开展宽度不应大于0. 1 mm。 相似文献